Over Rs 9 trillion wiped out as Sensex and Nifty crash over 2% each

Over Rs 9 trillion wiped out as Sensex and Nifty crash over 2% each



Equity benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty tanked over 2 per cent each on Thursday as investors trimmed their risk exposure amid escalating tensions in West Asia. Losses across all sectors weighed heavily on key indices.


The markets also came under pressure on concerns over foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) pulling out from India to invest in China, where valuations are attractive, analysts said.

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Investor’s wealth worth Rs 9.8 trillion was wiped out as the market capitalisation (mcap) dropped to Rs 465 trillion.


Sensex declined 1,769 points to end at 82,497, a 2.1 per cent decline. The Nifty 50 index plunged 547 points to settle at 25,250, a 2.1 per cent drop.

 

Nifty posted its third biggest fall in the year after June 4 and August 5, when the shock verdict of the Lok Sabha elections and concerns over the reversal of yen carry trade and disappointing jobs data had rattled markets, respectively.


For Sensex, this was the fourth-worst decline this year.


Domestic equity benchmarks were also the worst performing global equity indices. India VIX, a gauge measuring market volatility, rose 10 per cent and ended the session at 13.2. 


Iran’s missile attack on Israel has left investors across the globe worried and guessing about Israel’s response. 


Israel bombed Beirut overnight, retaliating for the death of its eight soldiers who died in a battle against Hezbollah. The latest round of tensions where Israel is pitted against Iran directly have raised concerns about its impact on oil prices and global geopolitical stability. 


The region accounts for about a third of oil supplies and will have a cascading effect if oil facilities or supply routes are attacked.


Crude oil rose for the fifth consecutive session, trading at $75.4 per barrel. In the past five sessions, Brent crude has risen 6 per cent.


“Foreign funds might want to get to China quickly, so they must reduce the weightage in India. When the flows return to emerging markets, they will top up India or China, depending on the market conditions. Our markets were overbought anyway. Crude prices rising is a negative for India, but we have been buying from Russia; maybe the expectation of RBI cut next week is off the table now,” said Andrew Holland, CEO of Avendus Capital Alternate Strategies.


After recording fresh record highs on Thursday, the Nifty has declined over 4 per cent from its peak. 


Besides global headwinds, the RBI’s monetary policy decision this month, the macro data from the US, which will give cues of the future of rate cuts and quarterly results in India, is expected to determine the trajectory of the markets.


“The result season is unlikely to be great. But if RBI is to cut rates, it will be a positive. The expectations will be that things will start to pick up, that interest rates are coming down, that people will have more money to spend, and that companies will invest,” Holland explained.


Reliance Industries, which fell 3.9 per cent, was the biggest contributor to Sensex’s decline. In the last three days, Reliance Industries had declined 7.8 per cent with West Asian tensions creating uncertainty for its oil refining business. 


Market breadth was weak, with 2,881 stocks declining and 1,107 advancing.


Among sectoral indices, the Nifty Realty Index declined the most at 4.4 per cent, followed by Nifty Auto and Oil & Gas at nearly 3 per cent each.


“I don’t see a huge fall from here as the domestic liquidity support is intact. Domestic flows will go into larger names, ones that haven’t moved in a long time. Any midcap which rallied and has a 30-40x P/E could see a correction,” said Amar Ambani, executive director of Yes Securities. 

First Published: Oct 03 2024 | 7:43 PM IST



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Indian Oil signs B2B Framework Agreement with Nepal Oil Corporation

Indian Oil signs B2B Framework Agreement with Nepal Oil Corporation


For development of critical petroleum infrastructure projects in Nepal

Indian Oil Corporation and Nepal Oil Corporation signed a Business to Business (B2B) Framework Agreement today paving the way for the development of critical petroleum infrastructure projects in Nepal.

This agreement follows the Government-to-Government (G2G) Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed earlier between India’s MoP&NG and Nepal’s Ministry of Industry, Commerce and Supplies (MoICS) on 31 May 2023.

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The G2G MoU encompasses the extension of the Motihari – Amlekhgunj Petroleum Pipeline (MAPL) South Asia’s first transnational petroleum product pipeline, commissioned in 2019 to Chitwan, Nepal. Additionally, the MoU covers the construction of oil storage terminals at Chitwan and a new transnational pipeline from IndianOil’s facility in Siliguri to Jhapa alongside an oil storage terminal at Jhapa. These projects are expected to transform petroleum logistics between the two countries. These pipelines have been designed to meet the future energy needs of Nepal, with ample storage capacity at both the Chitwan and Jhapa terminals.

 

The B2B Framework Agreement signed today enables IndianQOil and NOC to take up construction on these vital projects. This collaboration is crucial for optimizing the transportation of petroleum products, which will significantly reduce costs for Nepal Oil Corporation by minimizing reliance on tank trucks. Furthermore, the infrastructure is designed for mitigation of handling losses & environmental risks, alleviation of border
congestion and strengthening of Nepal’s energy security especially during natural disasters such as floods and landslides.

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First Published: Oct 03 2024 | 7:06 PM IST



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Indian Oil signs B2B Framework Agreement with Nepal Oil Corporation

GBPUSD slumps over 1% as BoE's Bailey hints at aggressive rate cuts


British pound slumped by over 1% against the dollar to a two-week low on Thursday as BoEs Bailey hinted at more aggressive rate cuts. Pound extended decline for the third consecutive day from a two and half year high and seems to give back further gains amid the dovish remarks. Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey said that there was a chance that the BoE could become a bit more aggressive in cutting rates if there’s further good news on inflation. The latest Bank of England (BoE) Decision Maker Panel (DMP) survey showed on Thursday that one-year ahead expected CPI inflation by the UK firms dropped by another 0.1 percentage points to 2.6% in the quarter to September. This along with geopolitical risks stemming from the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, supporting the safe-haven USD is adding pressure on the British currency. Currently, GBPUSD is quoting at $1.31, down 1.20% on the day and its lowest level since March 2022.

 

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First Published: Oct 03 2024 | 5:59 PM IST



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Indian Oil signs B2B Framework Agreement with Nepal Oil Corporation

Sensex tanks 1770 pts, Nifty ends at 25,250.10; L&T slumps over 4%


The domestic equity benchmarks suffered a significant downturn on Thursday, with the Nifty50 plunging over 2% in its worst single-day performance in two months. This sharp decline was primarily driven by a confluence of global and domestic factors. All sectoral indices on the NSE closed in the red, with realty, auto, and energy stocks leading the decline.

The Middle East region has once again been thrust into turmoil as Iran retaliated against Israel’s recent bombing in Lebanon by launching missiles. This escalating conflict has raised concerns about regional stability and its potential impact on global oil prices. Meanwhile, the ongoing strike by nearly 50,000 dock workers in the United States has disrupted both imports and exports, causing significant disruptions to global supply chains.

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Back home, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) on Tuesday introduced new regulations for futures and options (F&O) trading. While the implementation timeline has been staggered, experts fear that these changes could reduce liquidity and depth in India’s markets.

In the barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex slumped 1,769.19 points or 2.10% to 82,497.10. The Nifty 50 index tumbled 546.80 points or 2.12% to 25,250.10.

Larsen & Toubro (down 4.18%), Reliance Industries (down 3.91%) and HDFC Bank (down 2.55%) were major drags.

In the broader market, the S&P BSE Mid-Cap index slumped 2.27% and the S&P BSE Small-Cap index slipped 1.84%.

The market breadth was weak. On the BSE, 1,118 shares rose and 2,868 shares fell. A total of 90 shares were unchanged.

The NSE’s India VIX, a gauge of the market’s expectation of volatility over the near term, zoomed 9.86% to 13.17.

SEBI’s new F&O rules:

SEBI introduced a six-step plan to curtail retail participation in speculative index derivatives. This could result in a significant decline in trading volumes. New regulations require traders to maintain higher margins, potentially hindering their ability to take on larger leveraged positions.

Moreover, the reduction of weekly options expiries to one per exchange could lead to decreased revenues for exchanges and brokers. This change means that each exchange will only offer weekly contracts for one benchmark index instead of the current two to four. These measures are designed to reduce excessive speculation in the futures and options (F&O) segment, where retail investors often find themselves on the losing end of trades.

Numbers to Track:

The yield on India’s 10-year benchmark federal paper advanced 2.27% to 6.885 as compared with previous close 6.732.

In the foreign exchange market, the rupee edged lower against the dollar. The partially convertible rupee was hovering at 83.9775, compared with its close of 83.8275 during the previous trading session.

MCX Gold futures for 5 December 2024 settlement fell 0.56% to Rs 75,960.

The US Dollar index (DXY), which tracks the greenback’s value against a basket of currencies, was up 0.22% to 101.89.

The United States 10-year bond yield gained 0.67% to 3.813.

In the commodities market, Brent crude for December 2024 settlement advanced $1.50 or 2.03% to $75.40 a barrel.

Global Markets:

The Dow Jones index futures were down 78 points, indicating a negative opening in the US stocks today.

Shares in Europe and Asia were mixed on Thursday, mirroring a cautious sentiment across global markets amid escalating tensions in the Middle East.

Markets in China and South Korea remained closed for a holiday. Taiwan markets were shut for a second day as Typhoon Krathon brings torrential rain on the island.

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have spiked following Iran’s missile attack on Israel on October 1. Israel’s subsequent ground incursions into Lebanon targeting Hezbollah, an Iran-backed militia group, have exacerbated concerns about potential oil supply disruptions and increased uncertainty in global financial markets.

In the United States, stock markets closed with modest gains on Wednesday. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite rose slightly by 0.08%, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average inched up by 0.01% and 0.09%, respectively. Investor caution persisted, however, due to Middle East tensions and the anticipation of additional US labor data.

Key US tech stocks witnessed mixed performance. Nvidia gained 1.6%, while Tesla experienced a 3.5% decline. Humana Inc. and Nike faced significant losses, with drops of 11.8% and nearly 7%, respectively.

The ADP National Employment Report indicated that US private payrolls grew more than expected in September, adding 143,000 jobs. This surpassed economists’ forecasts and highlighted the strength of the US labor market despite broader economic uncertainties.

The US job market’s resilience was further underscored by the unexpected increase in job openings in August. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) revealed a rebound of 329,000 job openings, exceeding analysts’ expectations. While hiring declined slightly, layoffs decreased.

Stocks in Spotlight:

Dabur India dropped 6.19% after posting a disappointing Q2 biz update. Co. says its revenue will fall in mid-single digit, its profitability will be impacted and it expects operating margins to decline in the mid to high teens.

Suzlon Energy tanked 5% after receiving advisory cum warning letters from BSE & NSE for non-compliance with SEBIs LODR.

Vipul Organics jumped 1% on receiving approval from the Maharashtra Pollution Control Board for its new factory in Ambernath. The facility will increase pigment preparations manufacturing capacity by 3X.

Maruti Suzuki India slipped 4%. The company has recorded total sales increased 1.87% to 1,84,727 units in September 2024 as against 1,81,343 units sold in September 2023. Total sales
in the month include domestic sales of 148,061 units, sales to other OEM of 8,938 units and exports of 27,728 units.

Hero MotoCorp fell 1.52%.The two-wheeler majors total motorcycle and scooter sales jumped 18.74% to 637,050 units in September 2024 as compared with sales of 536,499 units recorded in September 2023.

Baazar Style Retail soared 6.57% on strong Q2FY25 business update. Topline is up 65% YoY, same store sales growth is up 41%. The company’s rapid expansion fuels the momentum.

ITD Cementation India soared 20% after the firm secured a new contract worth Rs 1,937 for constructing a multi-storied commercial building in Uttar Pradesh.

NMDC slipped 1.80%. The state-owned miner’s iron ore production increased by 1.33% to 3.04 million tonnes (MT) in September 2024 as against 3 MT produced in September 2023.

NBCC (India) tumbled 5.27%. The company informed that it has received orders from Small Industrial Development Bank of India (SIDBI) and Ministry of Textiles, aggregating to Rs 47.04 crore.

REC slipped 3.43%. The companys said that it has disbursed loans amounting to Rs 47,303 crore in Q2 FY24-25, which is higher by 13.71% as compared with Rs 41,598 crore disbursed in Q2 FY23-24.

JSW Energy fell 2.04%. The company said that its wholly owned subsidiary, JSW Neo Energy received a letter of Intent (LoI) from Maharashtra State Electricity Distribution Company (MSEDCL) for procurement of 1,500 MW /12,000 MWh of pumped hydro energy storage.

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) declined 2.74%. The company said that it has handled a total cargo volume of 37.5 million metric tonnes (MMT) in September 2024, which is higher by 14% on YoY basis.

Aurobindo Pharma added 1.38% after the company announced that it has received final approval from the US Food & Drug Administration (USFDA) to manufacture and market Cephalexin Tablets USP, 250 mg.

New Listing:

Shares of KRN Heat Exchanger and Refrigeration settled at Rs 478.45 on the BSE, a premium of 117.48% as compared with the issue price of Rs 480.

The scrip was listed at Rs 470, exhibiting a premium of 113.64% to the issue price. The stock has hit a high of 513.40 and a low of 450. On the BSE, over 26.50 lakh shares of the company were traded in the counter.

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Broking stocks end mixed after Sebi's new F&O framework tightening

Broking stocks end mixed after Sebi's new F&O framework tightening



Shares of BSE, the only listed equity bourse, rose 3 per cent, while those of Angel One, a leading discount broker, jumped 4.5 per cent, even as market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) announced tighter derivatives trading rules, which are seen making a dent in volumes.


However, shares of other brokerage firms like 5Paisa, IIFL Securities, ICICI Securities, MOFSL, and Aditya Birla Capital declined in the range of 2 per cent to 4 per cent. Shares of ICICI Securities fell 2.3 per cent, 5paisa Capital slumped 2.9 per cent, Aditya Birla Money declined 3.5 per cent and Geojit Financial Services dipped 1.7 per cent.

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The gains in BSE and Angel One came as analysts’ reports suggested less-than-anticipated impact on their earnings and ways to mitigate the impact of the new norms.


Sebi has introduced higher entry barriers and increased margin requirements along with a slew of other measures to keep the rising retail frenzy in the futures & options (F&O) market in check.


Analysts and market experts expect a clearer picture from after November 20 when the majority of the changes kick in. However, they anticipate BSE to be less impacted than the market leader- National Stock Exchange (NSE).


Shares of BSE closed 3 per cent, up at Rs 3,980 apiece after rallying as much as 8 per cent in intraday trade. BSE has only two products with weekly expiry compared to four from NSE.


“We believe NSE’s Option premium turnover could get impacted up to 40 per cent; while that of BSE by 20 per cent. However, given the recent tariff increase, the impact on earnings would be lower – we estimate 20 per cent impact for NSE and 5 per cent for BSE on FY26ii EPS (full year impact),” IIFL Securities noted in its report.


The report added that the likely impact on revenues for NSE would be around 30 per cent, but for BSE, it will be around 10-12 per cent.


Shares of Angel One also rallied more than 7 per cent in the day, but closed after cooling down to a gain of 4.5 per cent at Rs 2,716 per share.


Brokerage house Motilal Oswal Financial Services (MOFSL) maintained a ‘Buy’ rating on Agnel One.


“Our sensitivity analysis yields nil earnings impact for Angel One in FY26 if the order volumes are down 10 per cent versus our assumption of 16 per cent growth and the company is able to increase its realisation from Rs 19.7 to Rs 25,” said the report by MOFSL.


Leading discount broker Zerodha also may consider revising its charges once the norms kick in.


“As things stand, assuming that those trading weekly don’t move on to trading monthly, the impact will be around 60% of overall F&O trades and around 30 per cent of our overall orders. I guess things will become much clearer from November 20. We will then decide on our change in pricing structure, based on the impact on the business,” wrote Nithin Kamath, founder, Zerodha on his social media accounts.


Following the Sebi announcement, Jefferies has pointed out that the changes may induce trading behaviour changes for both individual and institutional participants, but the impact will be felt more on the retail-focused discount brokers.


“Traditional brokers should see relatively lower impact as the lower margin hikes aid their HNI client base (which tend to have a higher mix of option sellers). Clearing members like Nuvama Asset Services that cater to institutional players (HFTs / FPIs) will have marginal impact, if any. Other market participants like AMCs, wealth managers and depositories remain unaffected,” said Jefferies.

First Published: Oct 03 2024 | 5:46 PM IST



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Hyundai Motor India likely to launch Rs 25,000 crore IPO on Oct 14

Hyundai Motor India likely to launch Rs 25,000 crore IPO on Oct 14


The automaker received approval from the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) on September 24 to float its IPO. | Photo: Shutterstock


Hyundai Motor India Ltd, the Indian arm of South Korean automaker Hyundai, is expected to launch its much-awaited Rs 25,000-crore initial share-sale for public subscription on October 14, people familiar with the development said on Thursday.


This would be the largest initial public offering (IPO) in India after LIC’s initial share sale of Rs 21,000 crore.

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According to the Draft Red Herring Prospectus (DRHP) filed in June, Hyundai Motor India’s proposed IPO is entirely an Offer-for-Sale (OFS) of 142,194,700 equity shares by promoter Hyundai Motor Company, with no fresh issue component.


Sources had previously stated that the South Korean automaker is looking to raise at least USD 3 billion (about Rs 25,000 crore) through an initial share sale.

 


This development marks a significant milestone for the Indian industry, as it is the first automaker’s initial share sale in over two decades, following Japanese automaker Maruti Suzuki’s listing in 2003.


The South Korean parent is diluting some of the stake through the OFS route. Since the public issue is completely an OFS, Hyundai Motor India Ltd, which is the second largest carmaker in India after Maruti Suzuki India, will not receive any proceeds from the IPO.


The automaker received approval from the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) on September 24 to float its IPO.


In its draft papers, Hyundai Motor India stated that it expects that the listing of the equity shares “will enhance our visibility and brand image and provide liquidity and a public market for the shares”.


In February this year, sources confirmed that the South Korean automaker is planning to garner at least USD 3 billion through an IPO. It may dilute a 15-20 per cent stake to raise funds in the range of USD 3.3-5.6 billion.


Hyundai Motor India commenced operations in India in 1996 and currently sells 13 models across segments.


In September, electric two-wheeler company Ola Electric Mobility got listed on the bourses after successful completion of its Rs 6,145 crore initial share sale.


The IPO launch comes at a time when the primary market is experiencing strong interest from both issuers and investors across various sectors.


So far this year, 62 companies have already mobilised around Rs 64,000 crore collectively via mainboard, marking a 29 per cent increase from Rs 49,436 crore collected by 57 firms through the route in the entire 2023.


The strong momentum in IPO markets is driven by several key macroeconomic, sector-specific factors and willingness of funds to look at new ideas which is partially led by strong inflows into domestic mutual funds as well as the robust capital formation happening across corporate India, experts said.

First Published: Oct 03 2024 | 5:35 PM IST



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