Bitcoin slides to five-month low as ETF outflows and macro fears trigger sharp sell-off

Bitcoin slides to five-month low as ETF outflows and macro fears trigger sharp sell-off


Overall sentiment is firmly risk-off, with tightening liquidity, weak buying interest, and macro uncertainty driving prices. 
| Photo Credit:
Dado Ruvic

Bitcoin experienced a sharp correction on Thursday, briefly dipping below $60,000, its lowest level since September 2024, before rebounding to around $70,000 the next day. It last hit an all-time high of $123,000 in October 2025.

“Bitcoin’s sharp drop marks its weakest stretch since late 2024, with the asset now down nearly half from its October 2025 peak as heavy liquidations and persistent ETF outflows intensify selling pressure. The repeated failure to sustain rebounds above the $70,000–$72,000 zone has reinforced a defensive market tone, while extreme fear readings and elevated volatility point to ongoing deleveraging,” Avinash Shekhar, Co-founder and CEO, Pi42, highlighted.

The drop to $60,000 represented a 17 per cent intraday swing, reflecting heightened volatility across the crypto market. The broader sentiment turned risk-off, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index plunging to 5 or Extreme Fear, its lowest reading since mid-2023, according to Riya Sehgal, Research Analyst, Delta Exchange.

Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Giottus.com, said the sell-off was triggered by Bitcoin breaking below key technical levels. Glassnode data show it has fallen below the True Market Mean, a level seen as the average cost of actively traded coins, which typically turns into resistance once breached. At the same time, more recent buyers are now at a loss, increasing the risk of forced selling during sharp declines.

Institutional flows

He added that institutional flows have offered little comfort. Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US recorded heavy net outflows earlier in the week, with February 4 alone seeing withdrawals of roughly $545 million. Markets are also bracing for a cluster of delayed US .data releases next week, including the January jobs report and CPI figures. Strong labour or inflation readings could push expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts further out. If Treasury yields stay elevated and the dollar remains firm, it will be an unfriendly mix for crypto. Fed funds futures still point to rate cuts later in 2026, but traders remain cautious about pricing them in early due to persistent inflation pressures.

“Analysts flag $60,000-$63,000 as the nearest major support band. There was an interim buying interest seen earlier around $68,000-$70,000. On the upside, former support near $73,000-$75,000 has turned into immediate resistance. A sustained move back above that zone would be needed to stabilise the tape. Any failure to hold above $60,000 could expose deeper downside toward realised-price levels closer to the mid-$50,000s,” he said.

Overall sentiment is firmly risk-off, with tightening liquidity, weak buying interest, and macro uncertainty driving prices. Until ETF flows stabilise and US data clarify the Fed’s policy outlook, crypto markets are likely to stay under pressure.

Analysts said Bitcoin faces near-term resistance at $71,000–$72,000 and strong support around $58,000–$62,000. Holding above the $58,000–$60,000 band could lead to consolidation, ease volatility, revive confidence, and set the stage for a gradual recovery.

Published on February 6, 2026



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Expect policy rates to be low for a longer period: RBI Guv

Expect policy rates to be low for a longer period: RBI Guv


Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Sanjay Malhotra
| Photo Credit:
SHASHANK PARADE

With expectations that underlying inflation will continue to remain benign and growth prospects appearing to be strong, the benchmark policy rates will likely remain at low level for a long period of time, Reserve Bank of India Governor Sanjay Malhotra told reporters at a post-monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting press conference on Friday.

Edited Excerpts:

Does the pause mean we have reached the terminal repo rate at 5.25?

This is a question for the MPC to answer. We will continue to be data-dependent. And we are at a neutral phase. Only one MPC member wanted to change the stance from neutral to accommodative. All others wanted neutral stance, which means given the present state of economy and the forecast over 9 month-1 year period, this is the rate we expect to continue. I may mention, however, that we are in a good spot. Underlying inflation is low, even forecasts are much lower than the inflation target. Headline inflation can go up and down. And so I do expect policy rates to continue to be at low levels for a long period of time. Whether repo rate will reduce further, I will leave it for the MPC to decide.

How do you view the immediate fall in overnight money market rates?

Ensuring liquidity is our duty — ample and sufficient liquidity as required to meet the productive needs of economy. Secondly, we have to ensure transmission of repo cuts happens not only in money markets, but in government securities markets, corporate credit markets and all other markets. Whatever we do with regard to liquidity is guided by these goals. We have a number of tools to provide liquidity and keep overnight rates near the repo rate, including open market operations (OMOs), variable rate repo auction (VRRs), variable rate reverse repo auctions (VRRRs). Transmission, as you are aware, has been good till December across markets. Post December, there was some hardening in money markets, but overall it has been excellent.

Is the RBI comfortable with credit-deposit ratio of 80-90%?

This is a cyclical trend. In a period when credit growth is faster than deposits, it is expected that CD ratios will go up, and at times when credit is not growing so much, it will come down. We have seen this happening over and over. But I may mention that for us, it is not the CD ratio that is important. Important aspect to look is liquidity available with the banks. There are liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) and net stable funding ratio (NSFR), which we are looking at, and both these parameters are at very comfortable level with both banks and non-banks.

The RBI is selling US Treasury bills for sometime now…

Certainly not. Overall, our forex reserves had come down. As a result of it, all holdings will change. Those are fluctuations on a day to day or week to week basis, but there is no reduction in our holdings of the US treasury bills.

The Centre has reduced its subsidy for UPI in the Budget. There is a request from payment industry players to impose MDR on larger merchants for peer-to-merchant transaction. Is the RBI amenable to this request?

On UPI, someone has to pay for the cost. Having said that, it is in the domain of the government. And I am very sure that we will certainly be able to find ways not only to sustain but also improve this very important payment infrastructure, which is very unique and will remain so in the years ahead. There should not be any concern to any stakeholders. I think we will be able to find a way of sustaining this and improving it.

Published on February 6, 2026



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Bitcoin slides to five-month low as ETF outflows and macro fears trigger sharp sell-off

Bitcoin slides to five-month low as ETF outflows and macro fears trigger sharp sell-off


Overall sentiment is firmly risk-off, with tightening liquidity, weak buying interest, and macro uncertainty driving prices. 
| Photo Credit:
Dado Ruvic

Bitcoin experienced a sharp correction on Thursday, briefly dipping below $60,000, its lowest level since September 2024, before rebounding to around $70,000 the next day. It last hit an all-time high of $123,000 in October 2025.

“Bitcoin’s sharp drop marks its weakest stretch since late 2024, with the asset now down nearly half from its October 2025 peak as heavy liquidations and persistent ETF outflows intensify selling pressure. The repeated failure to sustain rebounds above the $70,000–$72,000 zone has reinforced a defensive market tone, while extreme fear readings and elevated volatility point to ongoing deleveraging,” Avinash Shekhar, Co-founder and CEO, Pi42, highlighted.

The drop to $60,000 represented a 17 per cent intraday swing, reflecting heightened volatility across the crypto market. The broader sentiment turned risk-off, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index plunging to 5 or Extreme Fear, its lowest reading since mid-2023, according to Riya Sehgal, Research Analyst, Delta Exchange.

Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Giottus.com, said the sell-off was triggered by Bitcoin breaking below key technical levels. Glassnode data show it has fallen below the True Market Mean, a level seen as the average cost of actively traded coins, which typically turns into resistance once breached. At the same time, more recent buyers are now at a loss, increasing the risk of forced selling during sharp declines.

Institutional flows

He added that institutional flows have offered little comfort. Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US . recorded heavy net outflows earlier in the week, with February 4 alone seeing withdrawals of roughly $545 million. Markets are also bracing for a cluster of delayed US . data releases next week, including the January jobs report and CPI figures. Strong labour or inflation readings could push expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts further out. If Treasury yields stay elevated and the dollar remains firm, it will be an unfriendly mix for crypto. Fed funds futures still point to rate cuts later in 2026, but traders remain cautious about pricing them in early due to persistent inflation pressures.

“Analysts flag $60,000-$63,000 as the nearest major support band. There was an interim buying interest seen earlier around $68,000-$70,000. On the upside, former support near $73,000-$75,000 has turned into immediate resistance. A sustained move back above that zone would be needed to stabilise the tape. Any failure to hold above $60,000 could expose deeper downside toward realised-price levels closer to the mid-$50,000s,” he said.

Overall sentiment is firmly risk-off, with tightening liquidity, weak buying interest, and macro uncertainty driving prices. Until ETF flows stabilise and US data clarify the Fed’s policy outlook, crypto markets are likely to stay under pressure.

Analysts said Bitcoin faces near-term resistance at $71,000–$72,000 and strong support around $58,000–$62,000. Holding above the $58,000–$60,000 band could lead to consolidation, ease volatility, revive confidence, and set the stage for a gradual recovery.

Published on February 6, 2026



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Gold, silver edge higher on US jobs report, hopes of Fed rate cut

Gold, silver edge higher on US jobs report, hopes of Fed rate cut


On MCX, gold April futures were quoted at ₹1,53,955, up ₹1,885 over Thursday
| Photo Credit:
REUTERS

Gold went past $4,900 an ounce, and silver briefly went past $75 an ounce on Friday evening, even as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group increased the initial margin for COMEX silver and gold.

Silver prices in the Chinese market dropped below $100 an ounce for the first time this year, though it continued to enjoy a premium of over $10 an ounce. The precious metal complex was buoyed by a rise in the US employment numbers, signalling a possible cut in the Fed rates.

Below 20,000 yuan in China

At 1940 hours, gold was up nearly three per cent at $4,922 an ounce compared with Thursday. On COMEX, gold April ruled at $4,944.61 an ounce. In the Mumbai spot market, gold ended the week a tad lower at ₹1,52,078 per 10 gm (₹1,52,502 on Thursday). On MCX, gold April futures were quoted at ₹1,53,955, up ₹1,885 over Thursday.

Silver briefly topped $75 but dropped to $74.81 an ounce. On COMEX, silver March futures ruled at $74.56. In the Mumbai spot market, silver ended below ₹2.5 lakh a kg at ₹2,44,929 (₹2,54,339). On MCX, gold was up marginally at ₹2,43,239 a kg. 

On the Shanghai Futures Exchange, silver March futures dropped below 20,000 yuan to 19,999 a kg ($89.66 an ounce), still holding its premium over COMEX rates. 

Strong CME intervention

Hareesh V, Head of Commodity Research, Geojit Investments Limited, said monitoring the dollar and upcoming Fed signals are crucial, while investors could keep positions balanced to navigate heightened volatility.

Meanwhile, CME increased the initial margin for the sixth time in a little over a month. The margin for silver 5000 futures has been raised to 18 per cent from 15 per cent, while for gold it has been increased to 9 per cent from 8 per cent. 

Traders said CME’s intervention in the market has been strong during the current situation in the silver market.

Published on February 6, 2026



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RBI proposes one-time compensation of up to ₹25,000 for victims of digital fraud

RBI proposes one-time compensation of up to ₹25,000 for victims of digital fraud


Banks reported a total of 18,386 frauds amounting to ₹16,569 crore in H1FY25
| Photo Credit:

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said it will help bank customers who have faced digital fraud with an one-time compensation of up to ₹25,000 from the regulator’s depositor education and awareness (DEA) fund.

“It is also proposed to introduce a framework to compensate customers up to an amount of ₹25,000 for loss incurred in small-value fraudulent transactions,” said RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra, adding that this facility will be provided only one time to a customer so that they become more aware and do not fall for online frauds again.

According to the RBI, banks reported a total of 18,386 frauds amounting to ₹16,569 crore in H1FY25. Online frauds accounted for the maximum volume of frauds, while value-wise frauds related to loans held the most share. The RBI’s DEA fund has ₹85,000 crore of corpus. It will issue a draft circular for public consultation on the subject soon.

Recovery agents

The regulator also said it will review and harmonise all conduct-related instructions on engagement of recovery agents and other aspects related to recovery of loans. Currently, different sets of instructions are applicable to different categories of regulated entities (REs) with respect to the engagement of recovery agents and conduct-related aspects of loan recovery.

The step is necessary as banks, non-banks and more recently digital lending apps often appoint third-party agencies that deploy recovery agents who resort to abusive and non-compliant regulatory practices to recover loans. Some digital lending apps also use messaging apps such as WhatsApp to push a borrower towards loan settlement. In 2022, the RBI had barred M&M Finance from using external agency recovery agents after the infamous Hazaribagh incident. After M&M Finance corrected their processes, the regulator rolled back the restrictions in 2023.

Curbing mis-selling

Further, the RBI said mis-selling financial products and services by lenders has significant consequences for both customers as well as the lending entity, underscoring the need to ensure that third-party products and services sold at bank counters are suitable to customer needs and commensurate with the risk appetite of individual clients.

Accordingly, the RBI has decided to issue comprehensive instructions to REs on advertising, marketing and sale of financial products and services. The draft instructions in this regard shall be issued shortly for public consultation.

Published on February 6, 2026



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SEBI approves eight IPOs including InCred Holdings and Shankesh Jewellers

SEBI approves eight IPOs including InCred Holdings and Shankesh Jewellers


Capital market regulator SEBI has approved eight initial public offerings, including InCred Holdings, Shankesh Jewellers, Ardee Industries, Aarvee Engineering Consultants, Laser Power and Infra, Elevate Campuses, and SEDEMAC Mechatronics, while Mann Fleet Partners withdrew its IPO

Capital market regulator SEBI has approved eight initial public offerings, including those of InCred Holdings and Shankesh Jewellers, while the offering of Mann Fleet Partners was withdrawn.

InCred Holdings, a new-age NBFC, plans to raise between ₹3,000 crore and ₹4,000 crore. The company has a diversified multi-product lending book across personal and student loans, specialised MSME loans, secured business loans, and Financial Institutions loans. Since its inception, InCred Finance has disbursed loans worth over ₹25,000 crore, serving over 4 lakh customers through a network of 140 branches and a workforce of 2,600 employees. The lender has built scale, with assets under management (AUM) of over ₹12,585 crore as of FY25.

Ardee Industries Limited, a leading recycling company, will raise ₹320 crore through a fresh issue of equity shares and an offer-for-sale of up to 3.76 crore equity shares.

The company proposes to use the proceeds to fund incremental working capital of ₹220 crore, with the remaining for debt repayment and general corporate purposes. The banker to the issue is Pantomath Capital Advisors, and the registrar to the offer is KFin Technologies.

Other IPOs cleared by SEBI include Armee Infotech, Aarvee Engineering Consultants, Laser Power and Infra, Elevate Campuses, Shankesh Jewellers and SEDEMAC Mechatronics.

Published on February 6, 2026



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