Q1 earnings, West Asia tensions, oil likely to drive markets this week

Q1 earnings, West Asia tensions, oil likely to drive markets this week



Trading in the stock market this week would be influenced by a host of quarterly earnings from corporates such as IT major Infosys, geopolitical situation in West Asia and crude oil prices, analysts said.

 


Besides, progress of southwest monsoon and trading activity of foreign investors would be key drivers for market movement, they added.

 


“This week is expected to be driven by a combination of corporate earnings, domestic macroeconomic releases, and global developments. Progress of the southwest monsoon and kharif sowing activity will also remain important monitorables, given their implications for rural demand, food inflation, and the Reserve Bank of India’s future policy stance.

 
 


“Globally, investors will continue to track developments surrounding geopolitical tensions in West Asia and their impact on crude oil prices and global risk sentiment,” Ajit Mishra – SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd, said.

 


Among major quarterly earnings to be announced this week are from One97 Communications, UltraTech Cement, Adani Energy Solutions, Bajaj Auto, Adani Green Energy, Adani Power, BPCL, Dr Reddys, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd, IndusInd Bank, JSW Energy, Nestle India, Infosys, Bank of Baroda and SBI Life Insurance Company.

 


“Investor focus this week will remain firmly on the evolving geopolitical situation in the Middle East as tensions between the United States and Iran continue to dominate global market sentiment.

 


“Any signs of de-escalation could improve risk appetite and support financial markets, while further military escalation or disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz could trigger renewed volatility across global asset classes,” Ponmudi R, CEO – Enrich Money, an online trading and wealth tech firm, said.

 


Domestically, investor focus is expected to shift increasingly towards stock-specific opportunities as the first-quarter earnings season gathers pace, he added.

 


On Monday, Reliance Industries, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank and Axis Bank are expected to be in focus after reporting their quarterly numbers over the weekend.

 


Reliance Industries Ltd, India’s most valuable company, reported record quarterly core profit and EBITDA for the June quarter, powered by strong performances across its oil-to-chemicals and telecom businesses.

 


HDFC Bank on Saturday reported a 5 per cent increase in standalone profit to ₹19,060 crore for the June quarter.

 


ICICI Bank reported a 13.88 per cent jump in June quarter consolidated profit at ₹15,440 crore on the back of faster credit growth.

 


Private lender Kotak Mahindra Bank logged a 22.55 per cent rise in consolidated net profit to ₹5,480.46 crore for the first quarter.

 


Axis Bank recorded a 22.23 per cent jump in consolidated net profit for the June quarter at ₹7,632.31 crore.  



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Sebi empanels 18 additional forensic auditors for listed company audits

Sebi empanels 18 additional forensic auditors for listed company audits



Markets regulator Sebi has empanelled 18 additional firms, including Ernst & Young LLP, KPMG Assurance and Consulting Services LLP, Zx Grant Thornton Bharat LLP and Nangia & Co LLP, to undertake forensic audits of financial statements of listed companies.


The empanelment follows a selection process initiated through a public procurement notice issued on November 2025.


The newly selected firms are in addition to the list of forensic auditors published by Sebi in April 2025, according to a notification issued by the regulator on July 15.


The empanelment will remain valid for three years from the date of publication of the latest list.

 


The other newly empanelled entities are J C Kabra & Associates, J Mandal & Co LLP, J Singh & Associates, Jain Jagawat Kamdar and Company, Pipara & Co LLP, R Kabra & Co LLP, R S Patel and Co, Ravi Rajan and Co LLP, S S Periwal and Co, Sarath and Associates, SKVM and Company, V Singhi & Associates, ASA & Associates LLP and CLA Indus Value Consulting.


Commenting on the development, Srinivasa Rao, Senior Partner, Forensic Advisory at Nangia & Co LLP, said the empanelment reflects the firm’s expertise in forensic services and its commitment to supporting transparency and investor protection.


“We are immensely proud to be empanelled by Sebi, a testament to our team’s deep expertise and unwavering dedication to forensic excellence. This empanelment reinforces our position as a trusted partner in safeguarding investor interests and promoting transparency within the financial ecosystem,” Rao said.


He added that the firm looks forward to contributing to Sebi’s efforts to maintain a fair, efficient and transparent securities market through independent forensic audits.


The Sebi forensic audit panel comprises firms authorised by the regulator to conduct forensic audits of listed companies in cases involving suspected financial irregularities, with the objective of enhancing transparency and investor confidence.



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Mcap of 5 of top-10 most valued firms jumps ₹1.54 trn, TCS biggest winner

Mcap of 5 of top-10 most valued firms jumps ₹1.54 trn, TCS biggest winner



The combined market valuation of five of the top-10 most valued firms jumped ₹1.54 trillion last week, with IT major TCS emerging as the biggest winner, in line with a positive trend in equities.


Last week, the BSE benchmark Sensex climbed 582.06 points, or 0.75 per cent, and the NSE Nifty went up by 127.4 points, or 0.52 per cent.


“Indian equity markets ended the week on a firm footing, extending their recovery despite heightened geopolitical tensions, elevated crude oil prices, and persistent uncertainty surrounding the global interest-rate outlook.


“Sentiment remained supported by encouraging Q1 FY27 earnings from the IT sector as TCS closed with nearly 10 per cent of weekly gains, renewed buying interest in financial stocks, and resilience in domestic economic fundamentals,” Ajit Mishra SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd, said.

 


While Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, State Bank of India, Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) and Bajaj Finance emerged as the gainers, HDFC Bank, Bharti Airtel, Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC), Larsen & Toubro and Hindustan Unilever faced erosion from their valuation.


TCS added ₹72,072.3 crore, taking its market valuation to ₹8,20,672.70 crore.


The country’s largest IT services company reported a 4.61 per cent increase in its June-quarter net profit to ₹13,349 crore, and guided towards an improvement in demand, impacted by the West Asia crisis, returning in the ongoing quarter.


ICICI Bank’s valuation surged ₹29,062.06 crore to ₹10,34,441.77 crore and that of Reliance Industries jumped ₹23,884.93 crore to ₹17,95,091.26 crore.


The valuation of Bajaj Finance climbed ₹21,946.5 crore to ₹6,57,274.28 crore and that of State Bank of India went up by ₹7,338.34 crore to ₹9,63,768.78 crore.


However, the market capitalisation (mcap) of Larsen & Toubro eroded by ₹18,097.72 crore to ₹5,24,840.68 crore.


The valuation of LIC declined by ₹12,080.75 crore to ₹5,48,124.30 crore.


Bharti Airtel’s mcap tumbled ₹7,706.45 crore to ₹11,91,067.77 crore and that of HDFC Bank edged lower by ₹7,084.61 crore to ₹12,62,369.81 crore.


The mcap of Hindustan Unilever dipped ₹1,221.79 crore to ₹5,03,775.86 crore.


Reliance Industries remained the most valued firm followed by HDFC Bank, Bharti Airtel, ICICI Bank, State Bank of India, TCS, Bajaj Finance, LIC, Larsen & Toubro and Hindustan Unilever.



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Cube Highways Trust InvIT, Indo MIM among 4 public issues opening next week

Cube Highways Trust InvIT, Indo MIM among 4 public issues opening next week



The primary market will remain active next week, with four public issues, including the InvIT of Cube Highways Trust and the initial public offerings (IPOs) of Indo MIM, Lohia Corp and Xtranet Technologies, set to open for subscription.


Cube Highways Trust will open its ₹5,000-crore InvIT public issue on July 22 and close on July 24. The price band has been fixed at ₹151-152 per unit, while anchor investor bidding will take place on July 21.


The issue is a 100 per cent book-built offer for sale by existing unitholders as the trust transitions from a privately listed InvIT to a publicly listed platform.

 


Ahead of the public issue, Cube Highways Trust raised ₹1,250 crore from strategic investors through unit subscription agreements.


The IPOs of Indo MIM, Lohia Corp and Xtranet Technologies will open on July 23 and close on July 27. Anchor investor bidding for the three mainboard issues are slated for July 22.


Precision engineering components maker Indo MIM’s IPO comprises a fresh issue of shares worth ₹500 crore and an offer for sale (OFS) of up to 6.82 crore shares by existing shareholders.


According to market sources, the total issue is expected to be over ₹3,500 crore.


The firm intends to utilise ₹400 crore from the fresh issue to repay borrowings, while the balance will be used for general corporate purposes.


Founded in 1996, Indo MIM operates 15 manufacturing facilities across India, the US, the UK and Mexico, catering to the automotive, defence, medical, consumer and aerospace sectors.


Manufacturer of machinery and equipment for technical textiles Lohia Corp’s IPO is entirely an OFS of up to 2.59 crore equity shares, with the company not receiving any proceeds from the issue.


Lohia Corp manufactures machinery and equipment used to produce technical textiles, particularly polypropylene (PP) and high-density polyethylene (HDPE) woven fabrics and sacks.


IT services and solutions provider Xtranet Technologies is launching a ₹170-crore fresh issue with no OFS component, according to the RHP.


The proceeds will be used for debt repayment, purchase of systems and hardware, working capital requirements, and general corporate purposes.


Founded in 2002, the company offers a diverse portfolio delivering end-to-end services including enterprise applications, digital services, managed services, proprietary platforms.


So far in 2026, 32 companies have launched their maiden public offerings, while the IPO of Caliber Mining & Logistics is currently open for subscription.



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Inside the updated MF ratings

Inside the updated MF ratings


Choosing the right mutual fund from a universe of over 1,900 schemes is no easy task. While short-term returns often dominate investors’ attention, sustained performance across market cycles is a better indicator of a fund’s quality. The bl.portfolio Star Track Mutual Fund Ratings seek to simplify this exercise by identifying funds that have consistently delivered superior risk-adjusted returns within their respective categories.

Launched in October 2018, the bl.portfolio Star Track Mutual Fund Ratings are updated twice a year using data as of June-end and December-end. The latest edition, based on data as of June 30, 2026, evaluates 488 schemes across 32 actively managed mutual fund categories. The ratings shortlist these schemes from a universe of 1,945 mutual fund schemes spanning 39 categories and asset classes, providing investors with a structured framework to compare funds and build long-term portfolios.

The rating framework is based on two key measures: Rolling returns and the Sortino ratio. Together, they help identify funds that have delivered consistent returns while keeping downside risk under control. While rolling returns measure a fund’s performance across different market periods, the Sortino ratio evaluates how efficiently those returns have been generated by considering only downside volatility.

For equity and hybrid funds, the ratings are based on one-, three- and five-year rolling returns using seven years of NAV history. Debt funds are assessed using one-, two- and three-year rolling returns over the past five years. In addition, one-year trailing returns are included to reflect recent performance. The final score gives a 60 per cent weight to rolling returns, 30 per cent to the Sortino ratio and 10 per cent to trailing returns. Based on these scores, funds are assigned star ratings from one to five (lowest to highest), making it easier for investors to identify relatively better-performing schemes within each category.

Funds are assigned star ratings based on percentile rankings: top 10 percentile (five-star), next 20 percentile (four-star), middle 40 percentile (three-star), next 20 percentile (two-star), and bottom 10 percentile (one-star).

Summary of the update

The latest edition, based on data as of June 30, rates 488 actively-managed mutual fund schemes across 32 equity, hybrid and debt fund categories. A new addition this time is the multi-asset allocation fund category, which has become eligible for evaluation as at least five schemes now have a comparable seven-year track record. For this category, only funds that maintained an allocation of more than 65 per cent to equity and equity-related instruments over the past seven years have been considered, ensuring a like-for-like comparison.

Upgrades

Fund quality remained largely stable in the latest review, with 45 schemes retaining their five-star ratings between December 2025 and June 2026, reflecting sustained performance across market cycles.

Among equity funds, schemes such as Nippon India Large Cap, ICICI Prudential Large Cap, Quant Mid Cap, Edelweiss Mid Cap, Quant Small Cap, Parag Parikh Flexi Cap, HDFC Flexi Cap and JM Flexicap Fund continued to hold the highest rating. In the hybrid segment, funds such as Quant Aggressive Hybrid, Bank of India Mid & Small Cap Equity & Debt, ICICI Prudential Equity & Debt, HDFC Balanced Advantage and Baroda BNP Paribas Balanced Advantage Fund retained their five-star status. In debt funds, schemes such as UTI Banking & PSU, ICICI Prudential Banking & PSU Debt, ICICI Prudential Corporate Bond, Nippon India Corporate Bond, UTI Dynamic Bond, ICICI Prudential Gilt and SBI Gilt Fund remained among the top-rated schemes.

The latest review also saw several funds move into the top tier. Nine schemes were upgraded from four stars to five, while five funds jumped directly from three stars to five. Notable upgrades from four to five stars include Quant Large & Mid Cap, Nippon India Growth Mid Cap, Bank of India Small Cap, SBI Conservative Hybrid and Aditya Birla Sun Life Dynamic Bond Fund. Funds making a two-notch leap from three to five stars include Invesco India Largecap, Tata India Consumer, Motilal Oswal ELSS Tax Saver, SBI Healthcare Opportunities and HSBC Equity Savings Fund.

A further 21 schemes improved from three to four stars. These include HSBC Flexi Cap, Aditya Birla Sun Life Flexi Cap, Invesco India Large & Mid Cap, Baroda BNP Paribas Large Cap, Union Small Cap, Bandhan Aggressive Hybrid, Bandhan Banking & PSU Debt, Aditya Birla Sun Life Banking & PSU Debt, SBI Floating Rate Debt, Bandhan Gilt and Baroda BNP Paribas Gilt Fund.

Downgrades

Not all funds managed to sustain their earlier ratings. Thirteen schemes slipped from five stars to four, including HDFC Large & Mid Cap, Canara Robeco Large Cap, HDFC Mid Cap, Nippon India Small Cap, ICICI Prudential Pharma Healthcare & Diagnostics, SBI Technology Opportunities, Kotak Debt Hybrid, Sundaram Equity Savings, 360 ONE Dynamic Bond and Nippon India Ultra Short Duration Fund.

Another 25 schemes fell from four stars to three. These include Union Flexi Cap, PGIM India Flexi Cap, SBI Large & Midcap, HDFC Large Cap, Kotak Large Cap, Axis Small Cap, Baroda BNP Paribas Aggressive Hybrid, HDFC Equity Savings, Axis Banking & PSU Debt, Franklin India Banking & PSU Debt, ICICI Prudential Floating Interest and DSP Gilt Fund.

Prudent play

The ratings are intended to help investors identify funds that have consistently delivered superior risk-adjusted returns over the long term. While the ratings can serve as a useful starting point for fund selection, investors should choose schemes that align with their asset allocation, risk appetite and investment horizon. Preference can be given to four- and five-star funds. A brief spell of underperformance should not be a reason to exit if a fund continues to enjoy a strong rating. However, funds that consistently slip to two stars or below deserve a closer review and may be considered for replacement.

Published on July 18, 2026



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Looking Beyond Fixed Income? This Fund Has Delivered Consistently

Looking Beyond Fixed Income? This Fund Has Delivered Consistently


ICICI Prudential Regular Savings Fund, a conservative hybrid fund, has consistently outperformed its peers by generating debt-plus returns over the years. Its strategy of combining a large-cap-oriented equity portfolio with a high-yield debt portfolio has enabled it to earn superior risk-adjusted returns.

Over the past 10 years, the fund has posted a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9 per cent, comfortably ahead of the category average of 7.3 per cent.

Conservative hybrid funds are meant for low- to moderate-risk investors seeking limited equity exposure. These funds typically invest 75-90 per cent of their corpus in debt and 10-25 per cent in equities. The debt allocation provides stability and regular income, while equities add a growth kicker.

The fund has maintained an equity allocation of 15-24 per cent over the past five years, adjusting it in line with market conditions, while the balance has been invested in debt instruments.

Equity strategy

The fund follows a blend of top-down and bottom-up investing. It first identifies sectors likely to benefit from the prevailing economic and business cycle. For instance, during economic slowdowns, the portfolio is tilted towards defensive and resilient businesses. Within these preferred sectors, the fund selects fundamentally-strong companies with attractive valuations.

Portfolio construction follows a disciplined framework that combines sector attractiveness with stock-specific opportunities. The largest allocation is made to companies where both the sector outlook and stock fundamentals are favourable. Smaller allocations are made to attractive sectors with selective opportunities or to strong companies in weaker sectors with long-term growth potential. The fund avoids sectors and stocks where both the outlook and fundamentals are weak.

It also follows a contrarian approach, looking for stocks that are temporarily out of favour but have limited downside and meaningful long-term upside. Stock selection is backed by detailed valuation analysis to ensure a margin of safety rather than chasing momentum.

The fund is currently overweight in large private banks, life insurers, select IT, chemicals and pharma stocks. It stays underweight in capital market-linked businesses, industrials, consumer discretionary and e-commerce companies.

As per the latest portfolio, the top three sector exposures were banks, insurance and automobiles. Over the last year, the fund increased exposure to retailing, food products and banks while trimming exposure to pharma, oil and cement products.

In terms of market-cap bias, nearly two-thirds of the equity allocation is invested in large-caps, with the balance in mid- and small-caps. Currently, around 13 per cent of the total assets are invested in large-caps, 3 per cent in mid-caps and 6 per cent in small-caps.

Debt strategy

On the debt side, the fund follows an actively-managed strategy with a flexible mandate. The portfolio comprises government securities, high-quality corporate bonds, PSU debt and select private corporate bonds up to the single-A rating. The portfolio duration has been kept moderate, with a Macaulay duration of 1.25-3.5 years over the past five years.

As of the latest portfolio, government securities accounted for 17 per cent of the corpus, while corporate debt accounted for 52 per cent, pass-through certificates 3 per cent and certificates of deposit 2 per cent.

A distinguishing feature of the fund is its meaningful exposure to non-AAA-rated debt, which typically ranges between 30 per cent and 50 per cent of the portfolio. It is among the few conservative hybrid funds with sizeable allocations to this segment, alongside Nippon India Conservative Hybrid, SBI Conservative Hybrid and Aditya Birla Sun Life Regular Savings. In the latest portfolio, AAA-rated securities accounted for 11 per cent, AA-rated papers 39 per cent and single-A securities 6 per cent.

The fund generally limits the maturity of its non-AAA holdings to two-three years to contain credit risk. Key issuers in this segment include Prism Johnson, Kogta Financial (India), Ashiana Housing and Hiranandani Financial Services.

The debt portfolio’s yield to maturity (YTM) stood at 8 per cent, compared to category average of 7.2 per cent.

Superior performance

ICICI Prudential Regular Savings Fund has consistently exhibited superior risk-adjusted returns across most equity and interest rate cycles.

An analysis of five-year rolling returns over the last seven years shows that the fund generated an average annualised return of 9.7 per cent, outperforming the category average of 8.7 per cent. Its five-year rolling returns ranged from a minimum of 8.2 per cent to a maximum of 11.6 per cent.

On a three-year rolling basis, the fund delivered an average CAGR of 9.6 per cent, compared with the category average of 8.8 per cent.

Its base expense ratio for the regular plan is 1.42 per cent, marginally below the category average of 1.44 per cent. The direct plan’s expense ratio stands at 0.8 per cent, compared with the category average of 0.75 per cent.

The fund aims to generate returns superior to traditional debt investments while limiting downside risk through a predominantly debt-oriented portfolio.

It may be suitable for investors with a low- to moderate-risk appetite seeking modest equity exposure over a medium-term investment horizon.

Published on July 18, 2026



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