Va Tech Wabag stock soars as Axis Sec initiates coverage with 'Buy' rating


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Illustration: Ajay Mohanty


Va Tech Wabag (VTW) stock price surged up to 2.3 per cent intraday high of Rs 1344.15 per share on the BSE on Monday. This came amid a positive development for the firm as the domestic brokerage firm Axis Securities, initiated coverage on the water supply and management company with a ‘Buy’ rating at a target price of Rs 1,700 per share. This is valued at 23 times its FY26 earning per share, reflecting an upside of 29.4 per cent from Friday’s closing price. 


The brokerage firm said that Va Tech Wabag is presently riding the wave of sustainable growth with its strategic focus on water conservation, optimisation, and recycling, supported by over 125 IP rights and dedicated R&D centres.

 


Chennai with a rich history spanning over 90 years, is a leading multinational in water technology. “The company’s robust global footprint, spanning four continents with over 6,500 successfully executed projects, positions it as a key player in the burgeoning green and ESG-themed investment landscape,” analysts at Axis Securities said.

This makes VTW a compelling investment in today’s market, analysts added. 


Chennai based Va Tech Wabag is engaged in design, supply, installation, construction and operational management of drinking water wastewater treatment industrial water treatment and desalination plants. With a rich history spanning over 90 years, the company is a leading multinational in water technology. 


Profit led growth


According to the brokerage, the company has adopted a selective approach to project acquisition, focusing on profitability and payment security. The company’s focus on profitability has boosted Ebitda margins to 13.2 per cent in FY24, up from 7.7 per cent in FY21. With medium-term margins projected at 13-15 per cent, the company is poised for sustainable revenue growth and reduced default risks. 


Venturing into new spheres


As of June 2024, VTW’s order book is robust at Rs 10,676 Cr, with preferred bidder status on projects worth Rs 6,000 Cr. The company’s focus on the Middle East enhances revenue visibility, with a target to expand the order book to Rs 16,000 Cr by FY25, ensuring steady cash flows and profitability.


Analysts said that the company is not just resting on its laurels but actively exploring new business opportunities. 


“The company’s recent partnership with Peak Sustainability Ventures to establish 100 Bio-CNG plants is a testament to its forward-looking strategy. By converting biogas into compressed natural gas (CNG), VTW is aligning itself with global trends towards cleaner energy. Furthermore, its exploration of opportunities in the semiconductor and green hydrogen industries signals VTW’s commitment to staying ahead of the curve in addressing emerging water-related needs,” analysts at the brokerage noted. 


At 01:17 PM; the share price of the company was trading 1.88 per cent higher at Rs 1337.60. By comparison, the BSE Sensex was trading 0.21 per cent higher at 81,350 levels.


The company has a total market capitalisation of Rs 8,318.59 crore. Its shares are trading at a price to earnings multiple of 38.41 times with an earning per share of Rs 34.18 per share.

First Published: Sep 09 2024 | 1:23 PM IST



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Nifty PSU Bank index dips below 200-DMA after more than 2 years; what next?

Nifty PSU Bank index dips below 200-DMA after more than 2 years; what next?



Following a sharp 3.5 per cent slump on Friday, the Nifty PSU Bank index was seen trading with a loss of another 1 per cent in trades on Monday at 6,580 levels. 

Among the constituents, Union Bank of India was the major loser – down almost 3 per cent. Bank of India, PSB, Uco Bank and Central Bank of India were the other major losers, down over 2 per cent each. The recent sell-off in PSU banking stocks was triggered by a ratings downgrade by foreign brokerage firm – Goldman Sachs.


More importantly, the Nifty PSU Bank index was see quoting below its 200-DMA (Daily Moving Average) for the second straight day. The PSU Bank index is seen below this long-term moving average after a gap of over 2 years. The index had conquered the 200-DMA on July 18, 2022; thereafter the index went on to touch an all-time high at 8,053 – on June 03, 2024 – up 200 per cent from the breakout point (2,685). At present, the 200-DMA stands at 6,738.

 


Technically, the 200-DMA is considered as a key indicator in determining the overall long-term trend of the stock or index. Stocks trading above this long-term moving average are considered as bullish; whereas, those below the 200-DMA as bearish.


For a trend confirmation, the stock or the underlying index needs to close below this long-term moving average for at least three or more trading sessions. As such, the next few trading sessions will be crucial for the PSU Bank index. 


Can the index stage a rebound or will the slide continue? Here’s what the chart suggests:


Nifty PSU Bank Index


Current Level: 6,580


Downside Risk: 19%


Support: 6,535; 6,380


Resistance: 6,665; 6,738; 6,900; 7,100

The Nifty PSU Bank index is not only treading below its 200-DMA, but also the lower-end of the Bollinger Bands. This clearly indicates an upper hand for the bears as long as the index remains below 6,665 levels; above which the key hurdle will be the 200-DMA at 6,738. CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART


On the weekly scale, the index is seen testing support at its 20-WMA (Weekly Moving Average) – again another key moving average that the stock has honoured since July 2022. The 20-WMA support stands at 6,535; below which immediate support for the index is seen at 6,380 levels.


Break and sustained trade below 6,380 shall open the doors for a steeper fall. The long-term chart suggests a possible slide towards 5,330 levels; with interim support at 5,665 levels – this implies a downside risk of 19 per cent and 14 per cent, respectively.


On the contrary, in case, the Nifty PSU Bank index is able to withstand the current selling pressure and seek support near the immediate levels; the index may stage an interim recovery towards 7,100 levels; with resistance likely around 6,900.


PSU Bank stocks


Meanwhile, a vast majority of the PSU Bank stocks are trading below their respective 200-DMAs, with Union Bank as the key laggard. The stock is down almost 12 when compared with its 200-DMA.


 


Similarly, Bank of India, Uco Bank and Punjab National Bank are down in the range of 6 – 9 per cent each. On the positive front, index heavyweight and the stock of largest state-run bank – SBI is seen holding above its 200-DMA, with a gap of near 4 per cent. 

First Published: Sep 09 2024 | 12:40 PM IST



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Suzlon Energy shares rise 3% on winning large wind energy order from NTPC



Suzlon Energy stock price surged up to 3.27 per cent to record an intraday high of Rs 77.18 per share on the BSE on Monday. Suzlon Energy’s share price today climbed after the company announced that it has received a large order from NTPC Green Energy for a wind energy plant. 


Suzlon in an exchange filing said that it has secured India’s largest wind energy order from NTPC Green Energy (the renewables arm of NTPC Limited) for 1,166 Megawatt (MW). 


“Suzlon will install 370 wind turbine generators (WTGs) of the S144 model, each with a rated capacity of 3.15 MW, featuring a Hybrid Lattice Tubular (HLT) tower. These turbines will be deployed across two projects of NTPC Renewable Energy Limited (a wholly owned subsidiary of NGEL) and one project of Indian Oil NTPC Green Energy Pvt. Ltd. (a group company of NGEL) in Gujarat,” the company’s exchange filing read. 

 


This order brings Suzlon’s largest-ever cumulative order book to nearly 5 Gigawatt (GW) as of September 3, 2024, the company said. 


In the April-June quarter of financial year 2024-25 (Q1FY25), the company reported a consolidated net profit of Rs 302.29 crore for Q1FY25, up from Rs 100.90 crore in Q1FY24. Revenue from operations surged 49.60 per cent year-on-year (YoY) to Rs 2,015.98 crore for the quarter ending June 30, 2024.


The company has a total market capitalisation of Rs 1.04 trillion. Its shares are trading at a price to earnings multiple of 475.12 times with an earning per share of Rs 0.16 per share.


At 11:16 AM; the share price of the company was trading 2.41 per cent higher at Rs 76.53. By comparison, the BSE Sensex was trading 0.23 per cent lower at 81,373 levels.


Founded in 1995 by Tulsi Tanti, Suzlon Energy is engaged in the renewable energy sector, specialising in wind and solar power. With over 28 years of experience in wind energy, Suzlon offers a diverse range of products, including wind turbines, lattice tubular towers, and other renewable solutions. 


The company operates across 17 countries on six continents and boasts 14 manufacturing units and 8 research and development facilities. Suzlon’s wind energy projects play a crucial role in environmental sustainability, equivalent to the CO2 absorption capacity of 4.30 billion trees annually, reducing 51.66 million tonnes of CO2 emissions each year, and providing power to 13.08 million households.

First Published: Sep 09 2024 | 11:18 AM IST



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These 2 chart patterns signal more pain likely for Nifty; can break 24,000



The NSE Nifty 50 index was seen testing its 20-DMA (Daily Moving Average) support for the second straight day on Monday amid the weakness in global markets. The Nifty 20-DMA stands at 24,845.


The Nifty had hit a low of 24,801, and was seen quoting around 24,840 levels as of 10 AM. The NSE benchmark index has shed over 500 points or over 2 per cent from its all-time high of 25,333.60 registered on September 02.


Technically, these are the two key factors which indicate that the Nifty may witness further weakness in the month of September.

 


Firstly, the Nifty has started the month after formation of a ‘Hanging Man’ structure on the monthly scale in August. Technically, a ‘Hanging Man’ structure after a rally tends to signal likely trend reversal. The Nifty had surged 12 per cent in the preceding three months.


A 38 per cent retracement of the entire rally suggests a likely downside target of 24,200 for the Nifty 50; whereas, a 50 per cent dip could lead the index towards 23,885 levels.


Secondly, the Nifty has seen formation of a ‘Bearish Engulfing Pattern’ on the weekly scale late week. This pattern also indicates a likely reversal in an upward price trend. In a ‘Bearish Engulfing Pattern’ the high and low of the present candlestick is longer than that of the previous candlestick; meaning the latest candlestick engulfs the previous one with a negative close.


That apart, the key momentum oscillators both on the daily and weekly chart have observed negative crossover; thus suggesting a possibility of an impending market correction.


The weekly chart suggest key support at its 20-WMA (Weekly Moving Average) which stands at 23,900 levels; below which next support for the index is seen at 23,565 levels.

Meanwhile, at present, the Nifty 50 is seen testing support around its 20-DMA; below which next support stands at 24,600 – its 50-DMA. The daily chart suggests that the upside for the Nifty for now may be capped around 25,200 levels; with interim resistance likely at 25,030. CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART


Key levels to watch on the Nifty 50 index


Support: 24,845; 24,600


Resistance: 25,030; 25,200


Factors that can dismantle this bearish set-up


For Nifty to dismantle this bearish set-up; firstly the index will need to sustain above its short-term moving averages. Thereafter, the index will need to quote consistently above 25,030 levels.


On the weekly scale, break and close above 25,333 levels shall eventually dismantle this bearish set-up.

First Published: Sep 09 2024 | 10:17 AM IST



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F&O Insights: Options data hint Nifty may fall to 24,500; FIIs pare longs



F&O Insights for Monday, September 09, 2024: Indian equity market witness selling pressure on Monday owing to weak cues from Asian peers. Nikkei, Hang Seng and Taiwan benchmark indices had tumbled up to 2 per cent each, while Kospi was down 1 per cent this morning.


Technically, the Nifty broke the 25,000-25,100 support zone on Friday, forming a bearish engulfing candle on the weekly scale. On the daily chart, Nifty closed below its 21-Day Exponential Moving Average (DEMA), indicating further weakness, said Hrishikesh Yedve, AVP Technical and Derivatives Research at Asit C. Mehta Investment Interrmediates Ltd in a note.

 


The next major support is near 24,480, where the 50-DEMA is positioned. In the short term, any bounce should be seen as an opportunity to book profits, the analyst added.


Meanwhile, in the derivatives segment, the Nifty September futures plunged 1.2 per cent on Friday on the back of a sharp dip in premium. The Nifty futures premium fell from Rs 92 to Rs 54; alongside a 4.1 per cent decline in the open interest (OI); indicating lack of buying support at lower levels.


Similarly, the Bank Nifty September futures dropped 1.7 per cent, with the premium slipping from Rs 255 to Rs 204. However, the OI in Bank Nifty futures rose by 5.2 per cent, suggesting possible buildup of short positions.


Key Insights from Nifty, Bank Nifty Options data:


For this week’s expiry, the Nifty options PCR (Put Call Ratio) stands at 0.6:1; revealing higher open positions in Calls versus Puts. 


Aggressive Call writing was seen at 25,000 and 25,100 Calls, with notable buildup at 24,900, 25,200 and 25,300 Calls as well. Among Puts, highest OI is seen at 24,500; with unwinding at higher Strike Puts. 


The Nifty options market suggests a likely bearish bias for now, with a possibility of the index dipping towards 24,500 levels; with some support expected around 24,700 levels.


In case of the Bank Nifty, the weekly PCR stands at 0.55; significant open interest is observed at the 51,500 Call (2.88 lakh contracts) and the 51,000 Call (2.04 lakh contracts). Active trading was seen around 51,100-51,800 Calls. In case of Puts, highest OI is seen at 50,000 followed by 48,000.


FII, DII trading activity in F&O – Here’s all you need to know about who bought and who sold in the derivatives market on September 06?


As per data from the NSE, FIIs net sold 47,277 contracts of index futures on Friday for a consideration of Rs 3,106.80 crore. FIIs net sold 35,402 contracts of Nifty futures, 10,621 contracts of Bank Nifty futures and 1,064 contracts of MidCap Nifty futures.


In the process, FIIs were net sellers in Nifty futures for the sixth straight trading session. Their overall OI in Nifty futures declined to 3.75 lakh contracts as against almost 4.20 lakh on September 03. 


Pursuant to which, FIIs long-short ratio in index futures stands at 1.8:1 – this ratio implies that foreign investors hold less than 2 long positions in index futures for every bet on the short side of trade. The FIIs long-short ratio in index futures had reached a high of 2.6:1 on August 30, with FIIs holding up to 72 per cent OI on the long side. In comparison, FIIs longs in index futures now stands at 64.7 per cent as of Friday.


On the other hand, retail investors’ have exited short positions, with the long-short ratio in index futures now rising to 0.96:1; implying an equal amount of longs versus short bets in index futures.


Meanwhile, domestic institutional investors (DIIs) positions added fresh bets on the short side of trade in index futures on Friday, they net sold 14,755 contracts. DIIs long-short ratio in index futures rose to nearly 1:2; meaning 1 long position for every 2 shorts in index futures.


Stocks in F&O ban period

Stocks in F&O ban today

A total of 7 stocks are placed under the F&O ban period. Taking of fresh positions in Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail, Balrampur Chini, Bandhan Bank, Biocon, Chambal Fertilisers, Hindustan Copper and RBL Bank is prohibited on Monday. Investors can only exit existing holdings in these 7 stocks.

 

First Published: Sep 09 2024 | 9:23 AM IST



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Share market today: Global markets, Bajaj Housing IPO, Ola Electric eyed


Share market today: Indian share markets are likely to open lower, tracking weakness in global stocks that were subdued ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate meeting next week. At 6:48 AM GIFT Nifty futures were down 90.9 points at 24,818.5.


In the US this week, investors will eye US non-farm payroll and inflation data that will give a clearer picture of the rate cut scenario by the Federal Reserve. US consumer inflation expectation data for August will be released today.


In the Asia Pacific markets, Japan’s gross domestic product (GDP) data for Q2 and China’s inflation data for August will be on investors’ radar.

 


Back home, investors will eye the release of India’s Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for July and inflation data for August on September 12. These data points will provide important cues for the market’s trajectory, especially amid concerns about global economic headwinds. Also, Ola Electric Mobility’s month one month lock in will end today. 


IPO watch today: Kross, Tolins Tyres, Gala Precision, and Bajaj Housing Finance, among others in focus


Main Board IPO:


Three IPOs will open for application today:


Kross IPO is a book-built issue of Rs 500 crore. The issue combines a fresh issue of 10.4 million shares aggregating to Rs 250 crore and an offer for sale of 10.4 million shares aggregating to Rs 250 crore.


Another book-built issue of Rs 230 crore, Tolins Tyres’ IPO is a combination of a fresh issue of 8.8 million shares aggregating to Rs 200 crore and an offer for sale of 1.3 million shares aggregating to Rs 30 crore.


Meanwhile, Bajaj Housing Finance IPO is a book-built issue of Rs 6,560 crore. The issue is a combination of a fresh issue of 508.6 million shares aggregating to Rs 3,560 crore and an offer for sale of 428.6 million shares aggregating to Rs 3,000 crore.

 


That apart, Shree Tirupati Balajee Agro Trading Company IPO closes for subscription today. Retail investors have subscribed the fresh issue 8.68 times, while Non-institutional investors (NIIs) have subscribed 13.79 times. Qualified institutional buyers (QIBs), meanwhile, have subscribed 4.46 times on day two of the subscription.


Lastly, shares of Gala Precision Engineering will be listed on the bourses today. The Gala Precision Engineering IPO was subscribed 201.41 times on September 4, 2024. The public issue was over-subscribed 91.95 times in the retail category, 232.54 times in the QIB category, and 414.62 times in the NII category.


NSE, BSE SME IPOs:


Aditya Ultra Steel IPO, Shubhshree Biofuels Energy Limited IPO, Share Samadhan Limited IPO, and Gajanand International Limited IPO are SME IPOs that will open for subscription today.


The subscription window for My Mudra Fincorp Limited IPO will close today and shares of Jeyyam Global Foods IPO will be listed on the NSE under the SME category today.


Crude oil below $72


Oil prices found some support after suffering their biggest weekly fall in 11 months last week amid persistent concerns about global demand. Last seen, Brent crude oil was up 0.49 per cent at $71.82 per barrel.


US markets on Friday


The US markets slipped on Friday, with the Dow Jones closing down 1.01 per cent and the S&P 500 closing down 1.73 per cent. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite was down 2.55 per cent at close.


Asian markets performance today


Share markets in the Asia-Pacific region followed the US markets’ suit and were trading lower on Monday. At last count, Japan’s Nikkei had shed 3.06 per cent, while Australia’s ASX 200 was down 0.83 per cent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index was unchanged and Shanghai was down with a negative bias.


Here’s how analysts view today’s (September 9) trading session


Osho Krishan, Senior Analyst – Technical & Derivatives, Angel One


On the level-specific front, the 25000 mark now seems to be a critical resistance zone, and a breakthrough could bring back positive momentum in the Nifty. On the other hand, the negative crossover on the technical indicators suggests a potential continuation of profit-taking; 24600-24500 is likely to serve as a positional support level for the benchmark in the upcoming week.


Ajit Mishra – SVP, Research, Religare Broking


Technically, the recent decline in Nifty has disrupted the index’s upward momentum, pushing it below its short-term 20-day exponential moving average (DEMA). The next significant support level is around 24,500, aligned with the 50 DEMA. In the event of a recovery, the 25,100-25,350 range is likely to serve as a strong resistance zone. Sectorally, defensive stocks like FMCG and pharma are expected to show resilience during this correction, while other sectors, especially PSU stocks, may face continued selling pressure as they exhibit signs of a breakdown from a distribution pattern.


Traders are advised to manage their positions carefully on both the long and short sides and avoid averaging down on loss-making trades during this uncertain phase.


Ravi Nathani, Independent Analyst


The best trading strategy for both traders and investors is to buy on dips, especially around the support levels of 24,710 and 24,550. These levels represent strong support, and any dips near these points offer good buying opportunities, especially if the range of 24,800 to 25,000 is breached. On the other hand, if the index breaks and closes above 25,000, it could trigger further bullish momentum.


In this scenario, the next resistance levels to watch for are 25,333, 25,550, 25,760, and 25,925. The overall trend remains bullish, and buying on dips continues to be the most advisable strategy for short-term traders. In summary, traders should look for buying opportunities around the 24,710 and 24,550 support levels, and if the index breaks above 25,000, it could target higher resistance zones, indicating continued upward momentum.


FII, DII update: How much did FIIs, and DIIs buy or sell on September 6?


As per NSE data, Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) were net sellers of Indian equities worth Rs 620.95 crore, while DII’s were net buyers of equities worth Rs 2,121.53 crore.


Here’s how the Indian benchmark performed on Friday:


Indian benchmark indices BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 slipped more than 1 per cent each to close deep in the red on Friday, as the Indian markets were buffeted by regulatory headwinds, while some investors likely booked profits at record levels before the release of US jobs and payrolls data later in the day in the US. 


At close, the BSE Sensex was down 1,017 points, or 1.24 per cent, at 81,183.93, while Nifty 50 was at 24,852.15, down 292.95 points, or 1.17 per cent.



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