Soaring oil prices and widening trade deficit sends INR tumbling sharply beyond Rs 93 per dollar; Further downside likely

Soaring oil prices and widening trade deficit sends INR tumbling sharply beyond Rs 93 per dollar; Further downside likely


The Indian rupee crashed 82 paise, or nearly 1 per cent, to settle at an all-time low of 93.71 (provisional) against the US dollar on Friday, weighed down by persistent foreign fund outflows and a steep rise in crude oil prices amid mounting geopolitical tensions. The Indian rupee is under tremendous pressure as surging crude oil prices and a shift toward risk-aversion dented investor sentiments. Moreover, heightened geopolitical uncertainty risks are driving energy costs higher, which could widen the trade deficit and stoke inflationary pressures. Rebound in domestic equities and slight retreat in dollar from 100 mark failed to provide any support to the local unit. Indian shares rebounded on Friday after witnessing one of their sharpest intraday declines in recent sessions the previous day amid broad-based selling across sectors. Sensex: closed at 74,532.96, up 325.72 points (+0.44%) while NSE Nifty 50: settled at 23,114.50, gaining 112.35 points.

 

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First Published: Mar 20 2026 | 5:50 PM IST



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Indian asset managers dump government bonds at record pace on oil shock

Indian asset managers dump government bonds at record pace on oil shock



Mutual funds have sold Indian government bonds at a record pace in March so far, as the Iran war drove up ​oil prices, heightening inflation risks, pushing the rupee to record ​lows and prompting a broad selloff across the debt market.


This has led some asset ‌managers to shift to short-duration corporate debt where they see greater value.


Mutual funds have net sold government bonds worth 356 billion rupees ($3.82 billion) so far this month, a record for any month, clearing house data showed.


Brent crude’s surge to near $120 per barrel has intensified inflation concerns and pushed the rupee to a record low beyond 93 per dollar, prompting investors to demand higher yields on both government and corporate bonds.

 


Corporate bonds have come under greater pressure than sovereign bonds, in line with broader risk-off sentiment. LSEG AAA-rated corporate bond yield with 2-5 year maturity has jumped 20-25 basis ‌points, while its government bond counterpart is up less than 10 bps.


As corporate-government bond spreads widen, some investors see value in the former.


Corporate bonds have become “more attractive from a risk-reward perspective”, said Basant Bafna, head of fixed income at Mirae Asset Investment Managers (India).


Mutual funds’ selling of government bonds reflect heightened caution due to the Iran war, alongside improving relative value in corporate bonds, Bafna said.


Fund managers are adjusting strategies to take advantage of ​current market conditions.


“The strategy is largely to shift towards segments offering better carry and relative value,” said ‌Anurag Mittal, senior executive vice president and head of fixed income at UTI AMC.


Moderate-duration funds were favouring 1-3 year accrual, while active duration strategies are selectively investing ​in longer-end ‌state debt and money market securities, Mittal added.


Mutual fund managers said wider corporate bond spreads were ‌creating an opportunity to rebalance portfolios before the financial year-end.


Rajeev Radhakrishnan, CIO-fixed income at SBI Mutual Fund, the nation’s largest fund manager in terms of assets under management, said ‌some ​investors may opt ​to switch to other asset categories in hybrid schemes.


“Apart from tactical positioning to potentially benefit from market dislocations and supply pressures (on government bonds) in the current ‌stage of the ​cycle, moderate duration and credit risks strategies are preferred.”



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Soaring oil prices and widening trade deficit sends INR tumbling sharply beyond Rs 93 per dollar; Further downside likely

Central Mine Planning & Design Institute IPO subscribed 0.07 times


The offer received bids for 52.44 lakh shares as against 7.97 crore shares on offer.

Central Mine Planning & Design Institute received bids for 52,44,320 shares as against 7,97,89,500 shares on offer, according to stock exchange data at 17:00 IST on Friday (20 March 2026). The issue was subscribed 0.07 times.

The issue opened for bidding on 20 March 2026 and it will close on 24 March 2026. The price band of the IPO is fixed between Rs 163 and 172 per share. An investor can bid for a minimum of 80 equity shares and in multiples thereof.

The issue comprises an offer for sale of 107,100,000 equity shares of Rs 2 face value by the promoters of the company, i.e., Coal India.

 

The offer being only for sale, no proceeds from the issue accrue to the company apart from listing benefits.

Central Mine Planning & Design Institute (CMPDI), a wholly owned subsidiary of Coal India, is a leading mining consultancy firm in India, providing end-to-end services across exploration, mine planning, environmental management and geomatics. The company plays a key advisory role to the Ministry of Coal and holds a dominant market share of around 61%, with a strong order book of about Rs 925 crore as of December 2025.

Ahead of the IPO of Central Mine Planning & Design Institute on 19 March 2026, the company raised Rs 469.74 crore from anchor investors by allotting 2.73 crore shares at Rs 172 each to 22 anchor investors.

For the nine months ended 31 December 2025, the firm recorded a consolidated net profit of Rs 425.36 crore and sales of Rs 1,489.65 crore.

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Soaring oil prices and widening trade deficit sends INR tumbling sharply beyond Rs 93 per dollar; Further downside likely

Monarch Surveyors wins Rs 8-cr contract from East Central Railway


Monarch Surveyors and Engineering Consultants said that it has secured a contract worth Rs 7.51 crore from East Central Railway for providing structural design services.

The scope of work includes structural design for new railway lines, doubling, third and fourth line projects, road overbridges (ROBs), road underbridges (RUBs), station buildings, foot overbridges (FOBs), platform shelters, and other ancillary structures under the Construction Organisation of East Central Railway in Patna.

The contract has been awarded by a domestic entity and does not fall under related party transactions. The company confirmed that neither the promoter nor the promoter group has any interest in the awarding entity.

 

The project is to be executed over a period of 36 months from the date of issuance of the Letter of Acceptance and is subject to necessary regulatory approvals. The consideration for the contract will be in cash.

Monarch Surveyors provides end-to-end consultancy services for infrastructure projects, including survey, design, and technical supervision for roads, railways, metros, town planning, geospatial mapping, land acquisition, water, transmission lines, pipelines, and other civil engineering sectors.

The company reported a 16.1% rise in standalone net profit to Rs 34.83 crore, on a 10.5% increase in revenue to Rs 154.14 crore in FY25 compared with FY24.

The scrip declined 0.24% to end at Rs 188.55 on the BSE.

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Soaring oil prices and widening trade deficit sends INR tumbling sharply beyond Rs 93 per dollar; Further downside likely

Bulls return after selloff; Sensex up 326 pts, Nifty above 23,100


The domestic market rebounded on Friday after the previous day’s steep selloff. The recovery was driven by easing crude oil prices, hopes of de-escalation in Middle East tensions and value buying at lower levels. Broad-based gains were seen across sectors, particularly in IT and PSU banks, although HDFC Bank remained under pressure. The Nifty briefly crossed 23,300 before trimming gains to close above 23,100. However, underlying risks remain, including persistent foreign investor selling, elevated crude prices, rising US bond yields and a weakening rupee, which hit a record low of 93 against the dollar.

The S&P BSE Sensex rallied 325.72 points or 0.44% to 74,532.96. The Nifty 50 index advanced 112.35 points or 0.49% to 23,114.50.

 

In the broader market, the BSE 150 MidCap Index added 0.66% and the BSE 250 SmallCap Index rose 0.47%.

The market breadth was positive. On the BSE, 2,458 shares rose and 1,804 shares fell. A total of 170 shares were unchanged.

Numbers to Track:

The yield on India’s 10-year benchmark federal paper rose 0.65% to 6.773 compared with the previous session close of 6.729.

In the foreign exchange market, the rupee edged lower against the dollar. The partially convertible rupee was hovering at 93.7150 compared with its close of 92.8900 during the previous trading session.

MCX Gold futures for the 2 April 2026 settlement advanced 1.23% to Rs 146,705.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback’s value against a basket of currencies, was up 0.28% to 99.33.

The United States 10-year bond yield added 0.40% to 4.300.

In the commodities market, Brent crude for May 2026 settlement jumped $1.47 or 1.35% to $110.12 a barrel.

Global Markets:

Dow Jones futures are down by 200 points, signaling a negative start for US stocks today.

Most European shares advanced on Friday as investors assessed the cautious tone struck by central banks across the region in the previous session.

The Bank of England kept its key rate unchanged at 3.75% and warned of faster price rises due to a fresh economic shock, with inflation seen near 3.5%.

Meanwhile, investors are pricing in over a 50% probability of a rate hike at the ECBs April meeting.

Both the Swiss National Bank and Swedens Riksbank also held rates steady, citing uncertainty around the war in the Middle East. The decisions followed a hold from the U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday, which also took a cautious approach amid the escalating conflict.

Most Asian indices ended lower, following volatile trading on Wall Street overnight, as the Middle East war and disruptions to energy supply keep investors jittery.

Japans markets were closed for a public holiday.

Meanwhile, the Peoples Bank of China kept its key lending rates steady in March, with the one-year LPR at 3.0% and the five-year LPR at 3.5%, in line with expectations. The decision reflects a cautious stance amid global uncertainties, even as domestic data shows resilience, while property weakness and soft demand persist.

Signaling efforts at calming concerns, U.S. President Donald Trump said that he was not deploying ground troops, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that Israel would refrain from repeating attacks on Iranian energy facilities.

U.S.-aligned countries, including Britain, Canada, France, Germany and Japan issued a joint statement expressing “our readiness to contribute to appropriate efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait” of Hormuz.

Overnight on Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.44% to 46,021.43 points. The S&P 500 fell 0.27% to end the session at 6,606.49 points, while the Nasdaq Composite slumped 0.28% to 22,090.69.

Stocks in Spotlight:

HDFC Bank fell 2.41% to Rs 780.45, extending its previous sessions 5.13% decline after the resignation of its part-time chairman and independent director, Atanu Chakraborty, effective 18 March 2026. In his resignation letter, he cited certain developments and practices within the bank over the past two years that were not aligned with his personal values and ethics. The Reserve Bank of India has approved the appointment of Keki Mistry as interim part-time chairman for three months, effective 19 March 2026. Chakraborty had joined the board in May 2021 and oversaw the banks merger with HDFC.

Happiest Minds Technologies surged 10.70%, following reports that EQT, Partners Group and ITC Infotech are exploring a controlling stake buyout. The stake sale is said to be from founder and chairman Ashok Soota, who holds around 44% in the company.

According to reports, the promoter holding is valued at around Rs 2,500 crore. Discussions are said to be at an early stage, with one of the Big Four firms conducting commercial due diligence, and a report expected to be shared with potential bidders in the coming weeks.

State Bank of India (SBI) climbed 0.90%. The banks subsidiary company, SBI Funds Management (SBIFM) has filed a draft red herring prospectus (DRHP) with SEBI for an initial public offer (IPO).

Tata Steel gained 3.23% after the company inaugurated its first scrap-based Electric Arc Furnace (EAF) facility in India at Ludhiana, marking a significant step in its sustainability roadmap.

Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) rose 1.44% after the company stated that it has entered into a pact with ABB for a strategic IT, AI, and engineering partnership.

Tata Power Company rose 1.07% after reports of a Power Purchase Agreement for its Mundra power plant. The company clarified that the Gujarat cabinet has approved a supplementary PPA and a government order has been issued. Following regulatory clearances, the agreement will be signed between the company and Gujarat Urja Vikas Nigam Limited (GUVNL).

Natco Pharma jumped 2.92% ahead of launching generic Semaglutide in India on patent expiry, with multi-dose vials priced from Rs 1,290 per month, significantly undercutting existing therapies.

NTPC advanced 1.89% after the company signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Octopus Energy Group, a leader in clean energy and digital energy platforms, to explore strategic collaboration across the power and energy sector.

VA Tech WABAG added 2.91% after it secured a ‘large’ consortium order from United Water Supply Company of Georgia LLC for setting up a 19 MLD wastewater treatment plant in Georgia, marking its entry into the CIS region.

P N Gadgil Jewellers gained 0.81%. The company announced that it has crossed the Rs 10,000 crore revenue milestone in FY26, reflecting strong business momentum.

Highway Infrastructure rose 0.33%. The company said that it has secured a work order worth approximately Rs 14.60 crore from Sacham Highway Real Estates for construction and development work in Indore.

Artson jumped 4.99% after the company announced it has secured an order worth Rs 42.22 crore from Anuppur Thermal Energy in Madhya Pradesh.

IPO Update:

The initial public offer (IPO) of Central Mine Planning & Design Institute received bids for 52,23,920 shares as against 7,97,89,500 shares on offer, according to stock exchange data at 16:51 IST on Friday (20 March 2026). The issue was subscribed 0.07 times.

The issue opened for bidding on 20 March 2026 and it will close on 24 March 2026. The price band of the IPO is fixed between Rs 163 and 172 per share.

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Soaring oil prices and widening trade deficit sends INR tumbling sharply beyond Rs 93 per dollar; Further downside likely

Quick Wrap: Nifty IT Index gains 2.17%


Nifty IT index closed up 2.17% at 29199.6 today. The index has slipped 11.00% over last one month. Among the constituents, Oracle Financial Services Software Ltd added 3.32%, Tech Mahindra Ltd gained 3.30% and Infosys Ltd rose 2.88%. The Nifty IT index has fallen 20.00% over last one year compared to the 0.33% slide in benchmark Nifty 50 index. In other indices, Nifty PSU Bank index gained 2.07% and Nifty Pharma index added 1.99% on the day. In broad markets, the Nifty 50 added 0.49% to close at 23114.5 while the SENSEX recorded a gain of 0.44% to close at 74532.96 today.

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Disclaimer: No Business Standard Journalist was involved in creation of this content

First Published: Mar 20 2026 | 5:04 PM IST



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