Speed is not always a virtue in finance: RBI Dy Guv Swaminathan

Speed is not always a virtue in finance: RBI Dy Guv Swaminathan


Deputy Governor of Reserve Bank of India Swaminathan J speaking at the 3rd International Finance and Accounting Conference at Indian Institute of Management (IIM) Jammu

Speed is not always a virtue in finance as it sometimes hides weakness, according to Swaminathan J, Deputy Governor, RBI.

“A product can reach ten million people within months. A credit model can approve loans in seconds. A payments platform can process massive volumes,” he said.

“This scale is powerful, but it also means that harm can scale quickly if design is poor, controls are weak, or incentives are misaligned,” Swaminathan said in his recent speech at the 3rd International Finance and Accounting Conference at the Indian Institute of Management (IIM), Jammu.

He noted that technology is a force multiplier, which amplifies good design as well as bad design.

“Eventually, the future will reward institutions that can combine efficiency and innovation with prudence, and growth with resilience,” the Deputy Governor said.

Swaminathan underscored that in finance, small compromises can become large losses.

“There will be moments where the easy path is tempting. A shortcut in due diligence; A small compromise on disclosure; A “temporary” relaxation of standards; or A target that encourages aggressive sales. These compromises may look small in the moment, but they compound,” he cautioned.

He emphasised that finance needs numbers, but more importantly, it also needs integrity in numbers.

“In the age of dashboards and AI, it is easy to forget that accounting is a discipline of clarity. It forces us to recognise losses, admit uncertainty, value assets prudently, and explain performance in a way that others can rely on,” he added

“In many organisations, the true difference between a good institution and a weak one is not how fast it grows, but how truthfully it measures itself,” he said.

The Deputy Governor observed that many problems in finance start small, sometimes, quite literally, in the ‘small print’.

“A fee not explained clearly; A clause buried in the terms; A loan that is easy to take but hard to repay; or A product sold to meet a target, not to meet a need,” he said.

“Over time, these small problems become big issues. They show up as complaints, disputes, defaults, and customer harm,” he said.

Therefore, finance professionals should endeavour to design and sell products that are suitable, transparent, and fair. The best leaders prevent harm before it occurs. They do not wait for problems to become headlines.

Published on March 4, 2026



Source link

Rupee continues to feel reverberations of West Asia war; sinks to record closing low of 92.15/$

Rupee continues to feel reverberations of West Asia war; sinks to record closing low of 92.15/$


The Rupee’s weakness also comes in the backdrop of the US Dollar (USD) gaining strength against other currencies as global investors are piling into Dollar assets due to risk-off sentiments
| Photo Credit:
KSL

The Rupee continued to feel the reverberations of the war in West Asia, weakening 120 paise against the US Dollar in the last two trading sessions amid concerns over the negative impact that the spike in global crude oil prices could have on India’s current account balance and inflation.

The rupee on Wednesday sank 68 paise to close at an all-time low of 92.15 per US Dollar (USD). This came on top of the 52-paise decline in rupee against the US dollar on Monday.

The Rupee’s previous all-time closing low was 91.96 per dollar on January 29..

Dollar strength

The Rupee’s weakness also comes in the backdrop of the US Dollar gaining strength against other currencies as global investors are piling into Dollar assets due to risk-off sentiments in the midst of geopolitical tensions arising from the attack by the US-Israel combine on Iran and retaliatory strikes by the latter.

V Rama Chandra Reddy, Head – Treasury, Karur Vysya Bank, noted that the fallout of the ongoing West Asia war is that the Rupee continues to be under pressure, with a strong Dollar, FPI outflows from the domestic equity markets and rising crude oil prices vitiating market sentiments.

He said the central bank likely intervened at the 92.25-92.30 level, which strengthened the Rupee to 92.05 before it closed at a record low.

Reddy opined that if the war prolongs, there could be implications for the current account balance, with the possibility of the deficit widening due to higher crude oil prices and remittances from the Gulf Co-operation Council countries getting impacted. This, in turn, can pressure the Rupee.

Nomura assessed that every 10 per cent oil price change worsens India’s Current Account by 0.4 percentage points. In India, it expects a higher import bill and risk-aversion driven portfolio outflows to increase BOP (balance of payments) funding pressure in the near term, while higher oil prices will reinforce the RBI’s on-hold stance and can add to fiscal risks.

According to Nomura Economists Sonal Varma and Aurodeep Nandi, India’s major external sector risk, though, is not from its current account, but from the capital account, where a sharp drop in foreign investment flows is leading to a large balance of payments deficit in FY26. A combination of a widening current account deficit and FII outflows due to global risk aversion could accentuate rupee weakness, they said.

Oil Impact

Anindya Banerjee, Head Currency and Commodity Research, Kotak Securities, USDINR has surged to a fresh all-time high near 92.30 in the spot market, driven by the sharp rise in crude oil prices and a broader shortage of dollar liquidity in global markets amid the escalating conflict involving Iran, the US, and Israel.

“We expect the RBI to intervene periodically to contain excessive volatility and prevent a disorderly depreciation in the rupee. However, as long as crude oil prices remain elevated, the rupee could continue to face depreciation pressures,” he said.

Banerjee underscored that the key variable to monitor now is the status of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical artery for global oil shipments. The longer disruptions persist, the higher oil prices are likely to move, which in turn could push USDINR further upward.

Conversely, any quick de-escalation in the conflict and restoration of normal shipping flows through Hormuz could help stabilise crude prices and provide some relief to the rupee.

Published on March 4, 2026



Source link

SEBI revamps AIF reporting framework, introduces annual filing

SEBI revamps AIF reporting framework, introduces annual filing


A limited Quarterly Activity Report in a new format will also be required within 15 days of each quarter-end, starting June 2026, with no separate filing for the March quarter.
| Photo Credit:
HEMANSHI KAMANI

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has overhauled the regulatory reporting framework for Alternative Investment Funds (AIFs), replacing the existing quarterly activity report regime with a combination of annual and limited quarterly filings, aimed at easing compliance burdens.

In a circular issued on Wednesday, SEBI said AIFs will now be required to submit a comprehensive Annual Activity Report within 30 calendar days from the end of each financial year. The first such report, for the year ending March 2026, must be filed by May 31, 2026, through the SEBI Intermediary Portal.

In addition, AIFs will file a limited Quarterly Activity Report in a revised format within 15 days of the end of each quarter, starting with the quarter ending June 2026. No separate quarterly report will be required for the March quarter, as the annual filing will subsume those data points.

The revised reporting formats will be hosted by the Indian Venture and Alternate Capital Association (IVCA), which will also assist AIFs in implementation. The changes supersede earlier provisions under the Master Circular for AIFs and take immediate effect, aligning with recommendations to reduce compliance costs while maintaining regulatory oversight.

Published on March 4, 2026



Source link

Rupee hits all-time low of ₹92.30 amid war fears; Sensex drops 1,123 points

Rupee hits all-time low of ₹92.30 amid war fears; Sensex drops 1,123 points


Markets endured a brutal session on Wednesday as escalating hostilities under “Operation Epic Fury” involving the United States, Israel, and Iran triggered a broad risk-off selloff, driving the rupee to an unprecedented low and sending MCX gold surging past ₹1.63 lakh.

The Sensex crashed 1,122.66 points, or 1.40 per cent, to close at 79,116.19, while the Nifty 50 shed 385.20 points, or 1.55 per cent, to end at 24,480.50. The rupee breached the psychological ₹92 mark for the first time, touching an all-time low of ₹92.30 against the US dollar, having opened at 92.05. India VIX surged 22.6 per cent to 20.83 — its highest since May 2025 — as Brent crude pushed toward $85 per barrel on fears of disruption to the Strait of Hormuz.

Broader markets were hit harder. The Nifty Next 50 tumbled 2.70 per cent, the Nifty Midcap 100 fell 2.16 per cent, and the Nifty Smallcap 100 slipped 2.11 per cent. Nifty Bank dropped 1.81 per cent to 58,755.25. Of 4,433 stocks traded on the BSE, only 1,053 advanced against 3,245 declines, with 719 stocks hitting 52-week lows.

Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, captured the global context: “…South Korea’s KOSPI plunged nearly 12 per cent, triggering circuit breakers, while Thailand’s SET index declined over 8 per cent, highlighting the intensity of the global risk aversion.”

On the Nifty 50, only four stocks ended in the green. Bharti Airtel rose 1.88 per cent to ₹1,908.50, Coal India gained 1.85 per cent to ₹434.15, Infosys added 1.33 per cent to ₹1,306.10, and Tech Mahindra edged up 0.15 per cent to ₹1,347.40. Tata Steel was the top loser, plunging 7.08 per cent to ₹196.06, followed by TMPV, down 5.29 per cent to ₹351.00, SBI Life Insurance, down 4.98 per cent to ₹1,931.00, JSW Steel, down 4.67 per cent to ₹1,208.10, and Larsen & Toubro, down 4.54 per cent to ₹3,882.00. Nifty Metal was the worst sectoral performer, shedding over 4 per cent, while Nifty IT was the sole gainer, up a modest 0.11 per cent, buoyed by the rupee’s slide.

MCX gold surged 1.50 per cent to above ₹1.63 lakh, with Indian spot gold touching ₹1.70 lakh, while silver jumped 2.81 per cent. Aamir Makda, Commodity and Currency Analyst at Choice Broking, called it “…a classic flight-to-safety response.” Anindya Banerjee, Head of Currency and Commodity Research at Kotak Securities, flagged the Strait of Hormuz as the key variable: “…As long as crude oil prices remain elevated, the rupee could continue to face depreciation pressures.” He sees USDINR trading in a near-term range of 91–93 and expects the RBI to intervene to curb excessive volatility.

Sudeep Shah, Head of Technical and Derivatives Research at SBI Securities, warned that Nifty has broken decisively below the 24,570–24,600 support zone, with the RSI near 30 signalling bearish momentum. Immediate support sits at 24,300–24,350; a breakdown there risks a slide toward 24,100 and 23,800. Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments Limited, advised restraint: “…We advise investors to avoid panic sell-off and adopt a disciplined, long-term perspective…as current price levels may offer a strategic entry point for the medium to long term.” For Bank Nifty, the 58,200–58,100 zone is the support to watch Thursday, with 59,200–59,300 as immediate resistance.

Published on March 4, 2026



Source link

Heightened risk in Strait of Hormuz threatens pet coke supply to India

Heightened risk in Strait of Hormuz threatens pet coke supply to India


US and Israeli strikes on Iran have heightened disruption risk to Persian Gulf petroleum coke flows through the Strait of Hormuz, threatening exports to India and China, and potentially tightening supply, said Kpler.
| Photo Credit:
Dado Ruvic

The joint US-Israel offensive on Iran has heightened fears of a disruption in shipments of petroleum coke—a key input for the cement and steel sectors—from the Persian Gulf to India, a key consumer and importer.

India’s consumption of the carbonaceous product obtained during final cracking in oil refining has been rising in the past few years on the back of rising production of cement and steel as India’s industrial and commercial demand rises.

US and Israeli strikes on Iran have heightened disruption risk to Persian Gulf petroleum coke (pet coke) flows through the Strait of Hormuz, threatening exports to India and China, and potentially tightening supply, said Kpler.

The global data and analytics provider pointed out that increased geopolitical risk across the Strait of Hormuz has raised concerns for pet coke flows and the market will now price higher freight risk and lack of insurance for vessels transiting the world’s most critical energy choke point.

Cement producers to feel heat

“India sits as the largest single destination for Gulf pet coke, particularly fuel grade coke. Indian cement producers run on pet coke as a primary fuel. A prolonged supply disruption exceeding a few weeks from Hormuz forces either a switch to domestic or imported coal or a sourcing pivot to the US Gulf pet coke, which will come with a price premium,” Kpler warned.

The Indian cement sector runs on thin margins. A sustained freight or availability shock feeds through to cement production costs rapidly. The combined monthly volume flowing through Hormuz from the above ports runs at around 400,000–600,000 tonnes in normal months with India absorbing the majority of this, it added.

Pet coke output around the Persian Gulf region is reserved for two distinct pet coke streams, fuel grade and anode-grade supply, which is typically sought by cement and aluminium industries, respectively.

“Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Oman export most of their pet coke production to Asia, with China and India taking the largest share. If vessel owners refuse to transit the strait or insurers withdraw cover, exporters will struggle to move cargoes,” Kpler pointed out.

India consumed around 20.32 million tonnes (mt) of petroleum coke in FY24, which rose to 22.06 mt in FY25. During the April-January period in FY26, the consumption stood at 16.85 mt. It produced 15.1 mt, 15 mt and 12.3 mt of petroleum coke in FY24, FY25 and 10M FY26, respectively.

The country imported almost half of its requirement for the carbonaceous product in the last few years. Its imports stood at 10.96 mt, 13.15 mt and almost 10 mt during FY24, FY25 and 10M FY26, respectively.

US pet coke demand to spike

Kpler explained that producers cannot defer shipments for an extended period. Refineries need to clear pet coke stocks to maintain operating rates. A prolonged disruption would reduce effective supply to Asia and force buyers into the spot market.

Breaking up the market dynamics, it explained that coal markets would absorb part of the impact. However, lower pet coke availability from the Gulf would increase competition for alternative solid fuels, particularly the US pet coke and thermal coal from the US, Indonesia and Australia.

Indian and Chinese buyers would lead that emerging demand given their exposure to Middle Eastern supply, it added.

Coal already trades at competitive levels against pet coke in most consuming regions. Current price spreads limit additional switching capacity, especially where plants optimise blends for technical reasons. As a result, incremental coal demand would likely remain moderate unless pet coke prices spike sharply or physical shortages emerge, Kpler said.

On the coal side, firm gas and oil prices strengthen overall fuel price sentiment. The region does not account for material coal supply, so direct physical impact remains limited. Price direction will depend more on substitution flows and cross fuel spreads than on any loss of coal production, it added.

Published on March 4, 2026



Source link

Russia prepared to divert oil to India as West Asia conflict disrupts flows, source says

Russia prepared to divert oil to India as West Asia conflict disrupts flows, source says


Russia is ready to divert oil to India to ‌offset Middle East supply disruptions, with
about 9.5 million barrels of Russian crude in ​vessels near
Indian waters and able to arrive within weeks, an industry
source with direct ⁠knowledge told Reuters.

The source declined to say where the non-Russian fleet
cargoes were originally headed but said they could deliver to
India within weeks, giving refiners rapid relief.

India is vulnerable to supply shocks, with crude stocks
covering only about ‌25 days of demand, while refiners hold
similarly limited inventories of gasoil, gasoline and liquefied
petroleum gas.

An Indian government source said New Delhi was scouting for
alternative supply to prepare for ‌continuing conflict in the
Middle East beyond 10–15 days.

FORCED TO SEEK ALTERNATIVE SUPPLY

The disruption has immediate ‌market ⁠consequences, with about
40% of India’s crude imports moving through the Strait of
Hormuz, the ⁠world’s most vital oil export route, the source
said, and the near-closure of the route has compelled the No.3
oil consumer to seek alternatives.

Indian refiners process about 5.6 million barrels per day of
crude. The Strait has become inaccessible after vessels were
struck by ​Iranian attacks that followed U.S. and Israeli ‌strikes
on Iran-based targets that commenced on Saturday.

The industry source, speaking on condition of anonymity,
said Russia was ready to help India meet up to 40% of its crude
needs.

India’s imports of Russian crude fell to about 1.1 million
barrels per day in January, the lowest since November 2022, as
New ‌Delhi sought relief from U.S. tariffs, pushing Moscow’s
share of overall oil imports down to ​21.2%, industry data
showed. The source said the share climbed back to around 30% in
February.

Indian refiners are in regular contact with traders selling
Russian crude, but any increase ⁠in intake from Moscow would
depend on guidance from the government as trade talks with the
United States continue, two refining sources said.

U.S. President Donald Trump last month agreed to drop
punitive tariffs levied on imports from ‌India over its purchase
of Russian oil, saying New Delhi had agreed to “stop buying
Russian oil.”

India has not done so, insisting its strategy was to
diversify supply in line with market conditions and “evolving
international dynamics.”

India’s foreign and oil ministries, as well as the Russian
embassy in New Delhi, did not immediately respond to a request
for comment on any higher purchases from Russia. An Indian
source said days before the Iran war that Indian companies had
not been told to shun Russian oil.

‘A SELLER’S MARKET’ FOR OIL

While Russian oil ‌has been sold at a discount to global
prices since the country invaded Ukraine in 2022, that will now
narrow as “it’s ​become a sellers’ market,” the industry source
with knowledge of Russian oil trade said.

The source said Russia was also ready to sell liquefied
natural gas to India after top ⁠supplier Qatar halted production
on Monday as the conflict widened.

Indian companies have reduced gas supplies to some
industrial customers to ⁠manage the shortfall, Reuters has
reported.

Both China and India, Asia’s biggest energy consumers,
source about half their crude imports from the Middle East, but
India holds far less in storage than ‌China and is more exposed
to regional supply shocks as Russian purchases fell under U.S.
pressure.

Trump said on Tuesday the U.S. Navy could escort oil tankers
through the Strait of Hormuz if necessary, and ​ordered the U.S.
International Development Finance Corporation to provide
political risk insurance and guarantees for Gulf shipping.

Published on March 4, 2026



Source link

YouTube
Instagram
WhatsApp