Gold-Silver में गिरावट, क्यों बढ़ रही है Market Volatility? | Paisa Live

Gold-Silver में गिरावट, क्यों बढ़ रही है Market Volatility? | Paisa Live


जनवरी में All Time High छूने के बाद 13 फरवरी 2026 को सोना और चांदी की कीमतों में जोरदार गिरावट दर्ज की गई। Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX) पर silver करीब 9.84% टूटकर ₹2,37,136 प्रति किलो पर बंद हुआ, जबकि gold 4% से ज्यादा गिरकर ₹1,52,300 प्रति 10 ग्राम तक आ गया। इस sharp correction के पीछे US Federal Reserve की नीतियां, बढ़ते geopolitical tensions और global inflation data को अहम कारण माना जा रहा है। मजबूत डॉलर और profit booking ने भी दबाव बढ़ाया। Experts का कहना है कि फिलहाल market काफी volatile है, इसलिए निवेशकों को जल्दबाज़ी से बचते हुए सतर्क रणनीति अपनानी चाहिए।   



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Muthoot Finance shares slump 12% despite Q3 profit surge

Muthoot Finance shares slump 12% despite Q3 profit surge


Shares of Muthoot Finance plunged 12 per cent on Friday as investors reacted cautiously to its latest quarterly earnings, even after the gold loan lender reported a sharp rise in profit.

The stock ended 12 per cent lower at 3,586.10, hitting a low of ₹3,552.70 from the previous close of ₹4,066.90. The decline put the stock on track for its steepest single-day percentage fall since August 2022, with market participants questioning the durability of the reported earnings spike.

It reported a two-fold year-on-year rise in consolidated net profit for Q3FY26 at ₹2,823 crore. Brokerages noted that while earnings were boosted, sequential core margins softened and active customer additions slowed, raising concerns about underlying momentum.

Analysts at Motilal Oswal Financial Services said operating performance remained strong, driven by continued gold loan growth and higher earnings supported by recoveries and auctions of pledged gold. Excluding recoveries, they assessed earnings as broadly in line with expectations, noting stable margins and improved asset quality as legacy NPA customers repaid loans. The brokerage expects favourable demand conditions, supported by limited availability of unsecured credit, to sustain loan growth and maintained a neutral rating with a revised target price of ₹4,500.

Nuvama Institutional Equities, however, highlighted stronger-than-expected loan growth and profitability metrics, pointing to robust expansion in AUM, improvement in margins and declining credit costs. It observed that recoveries formed a larger share of net interest income but added that core income also grew sequentially and that subsidiary contributions to gold lending were increasing. Citing the lender’s ability to maintain yields amid competition and supportive regulatory conditions for branch expansion, the brokerage retained a buy recommendation at a ₹4,700 target price.

The sharp market reaction underscores investor caution over the quality and sustainability of earnings drivers, even as brokerages remain divided between concerns about one-off income contributions and optimism about the structural demand outlook for gold loans.

Published on February 13, 2026



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Hindalco shares tank 6% as Q3 profit falls 45%, brokerages weigh Novelis impact

Hindalco shares tank 6% as Q3 profit falls 45%, brokerages weigh Novelis impact


Hindalco’s Q3 profit drop was attributed mainly to a one-time provision related to the fire accident at its US-based subsidiary Novelis.
| Photo Credit:
DENIS BALIBOUSE

Shares of Hindalco Industries came under pressure on Friday, falling 6.5 per cent, leading the losers of Nifty 50, after the company reported a sharp decline in net profit for the December quarter, largely due to an exceptional loss linked to a fire incident at its overseas subsidiary.

The stock closed at 6 per cent lower at 909 on the NSE, hitting a low of ₹901 against the previous close of ₹964.40.

The Aditya Birla Group company posted a consolidated net profit of ₹2,049 crore for the quarter, down 45 per cent from ₹3,735 crore a year earlier. The fall was attributed mainly to a one-time provision related to the fire accident at its US-based subsidiary Novelis. Revenue from operations, however, rose 14 per cent year-on-year to ₹66,521 crore compared with ₹58,390 crore, while EBITDA increased 5 per cent to ₹8,543 crore from ₹8,108 crore. The company reported an exceptional loss of ₹2,610 crore during the quarter.

Brokerages offered mixed assessments of the results and outlook. Analysts at Citi downgraded the stock to neutral from buy, though they raised the target price to ₹1,000 from ₹920. They said the structural bullish thesis could be tempered by leverage concerns, noting uncertainty over insurance recovery related to the Oswego fire and warning that cash flow impact appears higher than earlier expected. They also projected Novelis’ net debt-to-EBITDA ratio could climb to about 4.5 times by FY27.

Jefferies maintained a hold rating and lifted its target price to ₹890 from ₹855, describing the quarter as weak and flagging concerns around Novelis. The brokerage noted softer-than-expected performance in the domestic aluminium business and said multiple fire incidents cloud operational visibility while rising debt levels remain a concern. It nevertheless raised FY27–28 earnings estimates by 6 per cent on the back of stronger aluminium prices.

In contrast, HSBC retained a buy call but trimmed its target price to ₹1,210 from ₹1,240, arguing that underlying earnings remained strong and the Oswego impact should be viewed as a one-off event. The brokerage said higher working capital drove the jump in net debt, which it expects to reverse, and added that tight global aluminium supply conditions could support profitability.

Domestic brokerage JM Financial stated consolidated adjusted EBITDA came in marginally below expectations, with weaker performance at Novelis weighing on earnings. The brokerage highlighted improved aluminium EBITDA in India on strong global prices but pointed to a sharp rise in net debt due to higher borrowings and working capital needs. It maintained a buy at target price of ₹1,120, citing supportive metal prices and resource security following recent mine acquisitions.

Motilal Oswal Financial Services said consolidated performance was largely in line with expectations and driven by favourable pricing, with domestic operations expected to stay resilient. However, it cautioned that the fire incident and cost escalation at the Bay Minette project weaken near-term visibility. The brokerage expects insurance recoveries to offset part of the impact over the next 18–24 months and reiterated a buy call at a target price of ₹1,110.

The divergent brokerage views reflect a split between concerns over leverage and overseas disruptions and confidence in the company’s core domestic business, leaving investors focused on how quickly operational and balance sheet clarity emerges in the coming quarters.

Published on February 13, 2026



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Reliance wins US licence for Venezuelan oil, sources say

Reliance wins US licence for Venezuelan oil, sources say


The United
States has issued a ​general licence to India’s Reliance
Industries Ltd that will ⁠allow the refiner to buy
Venezuelan oil directly without violating sanctions, two sources
familiar with the matter said.

Following the US capture of Venezuelan President ‌Nicolas
Maduro earlier this month, US officials said Washington would
ease sanctions imposed on Venezuela’s energy industry to
facilitate a $2 ‌billion oil supply deal between Caracas and
Washington and an ‌ambitious $100 ⁠billion reconstruction plan for
the country’s oil industry.

A general ⁠licence authorises the purchase, exportation and
sale of Venezuelan-origin oil that has already been extracted,
including the refining of such oil.

Handing a licence to Reliance could ​speed up Venezuela’s oil
exports and ‌reduce crude costs for the operator of the world’s
biggest refining complex.

Reliance, which applied for the licence in early January,
did not respond to an email request for comment. The ‌US Office
of Foreign Assets Control did not immediately respond ​outside of
regular business hours.

VENEZUELAN OIL TO REPLACE RUSSIAN SUPPLY

Earlier this month, Reliance bought 2 million barrels ⁠of
Venezuelan oil from trader Vitol, which was granted, along with
Trafigura, US licences to market and sell millions of barrels
of Venezuelan ‌oil after Maduro’s capture.

Direct purchase of Venezuelan oil will help Reliance replace
Russian oil in a cost-effective way, as heavy crude from Caracas
is sold at a discount, said one of the sources.

President Donald Trump earlier this month removed a 25 per cent
punitive tariff on India and said New Delhi would buy more ‌oil
from the US and potentially Venezuela.
Indian refiners, including Reliance, are avoiding Russian ​oil
purchases for delivery in April and are expected to stay away
from such trades for longer, refining ⁠and trade sources said, a
move that could help New Delhi seal ⁠a trade pact with
Washington.

The conglomerate used to be a regular buyer of Venezuelan
oil for its advanced refining ‌complex, but had to stop purchases
in early 2025 due to US sanctions. Reliance operates two
refineries with a combined capacity ​of about 1.4 million barrels
per day.

Published on February 13, 2026



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Puravankara Q3 results: Net profit rises 162.2% to ₹58.48 crore

Puravankara Q3 results: Net profit rises 162.2% to ₹58.48 crore


Bengaluru-headquartered realty major Puravankara Ltd reported a profit after tax of ₹58.48 crore in the third quarter of FY26, up 162.2 per cent year-on-year (y-o-y). Total revenue for the quarter rose 231 per cent y-o-y to ₹1,104 crore. Customer collections increased 22 per cent y-o-y to ₹1,140 crore.

The company said the profit was supported by project completions and execution during the quarter. The result also reduced losses recorded in the first half of FY26.

For the first nine months of FY26, project revenue stood at ₹2,305 crore, up 51 per cent y-o-y. Customer collections rose 8 per cent y-o-y to ₹3,045 crore during the period. Operating cash inflows during the nine months stood at ₹3,504 crore, up 9 per cent y-o-y, which resulted in a cash operating surplus of ₹755 crore for the period.

Sales value during the third quarter rose 17 per cent y-o-y. For the nine-month period, sales volumes stood at 4.24 million square feet with sales value of ₹3,859 crore, up 9 per cent y-o-y.

The company handed over 1,116 homes covering 1.23 million square feet during the quarter. During the nine months, it handed over 2,446 homes aggregating 2.58 million square feet.

Ashish Puravankara, Managing Director, said, “The return to profitability in Q3 reflects the underlying strength of our business and the momentum we are building across execution, sales and cash flows”. Improved realisations and on-time project deliveries led to revenue growth and a recovery in profitability, he added.

During the first nine months of FY26, the company added over 12.7 million square feet of developable area. The additions carry an estimated gross development value of about ₹13,900 crore.

The MD stated that the expansion encompasses projects across Bengaluru and Mumbai. It plans to focus on launches, project delivery and cash flow generation.

Puravankara Group has completed 93 projects totalling about 56 million square feet across nine cities as of December 31, 2025. Ongoing projects total about 34 million square feet.

(With inputs from BL intern Tejaswini S)

Published on February 13, 2026



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