Stock Market LIVE: Asia off to positive start, Kospi up 1%; GIFT Nifty mildly lower

Stock Market LIVE: Asia off to positive start, Kospi up 1%; GIFT Nifty mildly lower



Stock Market LIVE updates today, Monday, August 12: Indian equity markets are eyeing a tepid start on Monday amid Hindenburg-Sebi row but calm global markets.


At 7:02 AM, GIFT Nifty futures were down 37 points at 24,367 levels.


That apart, the consumer price index (CPI) based inflation data for July and Industrial Production data for June will be released after market hours today.


Q1 results, and FII flows will be the other key triggers for the day.


Q1FY25 earnings today, Aug 12, 2024:


AIA Engineering, AMI Organics, Balrampur Chini Mills, Campus Activewear, Cera Sanitaryware, DCX Systems, Dollar Industries, Happiest Minds Technologies, Hindustan Copper, HUDCO, Vodafone Idea, Ingersoll-Rand, IRFC, ITI, Juniper Hotels, Kaveri Seed, LA Opala, M.M Forgings, Natco Pharma, NACL, NMDC, NRB Bearings, Olectra Greentech, Orchid Pharma, Rate Gain Travel Technologies, RCF, Rattan India Enterprises, Senco Gold, SJVN, Subros, Sunteck Realty, and Usha Martin are scheduled to report their June quarter results on Monday.


Global markets


Asia-Pacific markets were mostly higher this morning with South Korea’s Kospi gaining 1.2 per cent, and Australia’s ASX200 up 0.6 per cent.


Japanese markets were closed for a public holiday.



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Nifty50's sentiment remains bullish; buy the dips? Here's what analysts say

Nifty50's sentiment remains bullish; buy the dips? Here's what analysts say



Nifty 50 Index

The Nifty 50 Index is currently trading within a well-defined range, with a resistance level at 24,400 and support at 23,880. A breakout above or below this range on a closing basis will likely trigger a significant move in the direction of the breakout.

Until such a breakout occurs, the most effective trading strategy is to buy near the support levels and book profits near the resistance levels. Given the overall bullish trend in the short term, it is not advisable to short-sell at resistance levels. Instead, traders should focus on buying on dips or near the identified support levels.

For this week, key support levels to watch for the Nifty 50 are at 24180, 24065, 24000, and 23880. On the upside, if the index closes above the 24400 level, the next resistance targets would be at 24680, 24880, and 25100.

The overall sentiment remains positive, and as the short-term trend is bullish, my recommendation is to adopt a “buy on dips” approach, capitalising on any pullbacks to accumulate positions for a move higher.


Nifty Midcap Select Index


The Nifty Midcap Select Index also exhibits a bullish trend in the near term. Traders should consider buying the index on dips, with a strict stop-loss at 12500 on a closing basis. This level serves as a critical support point, and as long as the index remains above it, the bullish outlook remains intact. The upside targets for the index are 12675 and 12800.


However, if the index breaks below the 12500 level on a closing basis, it would be prudent to expect the next support levels to emerge around 12425, 12380, and 12325. In this scenario, traders should adjust their strategies accordingly, potentially holding off on new buys until the index stabilizes near these lower support levels.

In summary, both the Nifty 50 and Nifty Midcap Select indices exhibit bullish trends in the near term. For the Nifty 50, the strategy is to buy near support levels, avoiding short-selling at resistance, with a focus on capitalizing on the overall bullish momentum.

The Nifty Midcap Select Index also favors a buy-on-dips strategy, with key levels identified for both upside targets and downside support. Maintaining a disciplined approach with stop-losses will be crucial for managing risk effectively in the current market conditions.


(Disclaimer: Ravi Nathani is an independent technical analyst. Views are his own. He does not hold any positions in the Indices mentioned above and this is not an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. It should not be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell such securities.)

First Published: Aug 12 2024 | 6:45 AM IST



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Sebi chief's response raises new questions, admits key points: Hindenburg

Sebi chief's response raises new questions, admits key points: Hindenburg


Sebi chairperson Madhabi Puri Buch


Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) Chairperson Madhabi Puri Buch’s response to our report includes several important admissions and raises numerous new critical questions, said Hindenburg Research in a post on X late Sunday night.

Citing a massive “conflict of interest” in the Sebi investigation into the Adani matter, Hindenburg Research said, “Sebi was tasked with investigating investment funds relating to the Adani matter, which would include funds Buch was personally invested in and funds by the same sponsor which were specifically highlighted in our original report.”

“The Indian entity, still 99 per cent owned by the Sebi Chairperson, has generated Rs 23.985 million (US $312,000) in revenue (i.e. consulting) during the financial years ‘22, ‘23, and ‘24, while she was serving as Chairperson, per its financial statements,” it added.


Showing copies of personal emails claimed to be of the Sebi chief, Hindenburg had alleged in a report on Saturday that “Buch used her personal email to do business using her husband’s name while serving as a Whole-Time Member of Sebi.”

It raised the question: “What other investments or business has the Sebi Chairperson engaged in through her husband’s name while serving in an official capacity?”


On Buch’s statement, issued on Sunday to rebut the allegations made by Hindenburg, and the statement of “commitment to complete transparency,” the whistleblower asked if she would “publicly release the full list of consulting clients and details of the engagements, both through the offshore Singaporean consulting firm, the Indian consulting firm, and any other entity she or her husband may have an interest in?”


Statements by Sebi and Buchs rebutting allegations 


Buch on Sunday rebutted allegations made by Hindenburg Research in the Adani Group matter.


On Saturday, Hindenburg Research raised concerns about the delay in the Adani investigation and questioned Sebi’s impartiality, claiming that Madhabi Puri Buch and her husband, Dhaval, had conflicts of interest due to their investments in a fund allegedly used to inflate Adani Group stock prices. In addition to highlighting issues with the use of a foreign fund structure, the US short-seller also accused the Indian securities regulator of favouring real estate investment trusts (Reits) because of Dhaval Buch’s ties to private equity giant Blackstone, a significant investor in the domestic real estate sector.


Sebi and the Buchs each issued separate statements, rejecting all the allegations as baseless and accusing Hindenburg Research of character assassination. The Buchs received backing from legal experts and market participants, including Amfi, the mutual fund industry body, which supported her credibility and questioned the motives of the US short-seller.


Madhabi Puri Buch faced criticism from certain political parties, which called for a joint parliamentary committee (JPC) to probe the allegations.


She clarified that Blackstone was on the ‘recusal list’ maintained by the market regulator, which implies she was not involved in decisions impacting Blackstone.


In a fresh statement, Buchs provided extra details on their wealth, consultancy firms, associations, and investments in the alleged funds cited by Hindenburg.


IPE-Plus Fund 1 didn’t invest in Adani stocks: 360-One


360-One WAM said that its IPE-Plus Fund 1, in which Madhabi Puri Buch and her husband Dhaval Buch had invested, did not make any direct or indirect bet on the shares of the Adani Group during its tenure.


The wealth and asset management firm was responding to the American short-seller Hindenburg Research’s latest report, which alleged that IPE-Plus Fund 1 was set up by an Adani director through the erstwhile IIFL Wealth Management to invest in the Indian markets to inflate Adani Group stock prices.


However, 360-One WAM maintained that IPE-Plus Fund 1, a Mauritius-registered fund, primarily focused on debt investments. “At its peak, the fund’s assets under management (AUM) reached approximately $48 million, with over 90 per cent of the fund consistently invested in bonds,” it said.


Opposition calls for JPC probe


Hindenburg Research’s allegations triggered a political suggest with the Congress and other INDIA bloc parties demanding her removal and a JPC probe.


The opposition parties also urged the Supreme Court to step in after Hindenburg Research on Saturday alleged that the Sebi chairperson and her husband had stakes in obscure offshore funds used in the alleged Adani money siphoning scandal.


Congress President Mallikarjun Kharge said small and medium investors belonging to the middle class, who have trust in Sebi and invest their money in the stock markets, needed to be protected.

First Published: Aug 12 2024 | 12:10 AM IST





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Apparel retail firm Trent's expansion seamlessly tailors its growth success

Apparel retail firm Trent's expansion seamlessly tailors its growth success



The stock of Trent, the largest listed apparel retail company, surged on Friday after the company exceeded Street expectations for the April-June quarter (Q1) of 2024-25 (FY25). The Tata-owned company boosted shareholder wealth by 11.2 per cent in a single day, bringing the week’s gains to 16 per cent. Over the past year, the stock has been a top wealth creator in the S&P BSE 100, rising 3.3 times, or 231 per cent.


Standalone revenues for the quarter increased by 56 per cent year-on-year (Y-o-Y) to Rs 3,992 crore (consolidated at Rs 4,104 crore), coming off a high base. The previous year’s quarter had registered a growth of 46 per cent. The company has more than doubled its revenue over the past eight quarters, with a twelvefold increase since Q1 of 2021-22.


Growth for the company in the June quarter was driven by both like-for-like (LFL) improvement and expansion of the store network. The company reported double-digit LFL growth for its fashion concepts (Westside and Zudio).


Westside added six stores during the quarter, while Zudio expanded by 16 stores across 12 cities. Compared to the previous year, Westside’s store additions were in the mid-single digits, whereas Zudio’s grew by 44 per cent.

The company noted that both Westside and Zudio continued to gain traction despite challenges, including heatwave conditions in some regions and the general elections.

 


Noel Naval Tata, chairman of Trent, commented, “The overall market sentiment remains subdued with increased competitive intensity. On our part, we continue to witness encouraging traction for our lifestyle offerings across brands, concepts, categories, and channels.”


Trent’s performance stands out as peers struggle with sales growth.


Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail (ABFRL) reported a 7.3 per cent increase in consolidated revenues, while standalone revenue growth was flat at 0.6 per cent. Its lifestyle brands contracted 5 per cent Y-o-Y with negative single-digit LFL growth.


Analysts at Nuvama Research, led by Rajiv Bharati, observed, “ABFRL posted muted top-line growth amid a broader slowdown in discretionary consumption. While Pantaloons performed relatively well, benefiting from stronger demand in the value segment, the ethnic and lifestyle businesses were hurt by the delayed wedding season.”


Despite being a seasonally strong quarter, Page Industries also reported weak 4 per cent revenue growth on a 3 per cent volume improvement. There may be a delayed recovery for the company, given that the 4 per cent growth was based on a soft base during a typically robust sales period.


The strong revenue performance is mirrored in the company’s operating results. Consolidated gross margins were 45.1 per cent, 188 basis points (bps) higher due to operating leverage and moderated input costs. Operating profit (earnings before interest and tax) grew by 113 per cent to Rs 417 crore, while consolidated operating profit increased by 105 per cent to Rs 445 crore. This growth occurred despite a 64 per cent rise in employee and rental costs and a 57 per cent increase in other expenses. The company reported an operating profit margin of 10.6 per cent, 280 bps higher than the previous year, despite a growing share of lower-margin Zudio stores.


In addition to the fashion business, investors will monitor the progress of the Star hypermarket format stores. The 72-store business recorded revenue growth of 29 per cent and LFL growth of 20 per cent. The company reported improved operating performance across its brands, staples, fresh products, and general merchandise offerings, which now contribute over 70 per cent of revenues. With strong customer traction, the Star business is expected to become an additional growth engine and boost overall profitability.


Centrum Research has raised its FY25 and 2025-26 earnings forecasts by 11-13.5 per cent due to continued store expansion and earnings outperformance.


Analysts Shirish Pardeshi and Nikhil Kamble of Centrum Research said, “In a challenging environment across categories, with aggressive store expansion, Trent witnessed robust consumer traction and healthy LFL growth. This indicates a successful marketing strategy driving value-for-money customers, sharp price points leading to customer traffic, and the right store matrix.”


The brokerage has an ‘add’ rating, noting that valuations at 131 times its FY25 earnings are in stretched territory.

First Published: Aug 11 2024 | 10:50 PM IST



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CB Bhave to UK Sinha: A look at controversies surrounding past Sebi chiefs

CB Bhave to UK Sinha: A look at controversies surrounding past Sebi chiefs


From left – Sebi Chiefs Ajay Tyagi (2017-2022); C B Bhave (2008-2011); U K Sinha (2011-2017) (Photo: Wikimedia Commons)


Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) chief Madhabi Puri Buch is not the first chairperson to get embroiled in controversy. This comes months before her three-year term is due for an extension in March. Typically, this is the time when files start to move in the North Block over fresh appointment or reappointment of the Sebi chief. The previous three chairpersons, dating back to C B Bhave in 2008, have courted some controversies, indicating the complications that come with heading India’s $5.3-trillion stock market watchdog. Here is a look at the controversies surrounding past Sebi chiefs


C B Bhave


Tenure: Feb 19, 2008-Feb 17, 2011

 


Before assuming charge as Sebi chief, Bhave was the chairperson of National Securities Depository Limited (NDSL), which was accused of poor oversight leading to fake initial public offering applications between 2003 and 2005. When Bhave moved from NSDL to market regulator Sebi, there were questions raised over a conflict of interest although he recused himself from theNSDL case. The controversy caught on during the time of his reappointment which thwarted any chance of an extension.


U K Sinha


Tenure: Feb 18, 2011-Mar 01, 2017

 


UK Sinha, the 1976-batch Indian Administrative Service (IAS) officer, is one of the longest serving Sebi chief. However, he started on a rocky note.  Within weeks of his appointment, Sebi’s whole-time member KM Abraham shot a letter to the Prime Minister alleging that the then Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee, and his adviser Omita Paul had pressured Sinha to go soft against some high-profile corporates. There were various public interest litigations (PILs) filed challenging his appointment as Sebi boss, but most of them were dismissed by the courts.


Ajay Tyagi


Tenure: Mar 01, 2017-Feb 28, 2022

 


The 1984-batch IAS officer from Himachal cadre largely had a blemish-free stint. However, just ahead of the end of his five-year term, Sebi came under intense scrutiny over its handling of the case pertaining to lapses at the National Stock Exchange (NSE), which dated back to 2010 and 2015. This was triggered by an order issued by Sebi which revealed that then NSE chief Chitra Ramkrishna was taking orders from a mystic Yogi said to be residing in the Himalayas to run the country’s largest stock exchange.

First Published: Aug 11 2024 | 9:04 PM IST



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Hindenburg row: Sebi, chief Buch rebut fresh allegations in Adani matter

Hindenburg row: Sebi, chief Buch rebut fresh allegations in Adani matter


SEBI Chairperson Madhabi Puri Buch (Photo: PTI)


The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) and its chairperson, Madhabi Puri Buch, on Sunday rebutted fresh allegations made by New York-headquartered Hindenburg Research in the Adani matter.


In a new report on Saturday, Hindenburg questioned the delay in the Adani probe and Sebi’s objectivity in the matter, alleging Buch and her husband, Dhaval, were conflicted parties because they had invested in a fund that was allegedly used to inflate stock prices of the Adani group.


Besides raising eyebrows over the use of a foreign fund structure, the US short-seller also accused the Indian securities regulator of promoting real estate investment trusts (REIT) due to Dhaval Buch’s association with private equity major Blackstone, a large investor in the domestic realty space.


Both Sebi and the Buchs issued separate statements rebutting all the allegations, terming them baseless and an attempt at character assassination.


The Buchs found support from legal experts and market participants such as Amfi, the mutual fund industry body, which backed her credibility and questioned the US short-seller’s intent. However, the Sebi chairperson faced criticism from certain political parties, which called for a joint parliamentary committee to probe the allegations.


Citing whistleblower documents, Hindenburg had on Saturday issued a report on the couple’s investments in IPE Plus 1 Fund, a Mauritius-based segregated fund under the Global Dynamic Opportunities Fund (GDOF) managed by IIFL Wealth (now 360-One)


The Buchs and 360-One clarified the fund, accused of having links to the Adani group, had never invested in any Adani securities throughout its tenure. Further, the holdings of the Buchs were only 1.5 per cent of the fund’s corpus and they never had any say in the investment decisions.


The couple stated their investment, which dates back to a time when they were residing in Singapore, was because Chief Investment Officer Anil Ahuja was Dhaval’s childhood friend. They soon redeemed after Ahuja quit in 2018.


Responding to the allegations that Sebi was favouring REITs, the couple stated that Dhaval had no association with the real-estate side of Blackstone and was associated with private equity PE and other companies, given his expertise in supply-chain management.


Buch said Blackstone was on her “recusal list” and all disclosures and recusal had been diligently followed at Sebi.


The market watchdog in its statement said the regulatory decisions around REITs were not favourable to only one player and the decisions were taken after public consultation with board approval.


On the allegations that Sebi had not taken any action against the Adani group due to conflict of interest, the regulator stated that 23 out of 24 investigations in the Adani-Hindenburg matter were completed and one is close to completion. Sebi said enforcement proceedings were cumbersome, involving issuing show-cause notices, providing personal hearing, which then culminates in an order.


On June 26, Sebi had slapped show-cause notices (SCNs) on Hindenburg Research, its founder Nathan Anderson, hedge fund Kingdon Capital, and three others. In the notice, the regulator had alleged Hindenburg had made misleading disclosures as a scheme to make a profit of Rs 183 crore from short-selling to client Kingdon Capital, with which it had shared its report before making it public. Hindenburg and Kingdon had entered into a 25 per cent profit-sharing pact.


The domestic securities regulator had given 21 days to submit responses. “Hindenburg has been served a show cause notice for a variety of violations in India. It is unfortunate that instead of replying to the notice, they have chosen to attack the credibility of the Sebi and attempt character assassination of the chairperson,” the regulator said.


Sebi’s probe into the Adani-Hindenburg matter was initiated after the latter published a report on the group, alleging “fraud”, in January 2023.


The report had wiped out Rs 12 trillion of the Adani group firms’ market cap from Rs 19.2 trillion to below Rs 7 trillion. The group has now recouped all the losses and trades above the levels seen before the publication of the initial Hindenburg report in January 2023.


In a fresh statement, the Adani group called Hindenburg’s latest allegations mischievous and manipulative.


“We completely reject these allegations against the Adani Group which are a recycling of discredited claims that have been thoroughly investigated, proven to be baseless and already dismissed by the Supreme Court in January 2024,” the group said in an exchange filing.

First Published: Aug 11 2024 | 9:04 PM IST



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