'Retail investors not in panic mode despite geopolitical uncertainty'

'Retail investors not in panic mode despite geopolitical uncertainty'



Regulatory caps on fees, increasing competition and the growing number of players in the industry are all putting pressure on margins for most wealth management firms, said Vikas Satija, managing director and chief executive officer of Shriram Wealth in an interview with Puneet Wadhwa in New Delhi. Going ahead, wealth management firms, he believes, will increasingly require highly qualified professionals who can provide quality solutions to clients. Edited excerpts:

 


Are most wealth managers underestimating the impact of the West Asia conflict on Indian economy & markets?

 


I think the overall market structure remains healthy. From a growth perspective, nothing has fundamentally changed for India. There will always be temporary disruptions. The next couple of quarters could be challenging for corporate earnings because of factors such as higher oil prices, currency movements and inflationary pressures. 

 
 


However, the long-term India story remains intact. India continues to have a strong consumption story and remains an attractive growth market. At the same time, investors should consider allocating 10-15 per cent of their portfolio to global markets as a diversification strategy.

 


In fact, many clients have approached us asking whether this is the right time to increase allocations rather than reduce them. Retail investors have not shown signs of panic so far despite the geopolitical uncertainty.

 


Do you think there is still enough space for wealth management firms to survive and thrive over the next two to three years?

 


Let me put it from an India standpoint. Today, India’s total savings are close to $1.2 trillion, which is roughly 30 per cent of a $4 trillion economy. If we go by the broad vision that India could become a much larger economy by 2047, even allowing for some variation in the projections, the opportunity is significant. If the savings rate remains similar, we are talking about savings growing from around $1.2 trillion to nearly eight times that level over the next two decades.

 


There is another aspect to this. Across developed markets globally, typically 60-70 per cent of wealth is professionally managed. In India, only about 15 per cent of wealth is currently professionally managed. The rest is largely handled through independent financial advisors (IFAs), banks and other channels, but not necessarily through structured professional wealth management services.

 


If you put these two trends together—an expanding savings pool and rising professional management of wealth—the opportunity becomes very large. If the industry grows eight times over the next two decades and the professionally managed share rises from 15 per cent to 30 per cent, 45 per cent or even 60 per cent, the scope is substantial. So, from that perspective, there is enormous room for professional wealth management in India.

 


What has happened over the last three years is that many new wealth management outfits have entered the market because, from the outside, the business appears attractive. The primary costs are employee expenses, infrastructure and technology. As a result, entry barriers seem relatively low, which is why you’re seeing a large number of players coming in. However, building a professional wealth management institution and sustaining it over a long period is a different challenge altogether.

 


I believe the opportunity is large enough for many more players to enter. The real question is whether they can create an institution that clients trust and rely upon over many years.

 


What is your USP?

 


Both institutions (Shriram Group and Sanlam Group) bring a long-term perspective. That said, one needs two things in wealth management business: a strong distribution reach and deep financial expertise. Shriram brings the distribution capability. As a group, we have a strong presence across the country, with over 1,10,000 employees and around 4700 plus branches. On the other hand, Sanlam has extensive global experience in insurance and asset management. Those are its core strengths.

 


What we have consciously decided is that we want to focus on solutions rather than products. There are enough players in the market that specialise in product manufacturing. 

 


Our model is an open-architecture distribution platform where we identify the best available solutions for clients. We have built our proposition around five key pillars: wealth management, lending, global investments, inheritance and legacy planning, and protection (insurance). These five pillars form the foundation of our proposition at Shriram Wealth. Our objective is to work out the best solutions and bring them to investors.

 


For the wealth management industry, where do you see the next phase of growth coming from—Tier 1, Tier 2 or Tier 3 cities? Which segment will contribute the most?

 


If we take mutual fund data as a benchmark, the top five cities still account for more than 50 per cent of the industry’s assets under management. However, if you look at the trend over the last three years, around 35 per cent of the net incremental inflows have come from beyond Top 30 cities.

 


That tells you the contribution from smaller cities is steadily increasing. There is no shortage of opportunity in Tier 2 and Tier 3 markets.

 


In our own strategy, we focused on Tier 1 cities in the first year and opened 12 branches accordingly. Over the next five years, however, the plan is to expand from these 12 cities to the top 50 cities in the country.

 


Shriram already has a strong presence in many of these locations, and we intend to leverage that infrastructure. Cities such as Lucknow, Nasik, Bhubaneshwar and Kochi represent significant opportunities across the length and breadth of the country. The key question is whether enough professional wealth management services are being offered in these markets today. The answer is no.

 


Most new wealth management firms will naturally begin with Tier 1 cities, but eventually every player will need a strategy for Tier 2 and Tier 3 markets. Going forward, these markets will become increasingly important for the industry.

 


What is the moat for a wealth management firm that wants to avoid being absorbed by a larger player?

 


The first requirement is a long-term perspective. If India’s growth story plays out over the next two decades, there is enough opportunity for everyone. The real differentiators are scale, institutional backing and trust.

 


There will always be firms that enter the business with a three-, five- or seven-year horizon and eventually look to consolidate or exit. But institutions that are building for the long term are more likely to survive and thrive. If you do not create trust over a long period of time, it becomes very difficult to sustain a wealth management business.

 


How do larger wealth management firms compete with boutique firms run by well-known industry veterans?

 


Trust remains the biggest differentiator. Beyond that, our approach is to focus on solutions rather than products. Historically, the industry was largely product-driven. The idea was simple: find a product and sell it to the client. Today, that approach needs to change.

 


The focus should be on understanding a client’s overall requirements and then identifying solutions that fit those needs. For example, rather than pushing a particular investment product, we first identify what the client needs and then source the most suitable option from the market.

 


Many firms have started moving in this direction, but I still believe the industry has a long way to go. Getting the solutions-based approach right is the key to long-term success.

 


Do you think wealth management will become a more expensive business over the next three to five years as costs rise and margins shrink?

 


Yes. There are three major cost components in this business: employee costs, infrastructure costs and technology costs. All three are likely to rise significantly. The first requirement is institutional backing and a long-term vision. That is one reason why I believe many smaller players will eventually consolidate. 

 


The other requirement is to balance spend between the three components. Some firms may invest heavily in technology, while others may prioritise talent or distribution. Every business will have a different model. The key is to optimise across all three areas and play to your strengths.

 


Technology is important, but technology alone cannot replace human intelligence & guidance. Similarly, having a large workforce without the right technology may not be efficient. The balance between people, infrastructure and technology will be critical.

 


Do you see profit margins coming under pressure for wealth management firms?

 


That process has already begun. Regulatory caps on fees, increasing competition and the growing number of players in the industry are all putting pressure on margins. The way to address this is through a broader solutions-based approach.

 


If a client only uses you for mutual fund investments, your revenue opportunities are limited. However, if you can serve the client’s investment, lending, protection, global investing and legacy-planning needs, you create a much larger wallet share. That is why having a wider platform is important.

 


Margins will remain under pressure as the industry becomes more institutionalised and professionally managed. That is a natural evolution that most industries go through.

 


What are the three things you would like regulators to focus on for the wealth management industry?

 


First, I would like regulators to continue with the progressive approach they have adopted so far. Whether it is SEBI, RBI or IRDAI, regulators have played an important role in strengthening the financial ecosystem. Second, there should be greater focus on increasing awareness and distribution in Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities. Investor education and wealth managers training will be critical.

 


Third, we need higher standards for professionals entering the industry. I would not necessarily call them entry barriers, but I do believe certification and training requirements should become stronger. The objective should be to improve the quality of solutions being offered to investors.

 


So the industry needs better-qualified advisors rather than higher entry barriers?

 


The focus should be on ensuring that more people are properly trained and certified. Wealth management firms will increasingly require highly qualified professionals who can provide quality solutions to clients.

 


How are investors responding to SIFs compared with SIPs?

 


SIFs are still at a very early stage. Awareness remains low, not only among retail investors but even within the HNI segment. It will take time for investors to understand and adopt the product. SIPs, on the other hand, are a mature and widely accepted investment vehicle.



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Reliance Infra seeks review of surveillance framework linked to IBC

Reliance Infra seeks review of surveillance framework linked to IBC



Reliance Infrastructure (Reliance Infra) has submitted a representation to the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi), National Stock Exchange (NSE) and BSE, seeking a review of the surveillance framework linked to Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC).

 


The company has sought a review of the Additional Surveillance Measure (ASM) framework and related trading restrictions on its shares, citing their adverse impact on its more than 700,000 public shareholders, and emphasising the need to ensure that market mechanisms continue to facilitate fair price discovery and maintain investor confidence.

 


In its representation, Reliance Infra has highlighted that the current framework, which permits trading only once a week within a narrow ±5 per cent price band, results in price movements that are largely mechanical and predictable. Such restrictions may not adequately reflect prevailing business fundamentals, operational performance or long-term value creation potential, it contended.

 
 


Reliance Infra said its shares are otherwise actively and widely traded in the market, reflecting sustained investor participation and liquidity. The company highlighted that the continuation of such anomalous and artificial trading restrictions is counterproductive to the interests of the retail and small public shareholders, and undermines the efficient functioning of the market.

 


The company further submitted that the impact of these restrictions falls disproportionately on its public shareholders. During lower-circuit phases, shareholders are often unable to exit their investments at a reasonable market price, while the value of their holdings erodes by a near-fixed percentage each week.

 


The company urged regulators to review the once-a-week trading restriction in its shares, and introduce appropriate safeguards that balance market surveillance objectives with investor protection and shareholder interests.

 


As part of its representation, Reliance Infra has proposed a calibrated approach that retains key risk-mitigation measures, including gross settlement, 100 per cent margin requirements, Additional Surveillance Deposit (ASD) and price-band safeguards, while enabling more effective price discovery. The company has requested regulators to consider alternatives such as a periodic call-auction mechanism, or a wider and graded price band to facilitate genuine two-sided trading.

 


The company also highlighted that the ASM framework was triggered despite the National Company Law Appellate Tribunal (NCLAT) staying both the insolvency admission order and the Corporate Insolvency Resolution Process (CIRP) against the company. Reliance Infra noted that no Resolution Professional had assumed control of the company and that its affairs continued to be managed by its duly constituted board of directors in the normal course of business.

 


Reliance Infra said it will continue to work constructively with regulators and market institutions in the interest of all stakeholders, while remaining focused on long-term value creation for its shareholders.



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FPIs pull out ₹43,000 cr in June amid global shift to AI Investments

FPIs pull out ₹43,000 cr in June amid global shift to AI Investments



Foreign investors continued to pare their exposure to Indian equities, pulling out nearly ₹43,000 crore in the first week of June amid a shift of global capital towards technology and artificial intelligence (AI)-linked opportunities overseas and persistent weakness in the rupee.

 


With this, total outflows by Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) from Indian equities have reached ₹2.67 lakh crore so far in 2026, surpassing the ₹1.66 lakh crore withdrawn during the whole of 2025, according to data available with the National Securities Depository Ltd (NSDL).

 


Market experts said FPIs have been reducing their exposure to Indian equities due to a combination of weak earnings growth, rupee depreciation and the emergence of more attractive investment opportunities in global markets, particularly in the technology and AI space.

 
 


“Apart from higher US yields and dollar strength, global investors are also reallocating capital towards some of the largest technology and AI-related public market opportunities currently emerging globally. The upcoming SpaceX IPO, along with anticipated capital market activity around leading AI companies, is attracting significant global liquidity, leading to temporary capital rotation away from emerging markets, including India,” Alpha AMC Founder Rajesh Singla said.

 


According to the data, FPIs were net sellers in all months of 2026 except February. They pulled out ₹35,962 crore in January before turning net buyers in February, when they invested ₹22,615 crore, the highest monthly inflow in 17 months.

 


However, the trend reversed sharply in March, when foreign investors withdrew a record ₹1.17 lakh crore. The selling continued in April with net outflows of ₹60,847 crore and in May with withdrawals of ₹32,963 crore. The exodus persisted in June, with FPIs pulling out ₹42,927 crore during the first week of the month.

 


Market experts said that persistent depreciation of the rupee has emerged as another key factor behind the sustained outflows.

 


The Indian currency has weakened nearly 6 per cent so far in 2026 and around 10 per cent over the past year, falling from the mid-80s to about 95.5 against the US dollar despite efforts by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to stabilise the currency.

 


Given the importance of foreign portfolio flows in financing the current account deficit and supporting the balance of payments, policymakers have announced a series of measures aimed at attracting overseas capital.

 


Geojit Investments Chief Investment Strategist V K Vijayakumar said the government’s decision to exempt interest and capital gains arising from FPI investments in government securities from taxation, along with recent RBI measures, could support fresh foreign inflows.

 


These measures include the central bank absorbing hedging costs on FCNR deposits mobilised by commercial banks, expanding the forex swap window, increasing access to government bonds through the Fully Accessible Route (FAR), and raising investment limits for non-resident Indians (NRIs) and overseas citizens of India (OCIs) in Indian equities.

 


However, Vijayakumar said a sustained revival in FPI inflows would depend on a moderation in the global AI-driven investment theme, which has been drawing capital away from emerging markets, including India.

 


“There are early signs of this happening. The sharp decline in the Nasdaq on June 5 indicates that the AI trade may be losing momentum. If the AI-driven rally cools and reverses, it could trigger a reversal in FPI outflows from India,” he added.

 


On the country, FPIs invested over ₹2,600 crore in debt through the Fully Accessible Route in the first week of June, taking the total to ₹17,230 crore in this year so far. 



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West Asia crisis, oil prices key driver for gold this week: Analysts

West Asia crisis, oil prices key driver for gold this week: Analysts



Gold prices will remain sensitive to developments in West Asia, movement in crude oil prices, and a series of key economic data releases in the coming week, analysts said.


Investors will monitor trade and inflation data from China and the US, mid-month Washington’s consumer sentiment figures and India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) readings.


The European Central Bank’s monetary policy decision will also be in focus as market participants assess their impact on bullion and other commodities, they added.


“Momentum for precious metals such as gold and silver still looks corrective,” Pranav Mer, Vice President, EBG — Commodity & Currency Research, JM Financial Services Ltd, said.

 


Domestic commodity markets ended the week lower, with MCX gold futures for August delivery falling ₹5,317, or 3.3 per cent, to ₹1.55 lakh per 10 grams.


Silver for July delivery fell ₹18,461, or 7 per cent, to ₹2.48 lakh per kilogram on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX).


“Gold witnessed a weak performance last week as rising crude oil prices diverted market attention away from safe-haven assets,” Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst, Commodity and Currency, LKP Securities, said.


The rupee strengthened against the US dollar, adding further pressure on precious metals. As a result, domestic bullion underperformed than its international counterpart, with currency gains offsetting part of the support from global gold prices, he added.


In the global markets, Comex gold futures shed USD 227.7, or 5 per cent, to end the week at USD 4,365 per ounce, while silver fell USD 6.77, or nearly 9 per cent, to USD 69.10 per ounce.


Gold prices faced pressure in the overseas trade and closed the week down nearly 5 per cent, while silver, too, sold-off sharply tracking a sharp corrective move in industrial metals, Mer said.


“Stronger-than-expected US PMI and labour market data reinforced expectations of higher-for-longer interest rates, while a firm US dollar and exchange traded fund outflows weighed on bullion,” he added.


According to analysts, indications from Russian-Ukrainian leaders that the conflict could end soon have reduced the demand for bullion.


Going ahead, precious metals may remain vulnerable if international prices stay below the USD 4,400-4,500 per ounce range, while a firm rupee, elevated crude oil prices and cautious investor sentiment could cap any sharp recovery, Trivedi said.



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Reliance Infra seeks review of weekly trading curb under ASM framework

Reliance Infra seeks review of weekly trading curb under ASM framework



Reliance Infrastructure Limited on Sunday said that it has sought a review of the insolvency-related surveillance framework, under which trading in the company’s stock is allowed only once a week.


Reliance Infrastructure Limited, in a statement, said it has submitted a formal representation to the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), National Stock Exchange (NSE), and Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), seeking a review of the Additional Surveillance Measure (ASM) linked to Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) and the related trading restrictions on its shares.


Citing adverse impact on more than 7 lakh public shareholders, Reliance Infra said that the current framework, which permits trading only once a week within a narrow 5 per cent price band, results in price movements that are largely mechanical and predictable.

 


It emphasised the need to ensure that market mechanisms continue to facilitate fair price discovery and maintain investor confidence.


“The company believes that such restrictions may not adequately reflect prevailing business fundamentals, operational performance or long-term value creation potential,” it said.


According to the statement, Reliance Infrastructure shares are otherwise actively and widely traded in the market, reflecting sustained investor participation and liquidity.


The company said the continuation of such anomalous and artificial trading restrictions is counterproductive to the interests of 7 lakh retail and small public shareholders and undermines the efficient functioning of the market.


The company further submitted that the impact of these restrictions falls disproportionately on its public shareholders.


“During lower-circuit phases, shareholders are often unable to exit their investments at a reasonable market price, while the value of their holdings erodes by a near-fixed percentage each week,” the statement said.


In its representation, Reliance Infrastructure has proposed a calibrated approach that retains key risk-mitigation measures, including gross settlement, 100 per cent margin requirements, Additional Surveillance Deposit (ASD) and price-band safeguards, while enabling more effective price discovery.


“The Company has requested regulators to consider alternatives such as a periodic call-auction mechanism or a wider and graded price band to facilitate genuine two-sided trading,” it said.


According to the company, the ASM framework was triggered despite the National Company Law Appellate Tribunal (NCLAT) staying both the insolvency admission order and the Corporate Insolvency Resolution Process (CIRP) against Reliance Infrastructure.


No resolution professional has assumed control of the company and that its affairs continue to be managed by its duly constituted board of directors in the normal course of business, it said.


Reliance Infrastructure is engaged in developing projects through various special purpose vehicles in several high-growth sectors, including power, roads and metro rail.



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Developments in West Asia, oil prices likely to steer markets this week

Developments in West Asia, oil prices likely to steer markets this week



Stock market this week will track simmering tensions in West Asia, its impact on crude oil prices, and trading activity of foreign investors, analysts said.


The trading week may begin on a cautious note following a sharp decline in the US markets over the weekend, an expert said.


Besides, progress of monsoon and inflation data announcement will also be important factors to watch out for.


“This week will be driven by key inflation, and global macroeconomic data releases. In India, investors will closely track inflation data for May, scheduled for release on June 12, along with foreign exchange reserves data on the same day.

 


“Globally, developments around the US-Iran negotiations and their implications for crude oil prices, currency movements, and overall risk sentiment will remain in focus,” Ajit Mishra, SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd, said.


US markets ended sharply lower on Friday, with the Nasdaq Composite tumbling 4.18 per cent. The S&P 500 dived 2.64 per cent and Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 1.35 per cent.


“The week ahead is likely to begin on a cautious note following a sharp decline in global markets, particularly AI-related technology stocks. On the positive side, domestic markets have some supportive factors in the form of resilient GDP growth, strength in the rupee following the RBI policy announcement, and a meaningful decline in crude oil prices,” Santosh Meena, Head of Research at Swastika Investmart Ltd, said.


Developments on the US-Iran front remain highly fluid and continue to generate volatility in global markets, he said.


“This week will also be data-heavy, with several important macroeconomic releases from both the US and China. Among them, the US inflation data scheduled for Wednesday will be particularly critical, as it could significantly influence expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s future policy path and set the tone for global markets,” Meena added.


Last week, the BSE benchmark Sensex declined 532.4 points, or 0.71 per cent, and the NSE Nifty dipped 181.05 points, or 0.76 per cent.


“The Nasdaq fell 4 per cent, marking its worst single-day decline since April 2025, as investors aggressively reduced exposure to semiconductor and technology stocks. Given the significant weight of IT in Indian indices, this weakness could spill over into domestic markets and keep sentiment under pressure during the early part of the week,” Hariprasad K, Research Analyst and Founder, Livelong Wealth, said.


Globally, the key event to watch will be the US CPI inflation data, he said, adding that a softer-than-expected reading could revive hopes of future Federal Reserve rate cuts and improve risk appetite across global markets.



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