ईरान टेंशन के बीच आयी ऐसी खबर, टूट जाएगी आम जनता की कमर, जानें आखिर क्या है वजह

ईरान टेंशन के बीच आयी ऐसी खबर, टूट जाएगी आम जनता की कमर, जानें आखिर क्या है वजह


Retail Inflation In India: ईरान से जुड़े बढ़ते वैश्विक तनाव और महंगाई के ताजा आंकड़ों के बीच आम लोगों के लिए चिंता बढ़ाने वाली खबर सामने आई है. गुरुवार को जारी सरकारी आंकड़ों के मुताबिक देश में खुदरा महंगाई में फिर बढ़ोतरी दर्ज की गई है.

सरकारी आंकड़ों के अनुसार फरवरी में Consumer Price Index (सीपीआई) आधारित खुदरा महंगाई बढ़कर 3.21% हो गई, जबकि जनवरी में यह 2.74% थी. ये आंकड़े National Statistical Office (एनएसओ) द्वारा जारी किए गए हैं और इन्हें आधार वर्ष 2024 वाली नई श्रृंखला के आधार पर तैयार किया गया है.

खाद्य महंगाई भी बढ़ी

फरवरी में खाद्य महंगाई भी तेजी से बढ़ी है जबकि एक महीने पहले यानी जनवरी में खाद्य महंगाई 2.13% थी. फरवरी में यह बढ़कर 3.47% हो गई.

किन चीजों के दाम बढ़े

इस दौरान कई वस्तुओं की कीमतों में तेज उछाल देखा गया, जिनमें शामिल हैं:

सोना और चांदी के आभूषण

हीरा और प्लैटिनम ज्वेलरी

नारियल और खोपरा

टमाटर

फूलगोभी

किन चीजों के दाम घटे

वहीं कुछ खाद्य वस्तुओं की कीमतों में राहत भी देखने को मिली, जैसे:

लहसुन

प्याज

आलू

अरहर दाल

लीची

ग्रामीण और शहरी महंगाई

आंकड़ों के मुताबिक महंगाई का असर ग्रामीण और शहरी दोनों क्षेत्रों में अलग-अलग रहा:

ग्रामीण क्षेत्रों में महंगाई दर: 3.37%

शहरी क्षेत्रों में महंगाई दर: 3.02%

जानकारों का कहना है कि अगर पश्चिम एशिया में तनाव बढ़ता है और लंबे समय तक बना रहता है और तेल की कीमतें ऊंची रहती हैं, तो आने वाले महीनों में महंगाई पर और दबाव पड़ सकता है. इसका असर आम लोगों के खर्च और देश की अर्थव्यवस्था दोनों पर दिखाई दे सकता है.

गौरतलब है कि पिछले महीने खुदरा महंगाई सूचकांक जारी होने के बाद केंद्र सरकार के मुख्य आर्थिक सलाहकार V. Anantha Nageswaran ने कहा था कि अगर Consumer Price Index (सीपीआई) में उतार-चढ़ाव कम होता है, तो उससे सरकार के वित्तीय खर्चों में भी स्थिरता आएगी.

साथ ही, उन्होंने आगे ये भी कहा कि सरकार के कई खर्च, जैसे महंगाई भत्ते (Dearness Allowance) का निर्धारण और महंगाई से जुड़े बॉन्ड, सीधे सीपीआई से जुड़े होते हैं. इसलिए अगर सीपीआई ज्यादा स्थिर रहता है, तो इन खर्चों का अनुमान लगाना आसान हो जाता है और वे अधिक भरोसेमंद और पूर्वानुमान योग्य बन जाते हैं.

ये भी पढ़ें: होटल-रेस्टुरेंट्स से लेकर अंतिम संस्कार तक… ईरान वॉर के भारत के ऊपर पड़े ये पांच बड़े असर, अब क्या विकल्प



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West Asia, Black Sea tensions create supply concerns for Indian edible oil market: SEA

West Asia, Black Sea tensions create supply concerns for Indian edible oil market: SEA


Recent conflicts, particularly in West Asia and ongoing tensions affecting the Black Sea, have created significant volatility and supply concerns for India’s edible oil market, according to BV Mehta, Executive Director of the Solvent Extractors’ Association of India (SEA).

He said the risks of disrupted sunflower oil shipments from Russia and East Europe, and higher freight costs for palm oil have caused price hikes in commodities such as sunflower oil, forcing traders and consumers to monitoring the situation to navigate the supply chain risks.

While India has historically relied on Russia and Ukraine for sunflower oil, the current conflict, especially potential disruptions in the Red Sea and Suez Canal, threatens to delay shipments, increasing logistic costs and affecting availability, he said.

Prices of edible oils such as sunflower oil have shown volatility, experiencing price increases in the domestic market due to concerns over supply chain disruptions. To mitigate the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war, India has been exploring long-term contracts with Mercosur countries (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay) for soybean and sunflower oil, he said.

According to SEA data, India imported 9.11 lakh tonnes (lt) of sunflower oil during the first four months of the oil year 2025-26 (November-October) against 11.47 lt in the corresponding period of the previous oil year.

Palm oil for biofuel

On palm oil prices, he said biofuel producers are showing more interest in palm oil based biodiesel as a result of the rise in crude oil prices driven by the war West Asia. This could strengthen near-term demand and prices for palm oil, especially in Southeast Asia, he said.

India imported 27.57 lt of palm oil (including crude palm oil and RBD palmolein) during November-February of the oil year 2025-26 against 19.96 lt in the corresponding period of the oil year 2024-25. Of this, the share of crude palm oil (CPO) stood at 27.24 lt (13.79 lt), and RBD palmolein at 22,237 tonnes (5.93 lt) during the period. India imported 15.43 lt of soybean oil during November-February 2025-26 (17.40 lt).

Rupee depreciation

He said the prices of palm oil and soybean oil remained at more or less same level in February 2026 when compared to February 2025, and sunflower oil jumped by over $200 a tonne.

The CIF price of crude sunflower oil was $1420 a tonne in February 2026 against $1216 a tonne in February 2025.

The CIF price of CPO was $1254 a tonne in February 2026 ($1197 a tonne in February 2025). Crude soybean oil price was $1254 a tonne in February 2026 ($1156 a tonne).

He said the rupee deprecated by over 4.2 per cent in last one year, a cause of concern to Indian importer / refiners.

Shipments up

Meanwhile, SEA data showed a 6.82 per cent increase in the import of edible oils during the first four months of the oil year 2025-26 (November-October). India imported 52.18 lakh tonnes (lt) of edible oil during November-February of the oil year 2025-26 against 8.85 lt in the corresponding period of the previous oil year.

Major exporters

During November-February 2025-26, Indonesia exported 12.04 lt of CPO and 17,949 tonnes of RBD palmolein to India. Malaysia exported 11.03 lt of CPO to India during the period.

India imported 9.69 lt of crude soybean degummed oil from Argentina during the first four months of the oil year 2025-26, followed by 2.10 lt from Brazil, and 1.75 lt from China.

Russia exported 4.87 lt of crude sunflower oil to India during November-February 2025-26. This was followed by Ukraine at 1.94 lt and Argentina 1.25 lt.

Published on March 12, 2026



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Auto index slides over 3%, M&M, Maruti, Eicher, TMPV lead fall. How do gas supply fears weigh on the sector?

Auto index slides over 3%, M&M, Maruti, Eicher, TMPV lead fall. How do gas supply fears weigh on the sector?


Gas is critical for energy-intensive automobile processes such as paint shops, metal forging, casting, and heat treatment. Analysts note that switching to alternatives like electricity is not feasible for many manufacturers due to machinery constraints and high capital costs.

Auto stocks remained under heavy selling pressure on Thursday, dragging the broader market sentiment despite a mild recovery in benchmark indices. The Nifty Auto index slipped sharply in early trade and failed to stage a meaningful rebound through the session.

Nifty Auto slid over 3 per cent today

All auto stocks traded in the red.

Gas shortage fears hit auto production outlook.

Rising fuel costs may pressure margins.

The index settled 3 per cent lower at 25,098, near the day’s low. All its constituents ended in the negative territory. Key laggards included TVS Motor Company, Mahindra & Mahindra, Maruti Suzuki, Eicher Motors, and Tata Motors.

Gas supply concerns rattle auto sector

The latest sell-off in auto stocks comes amid rising geopolitical tensions in West Asia that have heightened fears of natural gas supply disruptions. Market participants are closely tracking developments around the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global energy transit chokepoint, as shipping interruptions through the route could severely affect fuel availability.

Automobile manufacturers rely significantly on natural gas across several stages of the production process. Gas is particularly crucial for energy-intensive operations such as paint shops, forging furnaces, casting facilities and heat treatment processes used for metal components.

Brokerage firm Nomura noted that gas forms a substantial share of energy consumption in automobile manufacturing and warned that shifting to alternative sources like electricity may not be feasible in the near term due to machinery constraints and capital requirements.

The situation remains fluid. Preliminary OEM concerns emanate primarily from lower degree of control on process fuel choices and capital allocation flexibility at smaller component suppliers, Nomura noted.

Adding to sectoral anxiety, the government has moved to conserve fuel supplies by tightening distribution norms. Natural gas has been brought under essential commodity regulations. Priority allocation has been granted to households and transport fuels such as CNG and LPG, raising fears of production bottlenecks for industrial users.

Analysts warn that such restrictions could disrupt manufacturing schedules, particularly for automakers operating with high capacity utilisation and limited inventory buffers.

The move has raised concerns as gas is vital for auto manufacturing, especially in paint shops and metal processing operations, Bonanza analyst flagged.

Analysts flag inflation and cost pressures

Khushi Mistry, Research Analyst at Bonanza, said the decline in auto stocks was largely driven by concerns over fuel availability and rising cost pressures.

“The Nifty Auto Index slipped primarily due to fears of a natural gas supply shortage triggered by escalating conflict in West Asia, raising worries of a fuel-driven inflation surge. The Strait of Hormuz, a vital route for India’s energy imports, has been blocked, cutting off nearly 25 per cent of the country’s natural gas supply,” Mistry said.

The analyst emphasised that natural gas remains essential for several automobile manufacturing processes, especially paint shops and metal treatment facilities, making the sector highly vulnerable to supply disruptions.

Mistry further noted that original equipment manufacturers operating at elevated capacity utilisation levels with low inventory face immediate operational risks. Compounding the pressure, crude oil prices have surged sharply, increasing fears of higher raw material and transportation costs across the automobile value chain.

Brent crude prices have climbed past the US$ 100 per barrel mark, raising fears of higher raw material and transportation costs across the sector, Mistry further said.

Published on March 12, 2026



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होटल-रेस्टुरेंट्स से लेकर अंतिम संस्कार तक… ईरान वॉर के भारत के ऊपर पड़े ये पांच बड़े असर

होटल-रेस्टुरेंट्स से लेकर अंतिम संस्कार तक… ईरान वॉर के भारत के ऊपर पड़े ये पांच बड़े असर


Middle East Tensions:  वेस्ट एशिया में जारी संघर्ष को लगभग दो हफ्ते हो चुके हैं, लेकिन हालात में अभी तक कोई ठोस सुधार नहीं दिख रहा है. न तो Iran की ओर से समझौते का संकेत मिला है और न ही United States या Israel की तरफ से तनाव कम होने के संकेत मिले हैं. इसी बीच कच्चे तेल की कीमतों में फिर तेजी देखने को मिल रही है. हाल ही में Crude Oil करीब 120 डॉलर प्रति बैरल के स्तर तक पहुंच गया था और अब फिर 100 डॉलर के पार कारोबार कर रहा है.

इस तनाव का सीधा असर भारत की अर्थव्यवस्था और आम लोगों की जिंदगी पर भी पड़ रहा है। आइए समझते हैं कि इस संघर्ष का भारत पर क्या असर हो रहा है.

1-गैस की बढ़ती किल्लत

युद्ध की वजह से वैश्विक ऊर्जा आपूर्ति प्रभावित हुई है. खासकर Strait of Hormuz के बंद होने से तेल और गैस की सप्लाई पर बड़ा असर पड़ा है. भारत अपनी ऊर्जा जरूरतों का लगभग 80% आयात करता है, इसलिए इस संकट का सीधा असर देश पर पड़ रहा है.

कई उद्योग जैसे फर्टिलाइज़र प्लांट, टाइल्स फैक्ट्रियां और रेस्टोरेंट गैस की कमी से प्रभावित हो रहे हैं. National Restaurant Association of India (NRAI) ने अपने सदस्यों को मेनू छोटा करने, बिजली के उपकरणों का इस्तेमाल बढ़ाने और काम के घंटे घटाने की सलाह दी है.

2-अंतिम संस्कार व्यवस्था पर असर

एलपीजी की कमी का असर श्मशानों तक पहुंच गया है. कई जगह गैस से चलने वाली भट्टियां बंद करनी पड़ी हैं और अब अंतिम संस्कार लकड़ी से किए जा रहे हैं.

3-हवाई किराया महंगा

जेट ईंधन की कीमत बढ़ने से विमानन कंपनियों की लागत बढ़ गई है. इसके अलावा मिडिल ईस्ट रूट पर उड़ानों का बीमा भी महंगा हो गया है. युद्ध के कारण दुनिया भर में लगभग 46,000 से अधिक उड़ानें रद्द हुई हैं और अंतरराष्ट्रीय हवाई किराया काफी बढ़ गया है.

4-सोना-चांदी की कीमतों में गिरावट

आमतौर पर वैश्विक तनाव के समय सोने की कीमतें बढ़ती हैं क्योंकि इसे सुरक्षित निवेश माना जाता है. लेकिन इस बार तेल की कीमतों में तेजी के कारण महंगाई बढ़ने का डर है. इससे Federal Reserve द्वारा ब्याज दरें कम न करने की संभावना बढ़ गई है. मजबूत डॉलर के कारण सोने की कीमतों पर दबाव आया है. रिपोर्ट के अनुसार Goldman Sachs का मानना है कि अब ब्याज दरों में कटौती सितंबर से पहले संभव नहीं है.

5-आर्थिक विकास पर असर

भारत ने 2047 तक विकसित देश बनने का लक्ष्य तय किया है, जिसके लिए 8–11% जीडीपी वृद्धि दर जरूरी मानी जाती है. लेकिन अगर कच्चे तेल की कीमत 100 डॉलर प्रति बैरल के आसपास बनी रहती है, तो इसका असर आर्थिक वृद्धि पर पड़ सकता है. अनुमान है कि इससे भारत की जीडीपी वृद्धि दर में करीब 0.60 प्रतिशत (60 बेसिस प्वाइंट) तक की गिरावट आ सकती है.

ये भी पढ़ें: ईरान वॉर और अमेरिका-इजरायल के बरसते बम के गोलों के बीच अब चीन ने उठाया बड़ा कदम



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NBFCs in India to outpace banks with AI-driven lending growth

NBFCs in India to outpace banks with AI-driven lending growth


India’s non-bank financial companies (NBFCs) are poised for faster growth than traditional banks over the next decade, according to a Nomura report. While banks currently hold over 70% of total credit, NBFCs are expected to grow at a 17% CAGR between FY25 and FY35, compared with 12% for banks.

India’s non-bank financial companies (NBFCs) are expected to expand faster than traditional banks over the coming decade as lenders adopt artificial intelligence and expand into new loan segments, according to a research report by Nomura.

Banks currently dominate India’s lending system, accounting for more than 70% of total credit as of FY25, while NBFCs hold a much smaller share. However, Nomura forecasts NBFC credit will grow at roughly 17 per cent annually between FY25 and FY35, compared with about 12 per cent growth for bank lending over the same period.

“We note that AI can help NBFCs identify potential prime customers and bring about more efficiency in high-intensity product segments at a transformative pace. However, we raise caution around the regulatory gap on the matter. We expect the gap between the loan growth of banks vs NBFCs to widen further, with NBFCs recording a 17 per cent CAGR over FY25-35F vs 12 per cent for banks,” read the Nomura report.

Retail credit driving NBFC expansion

India’s lending ecosystem already totals about Rs 232 trillion (USD 2.6 trillion) in outstanding credit, but credit penetration remains relatively low compared with major economies. Nomura expects India’s credit-to-GDP ratio to rise significantly over time as access to financing expands. NBFCs have increasingly diversified their lending portfolios in recent years, moving beyond traditional wholesale lending into retail products such as vehicle loans, consumer durable financing, personal loans and microfinance, areas where demand remains strong. Retail credit accounts for a large portion of NBFC lending and is expected to remain a key growth driver.

AI adoption reshaping India’s finance sector

Artificial intelligence is becoming an important tool for lenders. The report says financial institutions are deploying AI systems to improve credit underwriting, customer support, sales and marketing, cybersecurity and internal operations, while using alternative data to identify potential borrowers.

“The India NBFC sector is set to witness a steep rise in competition, as many lenders are now focused on expansion into new products and markets. Investment in and development of AI engines across the sector is increasing and could potentially drive structural transformations in lending processes,” the report read. At the same time, regulators are preparing for wider adoption of the technology. India’s central bank has issued recommendations for responsible AI use in financial services and is expected to develop a regulatory framework as implementation increases across the sector. As competition intensifies and digital tools reshape lending practices, analysts say NBFCs could play a growing role in expanding credit access, particularly among underserved consumers and small businesses.

Published on March 12, 2026



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Bhilwara textile industry faces export disruptions due to West Asia conflict

Bhilwara textile industry faces export disruptions due to West Asia conflict


The ongoing West Asia conflict is significantly affecting the textile industry in Bhilwara, Rajasthan, a major hub producing over 10 crore meters of cloth monthly and employing more than 2 lakh people.

The ongoing conflict in West Asia has begun to affect the textile industry in Bhilwara, Rajasthan, with export orders being stalled and trade disruptions impacting shipments worth around Rs 800 to Rs 1000 crore, industry representatives said.

Bhilwara, widely known as a major textile hub in India, houses a large number of textile manufacturing units and employs thousands of workers across the sector.

Bhilwara remains major textile manufacturing hub

RK Jain, General Secretary of Mewar Chamber of Commerce Industrial Organisation, told ANI that the city’s textile sector is facing challenges due to the ongoing conflict in the Gulf region.

“Bhilwara is renowned as a textile city. Over 450 fabric units, over 20 spinning units, 21 processing units, and over five denim industries operate here. Approximately 10 crore meters of cloth are produced every month, and more than 2 lakh people are employed directly or indirectly in the textile industry,” Jain told ANI.

Large manufacturing base supports local jobs

He said that the industry has started to feel the impact of the conflict, particularly in export markets.

“Textile industries are also facing some trouble due to the war, and if the war continues in the near future, exports from here could be affected. Currently, export orders are on hold,” he said.

Export orders put on temporary hold

According to Jain, several shipments are either stalled locally or stuck at ports, while some export orders have been temporarily put on hold by overseas buyers due to the uncertain situation.

“They are either stalled locally or at the port, or have been put on hold by other parties. If this situation persists for a long time, our exports could be severely affected,” he said.

Gulf, Europe key textile export markets

The Gulf region and Europe remain key export destinations for the Bhilwara textile industry.

Jain said yarn produced in Bhilwara is exported to Bangladesh and European countries, while a portion is also exported to Gulf countries. Fabric exports, on the other hand, are largely directed towards Gulf countries and European markets.

Trade route disruption slows export movement

Due to the ongoing conflict and disruption in trade routes, export movement has slowed significantly, impacting business sentiment among textile manufacturers in the region.

Industry representatives say that if the geopolitical situation continues for a prolonged period, the textile sector in Bhilwara could face deeper challenges, particularly in maintaining export volumes and sustaining production levels.

Published on March 12, 2026



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