Gold above ,275; Silver near record .31 after Fed Rate Cut

Gold above $4,275; Silver near record $64.31 after Fed Rate Cut


 Comex gold is holding above its 20-day exponential moving average near $4,200, with the next resistance zone opening toward $4,350. In India, MCX gold broke out to lifetime highs near ₹1,32,776, with support at ₹1,31,400. 
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Gold extended its rally to a seven-week high above $4,275 per ounce on Friday, while silver climbed toward a record peak of $64.31 on Comex, following the US Federal Reserve’s 25 basis point interest rate cut to 3.50 per cent-3.75 per cent.

The precious metals surge came as Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks were interpreted as modestly dovish, prompting traders to increase expectations for further monetary easing. The Fed also announced plans to purchase approximately $40 billion in short-dated Treasury bills to ease money market strains, a move expected to cap upward pressure on short-term yields and support bullion prices.

Gold broke past the key near-term resistance level of $4,240, gaining more than 1 per cent in the session. Comex gold is holding above its 20-day exponential moving average near $4,200, with the next resistance zone opening toward $4,350. In India, MCX gold broke out to lifetime highs near ₹1,32,776, with support at ₹1,31,400.

Silver outperformed gold in both global and domestic markets, decisively breaking above the $64 level to reach a new 52-week high. The white metal’s rally was supported by supply squeeze concerns, stimulus news from China, and increased ETF inflows. Comex silver broke above its upper channel resistance near $63.80, with analysts expecting the metal to maintain positive momentum as long as it holds above $60.

“Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and silver, attracting fresh investment flows,” said Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research at Geojit Investments Limited. He noted that the post-cut weakening of the U.S. dollar further supports prices by making metals more affordable for global buyers.

The dollar index dropped to a two-month low, adding to bullion’s appeal. Domestic prices in India received additional support from rupee depreciation against the dollar.

Published on December 12, 2025



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फिर रसातल में रुपया, इन तीन कारणों से टूटकर रिकॉर्ड निचले स्तर पहुंच गई भारतीय करेंसी

फिर रसातल में रुपया, इन तीन कारणों से टूटकर रिकॉर्ड निचले स्तर पहुंच गई भारतीय करेंसी


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Rupee vs Dollar: भारतीय रुपये की कमजोरी लगातार गहराती जा रही है और यह गिरावट थमने का नाम नहीं ले रही है. यूएस फेडरल रिज़र्व द्वारा ब्याज दरों में कटौती किए जाने के बावजूद रुपये को कोई सहारा नहीं मिल पाया है. हफ्ते के आखिरी कारोबारी दिन यानी शुक्रवार को रुपये में एक बार फिर भारी गिरावट दर्ज की गई और यह 24 पैसे टूटकर अमेरिकी डॉलर के मुकाबले 90.56 रुपये प्रति डॉलर के नए रिकॉर्ड निचले स्तर पर पहुंच गया.

बाजार विशेषज्ञों का कहना है कि भारत-अमेरिका ट्रेड डील को लेकर बनी अनिश्चितता और विदेशी पोर्टफोलियो निवेशकों की लगातार निकासी ने रुपये पर गहरा दबाव डाला है, जिसके चलते निवेशकों की धारणा कमजोर बनी हुई है.

रिकॉर्ड निचले स्तर पर रुपया

विदेशी मुद्रा कारोबारियों के अनुसार, अंतरराष्ट्रीय बाजार में सोना-चांदी जैसी कीमती धातुओं के दाम में तेज उछाल आया है, जिससे आयातकों की ओर से डॉलर की मांग अचानक बढ़ गई. आयात महंगा होने पर कंपनियां अधिक डॉलर खरीदती हैं, जिसके कारण घरेलू मुद्रा और दबाव में आ जाती है. इंटरबैंक विदेशी मुद्रा बाजार में शुक्रवार को रुपया 90.43 पर खुला, लेकिन जल्द ही फिसलकर 90.56 पर पहुंच गया. यह पिछले बंद भाव से 24 पैसे की कमजोरी दर्शाता है.

गुरुवार को भी रुपये में 38 पैसे की बड़ी गिरावट आई थी और वह अपने अब तक के सबसे निचले स्तर 90.32 पर बंद हुआ था. वहीं, डॉलर इंडेक्स—जो छह प्रमुख वैश्विक मुद्राओं के मुकाबले अमेरिकी डॉलर की मजबूती को दर्शाता है—हल्की बढ़त के साथ 98.37 पर पहुंच गया, जिससे रुपए पर अतिरिक्त दबाव बना.

घरेलू शेयर बाजार में आज शुरुआती कारोबार सकारात्मक रहा. सेंसेक्स 170 अंकों की तेजी के साथ 84,988 पर और निफ्टी लगभग 98 अंकों की बढ़त के साथ 25,997 के स्तर पर पहुंच गया. मजबूत शुरुआती बाजार के बावजूद रुपये पर इसका कोई विशेष प्रभाव नहीं पड़ा.

क्या कहते हैं एक्सपर्ट्स?

मिराए एसेट शेयरखान के विश्लेषक अनुज चौधरी का कहना है कि भारत-अमेरिका ट्रेड डील को लेकर चल रही अनिश्चितता रुपये की गिरावट का सबसे बड़ा कारण है. हालांकि घरेलू बाजार की तेजी और कमजोर अमेरिकी डॉलर ने गिरावट को सीमित करने की कोशिश की, लेकिन निवेशकों की सतर्कता अभी भी कायम है. चौधरी के अनुसार, आने वाले दिनों में रुपये में उतार-चढ़ाव जारी रहने की आशंका है, क्योंकि दोनों देशों के बीच व्यापार समझौते में देरी से निवेशकों के मन में आशंका बढ़ सकती है. उनका अनुमान है कि डॉलर-रुपया विनिमय दर निकट अवधि में 90.10 से 90.75 के दायरे में रह सकती है. केंद्रीय बैंक द्वारा किसी भी तरह का हस्तक्षेप रुपये को निचले स्तर पर सहारा दे सकता है.

इस बीच, अंतरराष्ट्रीय बाजार में ब्रेंट क्रूड तेल की कीमत 0.67 प्रतिशत बढ़कर 61.69 डॉलर प्रति बैरल पर पहुंच गई. वहीं, विदेशी संस्थागत निवेशकों (FII) ने गुरुवार को 2,020 करोड़ रुपये के शेयरों की शुद्ध बिक्री की, जिससे बाजार पर बिकवाली का दबाव और बढ़ा तथा रुपये पर नकारात्मक प्रभाव पड़ा.

ये भी पढ़ें: आरबीआई ने कब-कब रेपो रेट में की कितनी कटौती, कैसे दी जनता को बड़ी राहत



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Intel has tested chipmaking tools from firm with sanctioned China unit

Intel has tested chipmaking tools from firm with sanctioned China unit


Highlights
  • Intel’s testing raises national security concerns, China hawks warn
  • ACM denies national security threat, highlights US safeguards
  • Tools were tested for use in Intel’s most advanced chipmaking process

Chipmaker Intel, has tested chipmaking tools this year from a toolmaker with deep roots in China and two overseas units that were targeted by US sanctions, according to two sources with direct knowledge of the matter.

Intel, which fended off calls for its CEO’s resignation from President Donald Trump in August over his alleged ties to China, got the tools from ACM Research, a Fremont, California-based producer of chipmaking equipment. Two of ACM’s units, based in Shanghai and South Korea, were among a number of firms barred last year from receiving US technology over claims they have supported the Chinese government’s efforts at harnessing commercial technology for military use and making advanced chips or chipmaking tools. ACM denies the allegations. The two so-called wet-etch tools, used for removing material from the silicon wafers that are transformed into semiconductors, were tested for possible use in Intel’s most advanced chipmaking process, known as 14A. That process is due for an initial launch in 2027.

Reuters could not determine if Intel had made a decision to add the tools to the advanced chipmaking process and has no evidence that the company violated any US regulations. ACM said it could not comment on “specific customer engagements,” but can confirm that “ACMR’s U.S. team has sold and delivered multiple tools from our Asian operations to domestic customers.” It also said it has disclosed the shipment of three tools to a “major US-based semiconductor manufacturer,” which are being tested and some of which have met performance standards.

But the fact that Intel, which is now part-owned by the US government, would consider adding tools made by a firm with sanctioned units into its most advanced manufacturing line, raises important national security concerns, China hawks said. They flagged the possible transfer of Intel’s sensitive technological know-how to China, the eventual displacement of trusted Western tool suppliers with China-linked firms and even the potential for sabotage efforts by Beijing. Faced with Beijing’s imposition of export controls on rare earth minerals, US President Donald Trump has backed off most hard-line policies on chip exports to China and on Monday gave the green light for Nvidia to sell its second most advanced AI chips in China. But as Chinese toolmakers begin to make incursions into the global marketplace, concern is growing among lawmakers of both parties, who earlier this month reintroduced legislation to bar chipmakers that have received billions in US government subsidies from using Chinese equipment as part of their government-backed expansion plans.

Intel’s testing of ACM tools “highlights egregious gaps in U.S. technology protection policies and should not be permitted,” said Chris McGuire, a former White House National Security Council official under President Joe Biden and Senior Fellow with the Council on Foreign Relations, in response to Reuters’ findings.

“Chinese tools could easily be remotely or physically manipulated by Beijing to degrade or even halt U.S. chip production. And U.S. companies should play no part in helping China improve its chipmaking tools, which are the foundation of all advanced technology development,” he added. ACM said it does not pose a national security threat, noting that its US operations are “bifurcated and isolated” from the sanctioned Shanghai-based unit, and that US customers are supported directly by US personnel, with robust safeguards to protect customer trade secrets.

The Chinese embassy in Washington did not address the specific concerns cited by China hawks but said “Normal trade and economic cooperation between companies should not be politicised. We urge certain individuals in the US to abandon ideological biases and stop generalising the concept of national security.”

ACM HAS LONGSTANDING CHINA TIES

ACM Research was founded in 1998 by David Wang, who still serves as CEO and owns over 57 per cent of the company’s voting shares. ACM’s Chinese-language website lists Wang as an American citizen with Chinese permanent residence.

ACM also sells equipment to sanctioned Chinese chipmaker YMTC as well as China’s CXMT, which was named by the Defence Department as a Chinese military-backed company, according to a recent presentation on its website. SMIC, another ACM customer targeted by U.S. sanctions over alleged ties to the Chinese military industrial complex, accounts for 14% of ACM’s sales, the company says. While the company is headquartered in California, most of the company’s research and development take place in China, where ACM established its Shanghai-based R&D facility in 2006 according to a May 2025 investor presentation. “ACM now has complete R&D, engineering and manufacturing operations at its Zhangjiang High-Tech Park facility in Shanghai, China,” ACM’s website says.

BIG HUB IN OREGON’S ‘SILICON FOREST’

In November 2023, ACM announced the opening of a new facility in Hillsboro, Oregon — an area nicknamed the state’s Silicon Forest — “strategically located near key customers and partners” to serve as the company’s new sales and service hub. The building is about a mile from Intel’s flagship R&D and early-stage manufacturing plant and there are no other cutting-edge chip factories in the State.

A January report by U.S.-based hedge fund Kerrisdale Capital said the facility was aimed at supporting ACM’s relationship with Intel, noting that ACM qualified a new tool there in late 2023, and delivered additional tools in mid-2024. ACM “has laid the foundation for expansion outside China through strategic engagements with global leaders such as Intel” which could bear fruit in 2026, Kerrisdale said in a follow-up report released last month. The toolmaker has “active tool evaluations across a range of cleaning process steps” at Intel and the firm is “upgrading its customer demonstration lab and local R&D capabilities there to enable Intel to run wafers locally on ACMR tools,” it added.

Intel did not respond to a request for comment on the report. ACM said it is not a significant supplier of equipment to any major US chipmaker.

CHINA’S PUSH FOR GLOBAL

ACM is still a small player on the global stage, ranking 24th in the global semiconductor equipment market with an 8% share of the segment for cleaning tools, according to Gartner Research.

But Beijing has been striving since at least 2015 to build a competitive domestic semiconductor manufacturing industry, long before Washington began restricting Chinese access to US tools, the House Select Committee on China said in an October report, citing gains in global market share for Chinese toolmakers.

The committee “has even reviewed with concern reports that ACM Research…has sold (semiconductor manufacturing equipment) to a semiconductor manufacturer with U.S. operations that also formally certified ACM Research’s tools for use in its production line,” the report adds, without further detail.

Tools from ACM and Chinese counterparts are 20-30 per cent cheaper than those made by rivals like Applied Materials and Lam, according to Dan Hutcheson, Vice Chair of TechInsights Inc, creating a downward price pressure on more established competitors.

Published on December 12, 2025



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Russian Oil exports drop sharply in November as sanctions concerns weigh on buyers: IEA

Russian Oil exports drop sharply in November as sanctions concerns weigh on buyers: IEA


FILE PHOTO: A drone view of a pump jack and drilling rig south of Midland, Texas, U.S. June 11, 2025. REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo
| Photo Credit:
Eli Hartman

Russian oil exports saw a steep decline in November as buyers grew increasingly cautious over the risks linked to more stringent US sanctions, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its latest report.

The agency highlighted that Russian oil exports fell by 420 kb/d (thousand barrels per day) in November, and the combination of lower shipments and weaker prices dragged Moscow’s oil revenue down to $11 billion, which is $3.6 billion less than a year ago.

IEA stated, “Russia’s total oil exports fell by roughly 400 kb/d in November to 6.9 mb/d, as buyers assessed the implications and risks associated with more stringent sanctions.” The fall in exports also led to a sharp decline in Urals crude prices, which plunged by $8.2/bbl (bbl is barrel, about 159 litres) to $43.52/bbl, pushing export revenues to their lowest level since the start of the Ukraine conflict in February 2022.

The United States has warned several countries that they could face additional tariffs and punitive trade measures if they continue purchasing Russian oil. It has imposed an additional 25 per cent tariff on imports from India, citing continued purchases of Russian Oil. This was in addition to the 25 per cent tariff previously announced by US President Trump.

According to the IEA, global oil supply fell by 610 kb/d in November, extending cumulative declines from September’s record of 109 mb/d (Million barrels per day) to 1.5 mb/d. The report noted that OPEC+ accounted for more than three-quarters of the overall decline, driven mainly by supply disruptions in sanctions-hit Russia and Venezuela.

The group contributed to 80 per cent of the supply drop over the past two months, reflecting major unplanned outages in Kuwait and Kazakhstan, alongside continuing contractions in Russia and Venezuela.In contrast, Iran’s oil loadings have remained strong at about 1.9 mb/d in recent months. Among non-OPEC+ producers, the United States, Brazil and biofuels were the main contributors to the overall supply decline.

Despite recent tightness, the IEA said global oil supply is still expected to grow by 3 mb/d in 2025 and by another 2.4 mb/d in 2026. On the demand side, world oil demand is forecast to rise by 830 kb/d in 2025, supported by improved macroeconomic and trade conditions. The agency has also upgraded its 2026 demand outlook to 860 kb/d, an increase of 90 kb/d from its earlier estimate.

The report pointed out that gasoil and jet/kerosene will drive half of the demand growth this year, while fuel oil continues to lose ground due to substitution by natural gas and solar in power generation. Meanwhile, refinery outages and upcoming EU restrictions on products derived from Russian crude have pushed product cracks and refining margins to three-year highs in November, the IEA added.

Published on December 12, 2025



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CCL Products looks beyond coffee to emerge as food and beverge FMCG player

CCL Products looks beyond coffee to emerge as food and beverge FMCG player


CCL Products (India) Ltd, the country’s largest coffee exporter, is now preparing for its most ambitious transformation yet, evolving beyond coffee into a diversified food and beverage FMCG company. CCL, which sells coffees in the domestic market under brands such as Continental and Malgudi through a distribution network of around 1.5 lakh outlets, is diversifying its product portfolio including products such as tea and snacks.

The company recently launched South Indian snacks under the Malgudi brand. Malgudi began with filter coffee and is now being extended into traditional snacks such as chegodis, muruku, ribbon pakodis and soon, banana chips. The focus is currently on South India, where the brand has natural equity, before expanding nationwide with these snacks, said Praveen Jaipuriar, CEO, CCL Products.

Similarly, CCL had began experimenting with iced tea this summer under its premix brand ‘This,’ especially targeting North India, where coffee consumption is more seasonal. The idea is to leverage existing capabilities such as its institutional vending supply chain, which already includes tea, to build relevant niche offerings in retail, Jaipuriar added.

CCL’s coffee vending business itself has grown into a sizeable vertical of ₹30-40 crore, with the companies supplying machines and premixes to offices, hospitals, educational institutions and even IPL venues.

Practical realisation

CCL’s push towards diversification is driven by a practical realisation — expanding deeper into India’s retail landscape requires more throughput per outlet. Coffee alone cannot support the economics of distribution when entering smaller shops. “If we have to grow our presence from 1.5 lakh outlets to 2.5 or 3 lakh, we need more categories that complement coffee and strengthen the business model,” Jaipuriar said.

The company started experimenting with the cafe model in Hyderabad last year. “I don’t think we have found a big sweet spot there. We’re still experimenting, seeing what model could work, because that’s a tough category,” Jaipuriar said. For now, CCL is focussed on aggressively growing the core coffee business while nurturing new FMCG categories that can take off in the next 2-3 years. “Non-coffee revenues remain below 1% today, but the company believes these seeds will grow into strong revenue engines as scale builds,” Jaipuriar said.

For the first half of current fiscal, CCL reported 19 per cent growth in net profits at ₹173 crore, while its revenues were up 44.5 per cent at ₹2,186 crore. Domestic market accounted for revenues of ₹310-odd crores in the first half, of which ₹210 crore came from the branded business. CCL manufactures coffees for bulk and private labels in the B2B category.

Published on December 12, 2025



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Oracle stock plunges as AI data center spending hits  billion and FY26 capex jumps to  billion

Oracle stock plunges as AI data center spending hits $12 billion and FY26 capex jumps to $50 billion


Oracle Corp. shares plunged the most in almost 11 months after the company escalated its spending on AI data centers and other equipment, rising outlays that are taking longer to translate into cloud revenue than investors want.

Capital expenditures, a metric of data center spending, were about $12 billion in the quarter, an increase from $8.5 billion in the preceding period, the company said Wednesday in a statement. Analysts anticipated $8.25 billion in capital spending in the quarter, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. 

Oracle now expects capital expenditures will reach about $50 billion in the fiscal year ending in May 2026 — a $15 billion increase from its September forecast — executives said on a conference call after the results were released.

Market turns wary

The shares fell 11% to $198.85 at the close Thursday in New York, the biggest single-day decline since Jan. 27. Oracle’s stock had already lost about a third of its value through Wednesday’s close since a record high on Sept. 10. Meanwhile, a measure of Oracle’s credit risk reached a fresh 16-year high.

The latest earning report and share slide marks a reversal of fortunes for a company that just a few months ago was enjoying a blistering rally and clinching multibillion-dollar data center deals with the likes of OpenAI. The gains temporarily turned co-founder Larry Ellison into the world’s richest person, with the tech magnate passing Elon Musk for a few hours.

Cloud growth slows

Known for its database software, Oracle has recently found success in the competitive cloud computing market. It’s engaging in a massive data center build-out to power AI work for OpenAI and also counts companies such as ByteDance Ltd.’s TikTok and Meta Platforms Inc. as major cloud customers. 

Fiscal second-quarter cloud sales increased 34% to $7.98 billion, while revenue in the company’s closely watched infrastructure business gained 68% to $4.08 billion. Both numbers fell just short of analysts’ estimates.

Still, Wall Street has raised doubts about the costs and time required to develop AI infrastructure at such a massive scale. Oracle has taken out significant sums of debt and committed to leasing multiple data center sites. 

Debt pressure builds

The cost of protecting the company’s debt against default for five years rose as much as 0.17 percentage point to around 1.41 percentage point a year, the highest intraday level since April 2009, according to ICE Data Services. The gauge rises as investor confidence in the company’s credit quality falls. Oracle credit derivatives have become a credit market barometer for AI risk.

“Oracle faces its own mounting scrutiny over a debt-fueled data center build-out and concentration risk amid questions over the outcome of AI spending uncertainty,” said Jacob Bourne, an analyst at Emarketer. “This revenue miss will likely exacerbate concerns among already cautious investors about its OpenAI deal and its aggressive AI spending.”

Remaining performance obligation, a measure of bookings, jumped more than fivefold to $523 billion in the quarter, which ended Nov. 30. Analysts, on average, estimated $519 billion.

Investors want to see Oracle turn its higher spending on infrastructure into revenue as quickly as it has promised. 

“The vast majority of our cap ex investments are for revenue generating equipment that is going into our data centers and not for land, buildings or power that collectively are covered via leases,” Principal Financial Officer Doug Kehring said on the call. “Oracle does not pay for these leases until the completed data centers and accompanying utilities are delivered to us.”

“As a foundational principle, we expect and are committed to maintaining our investment grade debt rating,” Kehring added.

Oracle’s cash burn increased in the quarter and its free cash flow reached a negative $10 billion. Overall, the company has about $106 billion in debt, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. “Investors continually seem to expect incremental cap ex to drive incremental revenue faster than the current reality,” wrote Mark Murphy, an analyst at JP Morgan.

“Oracle is very good at building and running high-performance and cost-efficient cloud data centers,” Clay Magouyrk, one of Oracle’s two chief executive officers, said in the statement. “Because our data centers are highly automated, we can build and run more of them.”

This is Oracle’s first earnings report since longtime Chief Executive Officer Safra Catz was succeeded by Magouyrk and Mike Sicilia, who are sharing the CEO post.

High-stakes AI bets

Part of the negative sentiment from investors in recent weeks is tied to increased skepticism about the business prospects of OpenAI, which is seeing more competition from companies like Alphabet Inc.’s Google, wrote Kirk Materne, an analyst at Evercore ISI, in a note ahead of earnings. Investors would like to see Oracle management explain how they could adjust spending plans if demand from OpenAI changes, he added.

In the quarter, total revenue expanded 14% to $16.1 billion. The company’s cloud software application business rose 11% to $3.9 billion. This is the first quarter that Oracle’s cloud infrastructure unit generated more sales than the applications business.

Earnings, excluding some items, were $2.26 a share. The profit was helped by the sale of Oracle’s holdings in chipmaker Ampere Computing, the company said. That generated a pretax gain of $2.7 billion in the period. Ampere, which was backed early in its life by Oracle, was bought by Japan’s SoftBank Group Corp. in a transaction that closed last month.

In the current period, which ends in February, total revenue will increase 19% to 22%, while cloud sales will increase 40% to 44%, Kehring said on the call. Both forecasts were in line with analysts’ estimates.

Annual revenue will be $67 billion, affirming an outlook the company gave in October.

More stories like this are available on bloomberg.com

Published on December 12, 2025



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