Tighter risk framework strengthening India's bank operating environment: Fitch

Tighter risk framework strengthening India's bank operating environment: Fitch


Indian banks are set to benefit from enhanced oversight by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and a more robust supervisory toolkit, which should reduce systemic risks and improve the operating environment, a report said.

These shifts, paired with strong economic growth prospects and reduced inflation risks, are credit positive for the sector, global rating agency Fitch said in a report.

“We believe regulatory responses to stress events, frameworks for monitoring risks and recovery of impaired loans have improved in recent years. Consequently, weaknesses that contributed to the last non-performing loan spike between the financial year ended March 2016 (FY16) and FY18 have been significantly reduced,” it said.

Banking system metrics are the strongest in years. However, some more recent reforms have not been tested in a down cycle, it said, adding that the sector non-performing loan ratio fell to 2.2 per cent in 1HFY26 (from a peak of 11.2 per cent in FY18). The common equity Tier 1 ratio has risen to 14.8 per cent, from estimates of 9.3 per cent in FY14.

The sector’s return on assets is also comparable with peer banking systems in the Asia-Pacific region, with a ‘bbb’ category operating environment, at around 1.3 per cent in recent years, it said.

“We believe the implementation of an ECL framework should contribute to reduced volatility by helping to smooth earnings over the cycle,” it said.

Over the medium term, the country’s robust economic growth – above 6 per cent over the next two years – should continue to offer banks ample opportunities for profitable lending growth, it said.

“We estimate the banking sector credit/GDP ratio at 59 per cent in 2025, which remains below the peer average of 101 per cent, suggesting there is headroom for lending growth to exceed nominal GDP growth moderately over the medium term without posing major risks to systemic stability, if underwriting standards hold up,” it said.

Published on January 6, 2026



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Turtlemint Fintech eyes ₹2,000cr IPO; to file updated draft papers with SEBI in next 2-weeks

Turtlemint Fintech eyes ₹2,000cr IPO; to file updated draft papers with SEBI in next 2-weeks


Insurtech firm Turtlemint Fintech Solutions Ltd is set to file its updated draft papers with markets regulator SEBI in the next two weeks as it prepares to launch its ₹2,000-crore initial public offering (IPO) anywhere between March and April, people familiar with the development said on Tuesday.

The company had confidentially filed its preliminary IPO papers in September and received SEBI’s approval in December to move ahead with the public issue.

Following SEBI’s approval, the company will file its updated draft red herring prospectus (UDRHP) in the next two weeks, which will be open for public comments for 21 days. After this, the firm is required to file UDRHP-II incorporating public comments and then RHP for the actual launch.

According to people familiar with the development, the insurtech firm is targeting a public listing by April.

Founded in 2015 by Dhirendra Mahyavanshi and Anand Prabhudesai, the company focuses on simplifying the purchase and management of insurance policies and has sold around 1.6 crore policies through a network of more than five lakh advisors.

Turtlemint claims to have processed over 90 crore claims for more than 1.2 crore customers. Its technology helps financial advisors instantly match customers with insurance products best suited to their needs, thereby improving efficiency and supporting business growth.

On the investor side, the company counts Amansa Capital, Jungle Ventures and Nexus Venture Partners among its backers.

Turtlemint connects insurers, advisors and consumers on a unified technology platform and has forged long-term partnerships with over 40 insurer partners, accounting for nearly 65 per cent of all life and general insurers in India.

The proposed listing comes amid rising interest in insurtech offerings. In November 2021, PB Fintech, which operates Policybazaar and Paisabazaar, tapped the markets with a ₹5,710-crore IPO.

Published on January 6, 2026



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अमेरिका की टैरिफ धमकी के बीच आई ऐसी खबर, हैरान हो जाएंगे जानकर प्रसिडेंट ट्रंप

अमेरिका की टैरिफ धमकी के बीच आई ऐसी खबर, हैरान हो जाएंगे जानकर प्रसिडेंट ट्रंप


एक तरफ अमेरिकी राष्ट्रपति डोनाल्ड ट्रंप ने वेनेजुएला पर सैन्य कार्रवाई कर वहां के राष्ट्रपति निकोलस मादुरो को बंदी बना लिया है, तो दूसरी ओर उन्होंने भारत पर और अधिक टैरिफ बढ़ाने की धमकी देकर नई कूटनीतिक हलचल पैदा कर दी है. ट्रंप के इस बयान के बाद भारत-अमेरिका संबंधों को लेकर एक बार फिर चर्चा तेज हो गई है. हालांकि, इन सबके बीच जो आंकड़े सामने आए हैं, वे खुद अमेरिकी नेतृत्व को भी चौंका सकते हैं.

अमेरिका से भारत का तेल आयात तेज़ी से बढ़ा

चालू वित्त वर्ष में नवंबर तक भारत ने अमेरिका से कच्चे तेल का आयात करीब 92 प्रतिशत तक बढ़ा दिया है. इसके साथ ही भारत के कुल तेल आयात में अमेरिका की हिस्सेदारी 4.3 प्रतिशत से बढ़कर 7.6 प्रतिशत हो गई है. यह बढ़ोतरी ऐसे समय पर हुई है जब वॉशिंगटन लगातार भारत पर रूस से तेल खरीद कम करने का दबाव बनाता रहा है.

रूस से तेल आयात में आई बड़ी गिरावट

इसके उलट रूस से भारत का तेल आयात अब पहले की तुलना में 37.9 प्रतिशत घटकर 33.7 प्रतिशत पर आ गया है. इस पर अमेरिकी सीनेटर लिंड्से ग्राहम ने भी टिप्पणी की है. उन्होंने कहा कि करीब एक महीने पहले वाशिंगटन में भारतीय राजदूत तरनजीत सिंह संधू (क्वात्रा) के आवास पर हुई बातचीत में उन्हें बताया गया था कि भारत ने रूस से तेल की खरीद में कटौती की है.

व्यापार समझौते पर अब भी सस्पेंस

इसके बावजूद भारत-अमेरिका द्विपक्षीय व्यापार समझौता अभी तक अटका हुआ है. एनबीटी की एक रिपोर्ट के अनुसार, एक वरिष्ठ अधिकारी ने बताया कि अधिकारी-स्तर की बैठकों में सभी मुद्दों पर चर्चा हो चुकी है और अब समाधान केवल राजनीतिक नेतृत्व के स्तर पर ही निकल सकता है.

क्यों बढ़ रहा है तनाव?

भारत ने अमेरिका के लिए अपने कृषि और डेयरी सेक्टर को खोलने से साफ इनकार कर दिया है. जानकारों का मानना है कि इसी वजह से राष्ट्रपति ट्रंप की ओर से टैरिफ बढ़ाने की धमकी को दबाव की रणनीति के तौर पर देखा जा रहा है. हालांकि, तेल आयात के ताजा आंकड़े यह संकेत देते हैं कि ऊर्जा के मोर्चे पर भारत पहले ही अमेरिका की तरफ झुकाव दिखा चुका है, बावजूद इसके व्यापार वार्ता में गतिरोध बना हुआ है.

ये भी पढ़ें: इस देश में चॉकलेट से भी सस्ता पेट्रोल! जानें कितने में फुल हो जाती है बाइक और कार की टंकी



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Gold hits one-week high on Fed rate-cut bets, Venezuela turmoil

Gold hits one-week high on Fed rate-cut bets, Venezuela turmoil


Gold extended gains on Tuesday to hit a ‌one-week high, as dovish comments from Federal ​Reserve officials boosted bets on interest rate cuts and Venezuela tensions bolstered safe-haven demand.

Spot gold was up 0.4 per cent at $4,463.63 per ounce, as of 0722 GMT, after rising nearly 3 per cent in the last session. Bullion hit a record high of $4,549.71 on December 26, and logged its best annual performance since 1979 last ​year with a jump of 64 per cent

U.S. gold futures ⁠for February delivery rose 0.5 per cent to $4,473.90.

“(Comments by Fed officials) certainly didn’t hurt but it doesn’t look like the calculus has changed all that much. ​We of course have a ⁠big week this week with the jobs report on Friday,” said Ilya Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive.

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said on Monday inflation was slowly ‌easing, but there was a risk the jobless rate ‌could “pop” higher, increasing the likelihood of a rate cut.

Investors currently expect at least two rate cuts ‍this year, while they look to the nonfarm payroll report, due on Friday, for more monetary policy cues.

Toppled Venezuelan President Nicolas ‍Maduro pleaded not guilty on Monday to narcotics charges after U.S. President Donald Trump’s capture of him rattled world leaders and left officials in Caracas scrambling to regroup.

“The capture of Maduro illustrated this rupture between the U.S. and China and more broadly (the ongoing trend of) de-globalisation,” Spivak said.

Non-yielding assets tend to do well in a low-interest-rate environment and during times of geopolitical or ⁠economic uncertainty.

Spot silver gained 2.8 per cent to $78.64 per ounce, after hitting an all-time high of $83.62 on December 29. Silver ​ended 2025 with annual gains of 147 per cent, far outpacing gold, in ⁠what was its best year on record.

Spot platinum was up 2 per cent at $2,315.69 per ounce, after rising to an all-time high of $2,478.50 last Monday. It rose more than 5 per cent earlier in the session to a one-week high.

Palladium traded ⁠2.2 per cent higher at $1,745.68 per ounce.

Published on January 6, 2026



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Q4 to outperform Q3 for media & entertainment companies: Nuvama

Q4 to outperform Q3 for media & entertainment companies: Nuvama


Multiplexes reported strong footfalls during the December quarter, driven by the blockbuster run of Dhurandhar, while broadcasters continued to face weak advertising revenues, according to a quarterly preview by Nuvama Institutional Equities
| Photo Credit:
FRANCIS MASCARENHAS/Reuters

While multiplexes witnessed strong footfalls during the December quarter, aided by Dhurandhar’s strong run at the box office, broadcasters saw muted ad revenues, according to the quarterly preview report released by Nuvama Institutional Equities.

The report said PVR INOX’s revenue and EBITDA are expected to grow 5% and 11% YoY, with best-ever ATP up 3% YoY/11% QoQ, on the back of Dhurandhar and Kantara Chapter -1.

As per the latest numbers, the movie has grossed ₹825.70 crore at the box office, within touching distance of becoming the highest-earning Indian film of all time.

Ad revenues weak

Meanwhile, the report noted that ad revenue continues to remain weak for broadcasters.

“ Ad revenue to decrease for a seventh consecutive quarter due to slower-than-expected FMCG ad spends,” it added.

Q4 recovery hopes

The report also forecasted that Q4 would be better than Q3 for all media companies. “For PVRINOX, Q4 pipeline includes Dhurandhar 2, Jana Nayagan (Vijay), Toxic (Yash), and The Raja Saab (Prabhas). Similarly, Saregama has key Bollywood releases. Ad revenue shall report a gradual improvement in Q4 for broadcasters,” it added.

Published on January 6, 2026



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Oil and gas sector EBITDA seen rising 17% in Q3FY26: Nuvama

Oil and gas sector EBITDA seen rising 17% in Q3FY26: Nuvama


The oil and gas sector is expected to deliver strong operational performance in the third quarter of FY26, with aggregate EBITDA projected to rise 17 per cent year-on-year, according to a sector preview note by Nuvama.

The oil and gas sector is expected to report a strong operational performance in the third quarter of FY26, with aggregate EBITDA projected to rise 17 per cent year-on-year, driven primarily by downstream and city gas segments, according to a sector preview note by Nuvama.

“We forecast O&G’s Q3FY26E aggregate EBITDA shall jump 17 per cent YoY led by OMCs/RIL/CGDs, partially offset by ONGC and gas utilities,” the report said.

Downstream leads gains

Refining and marketing segments are likely to outperform, supported by a sharp improvement in gross refining margins (GRMs). The report highlighted that Singapore GRMs rose 21 per cent year-on-year, aided by a significant expansion in product cracks, with petrol cracks up over two times and diesel cracks up nearly 1.5 times from last year.

Retail margins soften

Fuel retail margins, however, remained under pressure despite elevated refining profitability. “Fuel retail margins remain elevated in Q3FY26, but moderated YoY on higher product cracks and INR depreciation,” the note said. Diesel retail margins declined to INR 5.5 per litre, down 37 per cent year-on-year, while petrol retail margins stood at INR 10.7 per litre, a 17 per cent year-on-year decline.

Upstream remains weak

Upstream performance is expected to remain weak during the quarter, weighed down by lower production and softer crude prices, the report noted, adding that the average crude price declined to around USD 63 per barrel during the quarter.

The city gas distribution segment is projected to post modest growth, with EBITDA expected to increase 5 per cent year-on-year, as stable margins help offset muted volume growth. “EBITDA +5% YoY on steady margins offsetting weak volume growth,” the report stated, citing slower expansion in CNG demand and rising electric vehicle penetration in key urban markets.

Gas utilities mixed

Gas transmission and utility businesses are expected to see mixed performance. While LNG-related operations are projected to remain flat year-on-year, pipeline and petrochemical-linked earnings are likely to come under pressure due to weaker margins and higher operating costs.

Overall, the sector outlook for Q3FY26 reflects a divergence between downstream strength and upstream weakness, with refining gains and marketing margins partially offsetting declines in exploration, production, and gas utilities.

Published on January 6, 2026



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