Trump signals Iran war may end soon as US weighs oil sanctions relief and tanker escorts

Trump signals Iran war may end soon as US weighs oil sanctions relief and tanker escorts


President Donald Trump said he plans to waive oil-related sanctions, have the US Navy escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz and predicted the war with Iran would resolve “very soon” as he confronted mounting economic and political pressures after days of dramatic fluctuations in oil markets.

The president said that he did not believe the conflict would be over this week, but insisted the operation was ahead of schedule and looked to shore up investors increasingly concerned about energy prices. He vowed bombing “at a much, much harder level” if Iran disrupted oil supplies alongside his sanctions pledge.

“We’re looking to keep the oil prices down,” Trump said at a news conference at his resort in Doral, Florida. “They went artificially up because of this excursion.”

Putin Phone Call

The president did not offer additional specifics, beyond acknowledging he had discussed the topic with Russian President Vladimir Putin in a phone call earlier Monday. Russia has faced sanctions on its oil revenue in an international bid to deprive the country of revenue over its war in Ukraine.

But as a whole, Trump’s remarks underscored a new willingness by the White House to publicly indicate that it could be moving soon to attempt to wrap up the conflict.

Military Progress Claims

“Together with our Israeli partners, we’re crushing the enemy in an overwhelming display of technical skill and military force,” Trump told Republican lawmakers earlier Monday. At the press conference, the president claimed the US had hit 5,000 targets in the country, said Iran’s missile capability was down to 10%, and that drone launches from the country had decreased 83%. The US military objectives could be described as “pretty well complete,” Trump said.

At the same time, Trump acknowledged unanswered questions that remained about the leadership in Tehran and vowed he would “not relent until the enemy is totally and decisively defeated.” The president said that while the US had sunk more than 50 Iranian ships, a prolonged conflict could see the US bomb additional “important targets” including electricity production facilities.

“We’ve already won in many ways, but we haven’t won enough,” he said. “We go forward more determined than ever to achieve ultimate victory that will end this long-running danger once and for all.”

The comments underscored the challenges ahead for Trump, who will need to reconcile his promises of total victory with the economic and political consequences of continuing the war.

Markets React Quickly

US stocks recovered from losses earlier Monday, after the president made intial comments signaling an openness to ending the conflict to CBS News. Those comments sent the S&P 500 up as much as 1%, after a CBS reporter posted the comments on X. Oil and US Treasury yields fell.

Oil Market Volatility

US oil futures fell below $90 a barrel post settlement after surging above $119 early in the session in a volatile trading day. Markets eased as the world’s largest economies considered a coordinated effort on emergency energy supplies and Trump’s comments signaled he could seek a conclusion to the conflict.

Still, the Strait of Hormuz remained all but closed, with no finalized plans on how nations will safeguard ships passing through the key waterway.

Trump told CBS the Strait of Hormuz was seeing more ship traffic and that he is “thinking about taking it over.” It was not immediately clear what specific actions the president was contemplating.

Trump also spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin about Iran and the war in Ukraine, Tass reported Monday, citing Yuri Ushakov, an aide to the Russian leader.

Inflation Pressure Mounts

The US president, already facing domestic concerns over persistent inflation ahead of November midterm elections, must now grapple with rising gasoline pump prices as the war shows no letup. On Sunday, he called $100 oil a “small price to pay” and said the cost “will drop rapidly when the destruction of the Iran nuclear threat is over.”

The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has forced Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest oil exporter, to reduce production, according to a person familiar with the matter. That follows similar moves by the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iraq.

Futures pulled back after Group of Seven finance ministers said they were ready to take any steps needed to support global energy supply, including releasing strategic oil reserves.

Strategic Reserves Debate

Still, the G-7 is “not there yet” in terms of agreeing to tap emergency energy supplies, according to France, which holds the current presidency. But the group said in a statement that it would “continue to closely monitor the situation and developments in the energy markets” and “stand ready to take necessary measures, including to support global supply of energy such as stockpile release.”

War Casualties Rising

The US reported its seventh casualty on Sunday. Two Israeli soldiers and about a dozen Israeli civilians also have lost their lives. Data from the UAE suggests Iran’s barrage of missiles and drones is easing, even as Tehran is still attacking Israel and Arab Gulf states regularly with drones and missiles.

As recently as Sunday, Trump’s defense secretary was still signaling that the US would be escalating its attacks on Iran.

“We have just now begun to fight, just now begun to surge,” Pete Hegseth told CBS’s 60 Minutes in an interview.

Israeli forces maintained attacks on southern Lebanon, aiming to degrade Iran-aligned Hezbollah. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization intercepted a ballistic missile fired from Iran toward Turkey on Monday, the second such incident, raising the risk the military alliance could be drawn more directly into the conflict.

More than 1,300 Iranians have died in the war so far, according to an official toll that’s not been updated for several days. Some 486 people have died in Lebanon, according to the nation’s health ministry. Four civilians died in the UAE, while two members of its armed forces were killed when a malfunctioning helicopter crashed. There also have been several deaths in other Gulf countries.

Soccer Team Safety

Trump said in a pair of social media posts on Monday that he had spoken to Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese to help ensure safety of the Iranian women’s soccer team, whose players finished their competition in the Asian Cup on the Gold Coast. Trump said the players would “most likely be killed” if they returned to Iran.

Iran Leadership Change

On Sunday, Iran’s media announced that Mojtaba Khamenei — whose father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei ruled the country for almost 37 years and was killed when US-Israeli strikes began on Feb. 28 — won a “decisive vote” in Iran’s Assembly of Experts to become supreme leader.

The 56-year-old has deep ties to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, about the most powerful military and economic organization in Iran. The group pledged full obedience to the new leader.

On Monday, Trump indicated his displeasure, saying Iran should put in a leader “that’s going to be able to do something peacefully, for a change.”

The new leader “shares many of the same ideological leanings as his father and will aim to maintain continuity — including in the war,” said Dina Esfandiary, a Bloomberg Geoeconomics analyst. His election “suggests Iran won’t be shifting tack in the Middle East war,” she said.

“It’s unclear whether he will display flashes of pragmatism like his father did when he pursued and accepted the 2015 nuclear deal,” Esfandiary added. “For now, that seems unlikely.”

Iran Defiance Continues

On Saturday, Iran President Masoud Pezeshkian vowed not to back down, saying “the idea that we would surrender unconditionally — they must take such a dream to the grave.”

Saudi Arabia hardened its tone against Iran as it dealt with incoming projectiles again on Monday, including ones heading toward oil giant Aramco’s Shaybah field and areas in and around Riyadh.

The Saudi foreign ministry warned that Tehran’s actions risk further escalation, in which Iran “will be its biggest loser.” The strikes and comments suggest the kingdom hasn’t been successful in its efforts to intensify diplomatic outreach to Iran.

US Diplomat Exit

On Monday, the US ordered American non-essential diplomats in Saudi Arabia to leave the country, citing safety risks. The move marks Washington’s first “ordered departure” since the war began. It follows a US servicemember’s death after being wounded in an attack on US troops in Saudi Arabia on March 1.

Israel struck many fuel depots in Tehran on Saturday, sparking a warning from the Red Crescent about toxic acid rain in the city of 9.5 million people.

Graham Urges Caution

US Senator Lindsey Graham, a firm supporter of the war, asked Israel to “please be cautious about what targets you select.” Oil infrastructure, he said, will be essential to Iran’s recovery “when this regime collapses.”

Israel said the fuel storage sites were legitimate military targets because they help Iran’s war effort, and added it might target power stations next.

Nuclear Material Concern

Trump is weighing the option of deploying special forces on the ground to seize Iran’s near-bomb-grade uranium, as officials grow increasingly concerned the stockpile may have been moved, according to three diplomatic officials briefed on the matter.

But the US is still “nowhere near” ordering troops into Iran to safeguard nuclear material, Trump told the New York Post on Monday.

A desalination plant in Bahrain was damaged following an Iranian drone attack, the government there said, adding that there was no impact on water supplies.

Water Supply Risks

The Iranian strike on Bahrain came after Tehran accused the US of hitting one of its desalination plants. Persian Gulf countries rely on the facilities for most of their fresh drinking water and sustained attacks could compound the impact of a war.

More stories like this are available on bloomberg.com

Published on March 10, 2026



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Oil tumbles after Trump signals Iran war may end soon and plans tanker escorts

Oil tumbles after Trump signals Iran war may end soon and plans tanker escorts


The Strait normally carries about a fifth of global oil shipments, and disruptions have already forced major Gulf producers to curb output as storage fills
| Photo Credit:
iStockphoto

Oil tumbled after US President Donald Trump signaled the Iran war will end soon, as the conflict in the West Asia upends global energy markets and sparks fresh concerns about an inflation crisis.

West Texas Intermediate plunged as much as 10% to $85.02 a barrel, following a volatile session on Monday that saw oil swing in the widest range since prices briefly turned negative during the depths of the pandemic. Trump said at a news conference in Florida that he plans to waive oil-related sanctions and have the US Navy escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz.

“We’re looking to keep the oil prices down,” Trump said. “They went artificially up because of this excursion.”

Oil surged toward $120 a barrel early Monday before pulling back as the world’s largest economies considered an effort to release emergency oil reserves. Still, the vital Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, which has led to major producers in the Persian Gulf, including Saudi Arabia, curtailing output.

The conflict, which is now in its second week and has sucked more than a dozen countries into the fray, has led to a surge in energy prices, including oil, natural gas and products such as gasoil. US retail gasoline has jumped to the highest level since August 2024, putting additional pressure on Trump.

The effective halt to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz — a narrow waterway that normally handles a fifth of the world’s oil — has led to Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates reducing output as storage fills. The market is keenly watching for tanker traffic to resume through the strait.

Trump not offer additional specifics on the plan to escort tankers or waive oil-related sanctions, beyond acknowledging he had discussed the topic with Russian President Vladimir Putin in a phone call earlier Monday.

The intense prices swings on Monday saw WTI trade in a $38 band. Brent tumbled about $20 from its high, marking the largest-ever drop from an intraday maximum to a closing price on record.

More stories like this are available on bloomberg.com

Published on March 10, 2026



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US weighs easing Russian oil sanctions to cool global price surge, sources say

US weighs easing Russian oil sanctions to cool global price surge, sources say


Trikwong Venture, a crude oil tanker sits anchored in Muscat, amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Muscat, Oman.
| Photo Credit:
BENOIT TESSIER

The ​Trump ‌administration is ​weighing
further ⁠easing sanctions on Russian ‌oil to ‌help ‌cool ⁠a ⁠surge in
global energy ​prices, ‌according to three sources familiar ‌with
the ​planning, a move ⁠that could complicate ‌U.S. efforts to
deprive Moscow of ‌revenue ​for its war ⁠in Ukraine.

Published on March 10, 2026



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Rupee closes at record low despite RBI intervention, G-Sec yields rise

Rupee closes at record low despite RBI intervention, G-Sec yields rise


The rupee is expected to weaken unless the RBI intervenes

The rupee and Government Securities (G-Secs) markets on Monday felt the impact of rising crude oil prices amid the ongoing West Asia conflict, which entered the tenthday. The rupee closed at a record low and G-Sec yields rose, but pulled back half the losses.

The Indian currency ended the day at an all-time low of 92.33 per US dollar, down 59 paise against previous close of 91.74. The central bank is understood to have intervened in the market, selling dollars through state-owned banks to smoothen the volatility in the domestic currency.

K Arvind, Executive Vice-President (Head – Treasury), noted that the geopolitical and geoeconomic impact of the war in West Asia and its impact on energy prices are still unfolding and highly uncertain. The rupee is expected to weaken unless the RBI intervenes.

He said the RBI is believed to have intervened at every level — 92.20, 92.30 — to break the rupee’s fall, ensuring that the domestic currency moves in an orderly manner against the dollar.

Arvind observed that the rupee is under pressure as exporter payments are not materialising, dollar outflows on account of FPI selling in domestic equity markets continuing and the dollar strengthening against all major currencies.

G-Sec yields rise

Yields of G-Secs rose as market players factored in the inflationary effect of high crude oil prices and a depreciating rupee. However, yields softened due to the RBI accepting aggressive cut-offs at the OMO purchase auction of G-Secs (for infusing ₹50,000 crore liquidity into the banking system).

The yield of the benchmark 10-year G-Sec (6.48 per cent GS 2035), which touched an intraday high of 6.76 per cent, closed at 6.72 per cent, up 3 basis points over the previous close of 6.69 per cent.

Venkatakrishnan Srinivasan, Founder & Managing Partner, Rockfort Fincap LLP, observed that the benchmark 10-year G-sec came under pressure in the morning session, with the yield going up to around 6.76 per cent, largely reacting to global risk cues.

“Brent crude had spiked sharply to about $114 per barrel in the morning hours, which triggered concerns around imported inflation and the currency coming under pressure. The rupee has weakened further, leading to some early selling in government bonds,” he said.

However, yields pulled back later in the day and the benchmark G-Sec closed around 6.72 per cent, supported by the outcome of the RBI’s OMO purchase auction.

Venkatakrishnan said the RBI bought a sizeable amount of 6.33 per cent GS 2035 at a cut-off yield of 6.5533 per cent, which was significantly below prevailing market levels, signalling the central bank’s intent to keep long-end yields under check.

“This has also strengthened market expectations that the current benchmark 10-year G-Sec could be included in the next OMO purchase, which helped cap the rise in yields,” he said.

At the same time, Brent crude oil prices eased from their intraday peak, providing additional support to the bond market towards the close.

Published on March 9, 2026



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Private sector banks collected over ₹11,000 cr in 3 yrs for not maintaining minimum balance in accounts

Private sector banks collected over ₹11,000 cr in 3 yrs for not maintaining minimum balance in accounts


India’s largest bank State Bank of India completely waived off penal charges for not maintaining minimum balance in saving accounts since March 2020

Private sector banks collected around ₹11,000 crore in three years (fiscal year 2022-23 to fiscal year 2024-25) as compared to ₹8,000 crore by public sector banks on account of non-maintenance minimum monthly average balance (MAB), data provided by the Finance Ministry in the Lok Sabha on Monday showed.

According to data in the written response by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, HDFC Bank emerged as the top earner with over ₹3,800 crore in 3 years, followed by Axis Bank and ICICI Bank with over ₹2,700 crore and ₹1,200 crore respectively. Among the public sector banks, PNB was on top in terms of total during three years with over ₹1,500 crore followed by Bank of Baroda (over ₹1,200 crore) and Indian bank (over 1,100 crore).

India’s largest bank State Bank of India completely waived off penal charges for not maintaining minimum balance in saving accounts since March 2020. Following that many of other public sector bank such as Punjab National Bank and Canara Bank also removed such charges last year. However, they do have changes for current account. At the same time, private sector banks are still charging for not maintaining minimum balance.

For example, HDFC Bank stipulates average monthly balance for metro and urban branches at ₹10,000 or FD of ₹1 lakh for minimum 1 year 1 day period; in case of semi Urban, it is ₹5,000 or FD of ₹50,000 for minimum 1 year 1 day period and in rural area, it is Rs ₹2,500 or FD of ₹25,000 for minimum 1 year 1 day period. Non-maintenance charge would be 6 per cent of the shortfall from the average balance requirement or ₹600, whichever is lower.  

Meanwhile, in her written reply, Sitharaman said banks offer zero-balance savings accounts facility, better known as basic savings bank deposit accounts (BSBDAs) including the accounts opened under the Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana (PMJDY). These accounts do not require maintenance of any minimum balance. Accordingly, “approximately 72 crore BSBDAs, including, PMJDY accounts are not subject to any penal charges for non-maintenance of minimum balance,” she said.

However, for accounts other than BSBDAs including PMJDY accounts, banks may levy charges for non-maintenance of minimum monthly average balance (MAB) in accordance with their board-approved policies and the extant instructions of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), she said.

Further she added that an amount of over ₹8,000 crore collected over the last three financial years constitutes approximately 0.23 per cent of the total income of public sector banks during the same period, “indicating that such charges form only a very small proportion of banks’ income and are primarily aligned with the cost of providing banking services rather than revenue generation through penalties.”

She also mentioned that in cases of non-maintenance of the agreed minimum balance in bank accounts, banks have been advised by RBI to notify customers through SMS, email, letter or other appropriate means. Customers are generally provided time to restore the required minimum balance before penal charges are applied as per extant regulatory guidelines.

Published on March 9, 2026



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Last-minute airspace restriction grounds IndiGo’s Europe flights

Last-minute airspace restriction grounds IndiGo’s Europe flights


While IndiGo’s Sunday flights operated normally, a confusion over overflight permission disrupted travel plans of travellers on Monday

A Manchester-bound IndiGo flight returned to Delhi after over seven hours in air and another aircraft diverted to after being denied overflight permission by air traffic control in Eritrea.

IndiGo restarted its widebody flights to Amsterdam, Manchester and London on Sunday after a seven-day gap. These flights are operated by Boeing 787 planes leased from Norwegian airline Norse Atlantic. These avoid Gulf airspace in line with European Aviation Safety Agency recommendations.

While IndiGo’s Sunday flights operated normally, a confusion over overflight permission disrupted travel plans of travellers on Monday. The aircraft operating Delhi-Manchester flight returned after flying Ethiopia, while a London-Delhi route diverted to Cairo.

IndiGo said the Manchester-bound aircraft returned to Delhi due to last-minute airspace restrictions. “We are working with relevant authorities to explore the possibilities of resuming the journey,” IndiGo said.

repatriation

Around 90,000 passengers have returned to India following partial resumption of air services. While Jeddah, Muscat and the UAE airports have been functioning, the first scheduled flight from Doha arrived in Delhi on Monday. On Tuesday, Qatar Airways plans to operate flights to Kochi, Delhi and Mumbai.

Meanwhile, responding to a question in Lok Sabha, Civil Aviation Minister Ram Mohan Naidu Kinjarapu said on Monday that DGCA has engaged with all airlines and that multiple meetings have been held to ensure safe operations. All possible steps are being for the repatriation of stranded passengers, he added.

Published on March 9, 2026



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