Q4 to outperform Q3 for media & entertainment companies: Nuvama

Q4 to outperform Q3 for media & entertainment companies: Nuvama


Multiplexes reported strong footfalls during the December quarter, driven by the blockbuster run of Dhurandhar, while broadcasters continued to face weak advertising revenues, according to a quarterly preview by Nuvama Institutional Equities
| Photo Credit:
FRANCIS MASCARENHAS/Reuters

While multiplexes witnessed strong footfalls during the December quarter, aided by Dhurandhar’s strong run at the box office, broadcasters saw muted ad revenues, according to the quarterly preview report released by Nuvama Institutional Equities.

The report said PVR INOX’s revenue and EBITDA are expected to grow 5% and 11% YoY, with best-ever ATP up 3% YoY/11% QoQ, on the back of Dhurandhar and Kantara Chapter -1.

As per the latest numbers, the movie has grossed ₹825.70 crore at the box office, within touching distance of becoming the highest-earning Indian film of all time.

Ad revenues weak

Meanwhile, the report noted that ad revenue continues to remain weak for broadcasters.

“ Ad revenue to decrease for a seventh consecutive quarter due to slower-than-expected FMCG ad spends,” it added.

Q4 recovery hopes

The report also forecasted that Q4 would be better than Q3 for all media companies. “For PVRINOX, Q4 pipeline includes Dhurandhar 2, Jana Nayagan (Vijay), Toxic (Yash), and The Raja Saab (Prabhas). Similarly, Saregama has key Bollywood releases. Ad revenue shall report a gradual improvement in Q4 for broadcasters,” it added.

Published on January 6, 2026



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Oil and gas sector EBITDA seen rising 17% in Q3FY26: Nuvama

Oil and gas sector EBITDA seen rising 17% in Q3FY26: Nuvama


The oil and gas sector is expected to deliver strong operational performance in the third quarter of FY26, with aggregate EBITDA projected to rise 17 per cent year-on-year, according to a sector preview note by Nuvama.

The oil and gas sector is expected to report a strong operational performance in the third quarter of FY26, with aggregate EBITDA projected to rise 17 per cent year-on-year, driven primarily by downstream and city gas segments, according to a sector preview note by Nuvama.

“We forecast O&G’s Q3FY26E aggregate EBITDA shall jump 17 per cent YoY led by OMCs/RIL/CGDs, partially offset by ONGC and gas utilities,” the report said.

Downstream leads gains

Refining and marketing segments are likely to outperform, supported by a sharp improvement in gross refining margins (GRMs). The report highlighted that Singapore GRMs rose 21 per cent year-on-year, aided by a significant expansion in product cracks, with petrol cracks up over two times and diesel cracks up nearly 1.5 times from last year.

Retail margins soften

Fuel retail margins, however, remained under pressure despite elevated refining profitability. “Fuel retail margins remain elevated in Q3FY26, but moderated YoY on higher product cracks and INR depreciation,” the note said. Diesel retail margins declined to INR 5.5 per litre, down 37 per cent year-on-year, while petrol retail margins stood at INR 10.7 per litre, a 17 per cent year-on-year decline.

Upstream remains weak

Upstream performance is expected to remain weak during the quarter, weighed down by lower production and softer crude prices, the report noted, adding that the average crude price declined to around USD 63 per barrel during the quarter.

The city gas distribution segment is projected to post modest growth, with EBITDA expected to increase 5 per cent year-on-year, as stable margins help offset muted volume growth. “EBITDA +5% YoY on steady margins offsetting weak volume growth,” the report stated, citing slower expansion in CNG demand and rising electric vehicle penetration in key urban markets.

Gas utilities mixed

Gas transmission and utility businesses are expected to see mixed performance. While LNG-related operations are projected to remain flat year-on-year, pipeline and petrochemical-linked earnings are likely to come under pressure due to weaker margins and higher operating costs.

Overall, the sector outlook for Q3FY26 reflects a divergence between downstream strength and upstream weakness, with refining gains and marketing margins partially offsetting declines in exploration, production, and gas utilities.

Published on January 6, 2026



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Tata Motors PV (TMPV) shares decline as JLR Q3 volumes take a hit due to cyber incident

Tata Motors PV (TMPV) shares decline as JLR Q3 volumes take a hit due to cyber incident


Shares of Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles (TMPV) declined over 3 per cent on Tuesday after its luxury arm Jaguar Land Rover reported a sharp decline in wholesale and retail volumes for the third quarter of FY26, largely due to the impact of a previously disclosed cyber incident and planned product transitions.

The stock declined nearly 2 per cent to 366.25 on the NSE at 9.59 am, trading among losers of Nifty 50, hitting a early low of 360 against the previous close of 373.55.

Jaguar Land Rover stated that wholesales for the quarter ended December 31, 2025 stood at 59,200 units, marking a steep y-o-y decline of 43.3 per cent and a sequential drop of 10.6 per cent. Retail sales during the quarter were reported at 79,600 units, down 25.1 per cent from the same period last year and 6.7 per cent lower compared to the previous quarter.

According to JLR, production was significantly disrupted following a cyber incident, with manufacturing operations returning to normal levels only by mid-November. The company said that beyond the initial production stoppage, additional time was required to distribute vehicles globally after operations resumed, which weighed on both wholesale and retail volumes during the quarter.

It highlighted that the planned wind-down of legacy Jaguar models ahead of the launch of a new Jaguar portfolio continued to affect volumes, as anticipated. Incremental tariffs on US exports further added pressure, particularly in North America, which saw one of the sharpest year-on-year declines in wholesale volumes.

JLR said that wholesale volumes declined across all key geographies in the quarter, with North America, Europe and China seeing substantial contractions compared to last year. Despite the overall decline, the model mix remained skewed towards higher-margin vehicles, with Range Rover, Range Rover Sport and Defender accounting for 74.3 percent of total wholesale volumes.

For the nine months ended December 2025, wholesale volumes stood at 212,600 units, down 26.6 percent year on year, while retail volumes declined 19.1 percent to 259,400 units.

The weak quarterly performance at JLR is likely to influence near-term sentiment around Tata Motors’ passenger vehicle business, given the luxury arm’s significant contribution to consolidated revenues and profitability.

JLR said it will report its detailed Q3FY26 financial results in February 2026.

Published on January 6, 2026



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Crude oil futures decline on reports of US talks on Venezuelan production boost

Crude oil futures decline on reports of US talks on Venezuelan production boost


Crude oil futures traded lower on Tuesday morning after reports said the US administration plans to meet the oil companies later this week to discuss boosting oil production in Venezuela.

At 9.59 am on Tuesday, March Brent oil futures were at $61.57, down by 0.31 per cent, and February crude oil futures on WTI (West Texas Intermediate) were at $58.09, down by 0.39 per cent. January crude oil futures were trading at ₹5,245 on Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) during the initial hour of trading on Tuesday against the previous close of ₹5,270, down by 0.47 per cent, and February futures were trading at ₹5,255 against the previous close of ₹5,277, down by 0.42 per cent.

A Reuters report said that the US administration is planning to meet with executives from US oil companies later this week to discuss boosting Venezuelan oil production after US forces ousted its leader, Nicolas Maduro.

Quoting White House spokesperson Taylor Rogers, the report said: “All of our oil companies are ready and willing to make big investments in Venezuela that will rebuild their oil infrastructure, which was destroyed by the illegitimate Maduro regime.”

Citing four oil industry executives familiar with the matter, the report said the biggest US oil companies such as Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips, and Chevron have not yet had any conversations with the administration about Maduro’s ouster, contradicting Trump’s statements over the weekend that he had already held meetings with all the US oil companies, both before and since Maduro was seized.

Quoting one of the sources, the report said: “Nobody in those three companies has had conversations with the White House about operating in Venezuela, pre-removal or post-removal to this point.”

In their Commodities Feed for Tuesday, Warren Patterson, Head of Commodities Strategy of ING Think, and Ewa Manthey, Commodities Strategist, said oil prices had a choppy session on Monday with the market trying to digest the impact of the arrest of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro by the US. ICE Brent fell below $60 a barrel at one point during the trading session but settled 1.66 per cent higher on the day at $61.76 a barrel.

“Developments over the weekend pose further downside risk to Venezuelan oil supply in the short term, and leave the potential for upside in the longer term. This would require significant investment in the domestic energy sector, which foreign companies may be reluctant to undertake unless there is a more attractive investment environment or some form of guarantee for investors,” they said.

January aluminium futures were trading at ₹311.10 on MCX during the initial hour of trading on Tuesday against the previous close of ₹306.40, up by 1.53 per cent.

On the National Commodities and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX), Janaury guargum contracts were trading at ₹11553 in the initial hour of trading on Tuesday against the previous close of ₹11487, up by 0.57 per cent.

Janaury dhaniya futures were trading at ₹9,652 on NCDEX in the initial hour of trading on Tuesday against the previous close of ₹9,786, down by 1.37 per cent.

Published on January 6, 2026



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Brent crude may fall to  per barrel by June 2026: SBI report

Brent crude may fall to $50 per barrel by June 2026: SBI report


SBI estimates that a fall in crude could pull India’s CPI inflation below 3.4 per cent in FY27, offering meaningful inflation relief.
| Photo Credit:
iStockphoto

Global crude oil prices are expected to soften significantly in 2026, with Brent crude likely to decline to around USD 50 per barrel by June 2026, according to a report by State Bank of India.

The report highlighted that the overall outlook for crude oil prices in 2026 is weakening further from current levels amid rising inventories and softer global trends.

It stated “Crude oil prices to soften significantly in 2026 (to touch USD 50 /bbl by June 2026”.The report noted that the U.S. Energy Information Administration has estimated that Brent crude oil prices could fall to an average of USD 55 per barrel in the first quarter of 2026. This decline is largely attributed to a buildup of inventories, which is expected to exert downward pressure on prices.

Given the strong linkage between global and domestic crude prices, the report stated that the Indian crude basket, which has a correlation of 0.98 with Brent crude, is also expected to follow a similar softening trend.

Indian basket impact

As a result, movements in Brent crude prices suggest further easing in the Indian basket in the coming months.

The report also mentioned that a moving average analysis of Indian crude prices indicates that current levels are trending below both the 50-period and 200-period moving averages. This technical trend points to the possibility of lower prices ahead from the current level of USD 62.20 per barrel.

The expected decline in crude prices is also likely to have a favourable impact on India’s inflation dynamics.

The report stated that the anticipated fall in the Indian basket price to USD 53.31 per barrel, combined with the dynamic daily pricing mechanism, would be transmitted to fuel prices at retail fuel stations.

Inflation relief ahead

The report estimated that a 14 per cent correction in the Indian basket in the fourth quarter of FY26 could exert a downward pressure of around 22 basis points on the CPI basket, assuming a 48 per cent passthrough.

This moderation is expected to pull average CPI inflation for FY27 decisively below 3.4 per cent, providing meaningful relief on the inflation front also.

Published on January 6, 2026



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IndusInd Bank reports drop in advances and deposits in Q3

IndusInd Bank reports drop in advances and deposits in Q3


IndusInd Bank also saw a sharp drop in its CASA ratio, which fell to 30.3 per cent at December-end 2025 from 34.9 per cent a year earlier, indicating pressure on low-cost deposit mobilisation during the quarter.
| Photo Credit:
ANUSHREE FADNAVIS/Reuters

IndusInd Bank (IIB) has reported a drop in both net advances and deposits in the third quarter ended December 31, 2025.

The private sector lender’s net advances and deposits declined by 13.1 per cent year-on-year (yoy) and 3.8 per cent yoy, respectively, per provisional numbers shared by the Bank in its regulatory filing.

As of December-end 2025, IIB’s deposits and net advances stood at Rs 3,94,022 crore and Rs 3,18,844 crore.

The CASA (current account, savings account) ratio declined to 30.3 per cent of total deposits as at December-end 2025 against 34.9 per cent as at December-end 2024.

Published on January 6, 2026



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