Iraq reduces oil output, more cuts to come if Hormuz disruptions persist, Iraqi oil officials say

Iraq reduces oil output, more cuts to come if Hormuz disruptions persist, Iraqi oil officials say


Iraq has cut oil production by nearly 1.5 million barrels a day and those cuts could widen to more than 3 million ‌bpd within days as the country runs out of storage and cannot export crude due to the Iran ‌crisis, two Iraqi oil officials told Reuters on ‌Tuesday.

As ⁠of Tuesday, Iraq has cut production from the ⁠Rumaila oil field by 700,000 bpd, from the West Qurna 2 field by 460,000 bpd and from the Maysan field by 325,000 bpd, the officials, ​who did not wish to ‌be named, said.

That output cut could grow to over 3 million bpd if oil tankers cannot move freely through the Strait of Hormuz and reach loading ports, they added.

Export ‌disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz slowdown pushed storage ​to critical levels in Iraq’s southern ports, the sources said.

Iraq produced about 4 million bpd in ⁠January.

The Maysan field was producing 650,000 bpd prior to the cut, the officials said.

The US-Israeli war with Iran has halted ‌energy exports from the Middle East, with Tehran attacking ships and energy facilities, closing navigation in the Gulf and forcing production stoppages from Qatar to Iraq.

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz was closed for a fourth day after Iran attacked five ships, choking off a key artery accounting for about 20 per cent of global oil and liquefied natural gas supply.

China and India are the ​two biggest recipients of Iraqi crude exports, accounting for nearly two-thirds of the OPEC member’s 3.33 million bpd ⁠average exports in 2025, according to Kpler data, with a further ⁠560,000 bpd going to Europe.

BP, PetroChina and China National Offshore Oil Corporation, which operate the fields in Iraq, ‌did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Published on March 3, 2026



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Mutual funds take a shine to bank stocks

Mutual funds take a shine to bank stocks


The robust fundamentals of the banking sector is reflected in the performance of the bank stocks with the Nifty Bank Index appreciating 24 per cent over a one-year period

The banking sector’s robust health, signified by healthy credit growth, improving asset quality, stable profitability and stake-buys by foreign banks and institutions in private sector banks, has prompted mutual funds to increase their weightage in the sector, leading to significant rise in their stakes in various banks over the last one year.

The banks in which MFs have increased their shareholding by more than 1 per cent between December 2024 and December 2025 include AU Small Finance Bank (SFB), Axis Bank, Bandhan Bank, Equitas SFB, Bank of Maharashtra, Federal Bank, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, IDFC First Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, RBL Bank, South Indian Bank, State Bank of India and Ujjivan SFB, according to data sourced from primeinfobase.com.

“Overall, the banking system is doing very well with non-performing assets (NPAs) at multi-decade lows and improving credit growth. The RBI’s Financial Stability Report highlights revival in credit demand. Some sectors like MSMEs, retail and segments of the corporate sector are borrowing more, “ said VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist, Geojit Investments.

“This impressive credit growth along with better asset quality is expected to result in impressive profit numbers, going forward. Tier-2 banks had reported better Q3 results and this trend is expected to continue,” he said.

Bank stocks sizzle

The robust fundamentals of the banking sector is reflected in the performance of the bank stocks with the Nifty Bank Index appreciating 24 per cent over a one-year period.

“Considering the sustained financial performance of Banks, their stock valuations are very attractive. MFs participated in the QIPs (qualified institutional placements) of some of the banks. Funds are also re-directing their investments from IT stocks to bank stocks,” said Mangesh Kulkarni, Head — Portfolio Management Services, Almondz Financial Services.

The substantial increase in MFs’ stake in Equitas SFB and Ujjivan SFB comes in the wake of AU SFB receiving the RBI’s in-principle approval in August 2025 to convert into a universal bank. MFs’ stake in AU SFB has gone up 5.5 percentage points/pp since December-end 2024 to 22.61 per cent as at December-end 2025.

MFs’ stake in Equitas SFB amd Ujjivan SFB rose 7.7 pp (to 45.20 per cent as at December-end 2025) and 19.99 pp (to 23.82 per cent), respectively.

The 22 pp jump in MFs’ stake (to 34.44 per cent) in RBL Bank comes in the backdrop of Emirates NBD Bank’s decision to acquire controlling stake in the former through a primary infusion of about $3 billion (₹ 26,850 crore).

MFs upped their stake in IDFC First Bank (up 6.37 pp to 10.93 per cent) and Federal Bank (up 2.25 pp to 37.78 per cent).

During the current financial year, the arms of Warburg Pincus and ADIA acquired about 9.45 per cent (for ₹4,876 crore) and 5 per cent stake (₹2,624 crore), respectively, in IDFC First Bank. Further, one of Blackstone’s funds has invested ₹6,196.5 crore in the warrants of Federal Bank, translating into a shareholding of 9.89 per cent.

Among public sector banks, MFs have preferred Bank of Maharashtra, upping their stake by 4.47 pp to 5.32 per cent. SBI is the only other PSU Bank in which MFs have increased their shareholding by more than 1 per cent (up 1.41 pp to 13.64 per cent).

Published on March 3, 2026



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Summer crops area a tad lower from year-ago, likely to inch up on rain forecast

Summer crops area a tad lower from year-ago, likely to inch up on rain forecast


Higher area under groundnut, bajra could not help summer acreage to continue the early lead over year-ago as both paddy and maize crops’ acreage is lower this time. It is to be seen if farmers shift to pulses, particularly to urad, as per the government plan, when all thrusts are on crop diversification.

The data of sowing under summer crops, which will end by May, has reached 26.53 lakh hectares (lh) as on February 27, which is 3 per cent less than 27.42 lh reported in the year-ago period. The zaid season sowing is progressing well, the government said, as reservoir levels are 12 per cent more now than year-ago. Zaid crop is grown before kharif sowing and after rabi harvest.

Summer crop areas, were earlier included under Kharif or Rabi season, but the government a few years back decided to start collating the data separately. The last five year’s average coverage under summer crops is 75.37 lakh hectares whereas the area reached an all time high of 83.92 lh in 2024-25. The share of summer crops was 19.11 million tonnes (mt) or 5.3 per cent in the total food grains production of 357.73 mt in 2024-25.

According to weekly update released by Agriculture Ministry, paddy sowing was down 7 per cent at 21.80 lh from 23.45 lh while nutri/coarse cereals areas up at 1.88lh against 1.68 lh year-ago. Among the nutri/coarse cereals, maize area is down at 1.33 lh from 1.36 lh, while bajra has reached at 0.31 lh against 0.21 lh, ragi at 0.17 lh and jowar at 0.06 lh until February 27.

Area under summer pulses reached 1.15 lh from 1.03 lh, in which coverage of greengram (moong) reached at 0.73 lh, and blackgram (urad) at 0.32 lh. The key growers of summer pulses are Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, Odisha, Tamil Nadu, Uttar Pradesh and Gujarat. Summer pulses are key to offset when there is a fall in Kharif crops. In 2025-26 Kharif pulses production has been estimated at 7.41 mt from 7.73 mt in 2024-25.

Madhya Pradesh, the main producer of summer moong, recently announced a bonus on the urad crop grown in summer. Announcing the bonus of ₹600 per quintal over and above the Minimum Support Price (MSP) of Rs 7,800/quintal for urad, the state government said that the step is aimed at encouraging farmers to shift from moong during the summer (zaid) season.

But despite tall promises, farmers of Madhya Pradesh complained about not receiving MSP for their urad in Kharif season. During the key Kharif harvesting season (October-December) of 2025-26, farmers in Madhya Pradesh on on an average had sold their urad at agriculture market yards (Mandis) 26 per cent below MSP at Rs 6,181/quintal, according to Agmarknet portal.

Oilseeds area in this summer season is also higher at 1.69 lh from 1.26 lh and it includes groundnut at 1.33 lh and sesamum at 0.26 lh.

Meanwhile, according to the Central Water Commission (CWC), storage dropped to 59 per cent or 108.338 billion cubic metres (BCM) of the 183.565 BCM capacity as of February 26. The CWC’s weekly bulletin on the storage in the major reservoirs said the level was 12 percentage points higher than last year and over 25 percentage points more than normal (last 10 years). The level in all five regions dropped below 70 per cent whereas only 3 reservoirs were brimming.

Published on March 3, 2026



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PM Modi discusses safety of 9 million Indians in phone calls with Gulf leaders

PM Modi discusses safety of 9 million Indians in phone calls with Gulf leaders


Prime Minister Narendra Modi
| Photo Credit:
ANI

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has spoken to the leaders of the UAE, Israel, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Jordan, Oman and Qatar in the last 48 hours amid the fast-evolving conflict situation in the region.

The PM spoke to Sultan Haitham bin Tarik of Oman, Crown Prince of Kuwait Sheikh Sabah Al-Khaled Al-Hamad Al-Mubarak Al-Sabah and Amir of Qatar Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani on Tuesday, and expressed concern over attacks on their countries during the ongoing conflict in West Asia, officials said.

During his telephonic conversations, Modi also discussed with these leaders the welfare and security of the Indian community residing in their countries.

“The Prime Minister spoke to three important leaders from the Gulf region on Tuesday afternoon. He had separate phone calls with Sultan Haitham bin Tarik of Oman, Crown Prince of Kuwait Sheikh Sabah Al-Khaled Al-Hamad Al-Mubarak Al-Sabah and Amir of Qatar Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani,” an official said.

During his talks with the leaders, Modi expressed concern over the attacks in their respective countries and discussed the welfare and security of the Indian community residing there.

Around 90 lakh Indians live in the Gulf and West Asia. About 10,000 Indian citizens live, study and work in Iran, while more than 40,000 live in Israel.

Published on March 3, 2026



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T-Hub, SERP, WE HUB launch ₹12.66 cr fund to support rural entrepreneurs

T-Hub, SERP, WE HUB launch ₹12.66 cr fund to support rural entrepreneurs


The programme will be implemented across all 33 districts of Telangana in phases through SERP’s district and block-level institutional network
| Photo Credit:
Andrii Yalanskyi

The Society for Elimination of Rural Poverty (SERP), in collaboration with the Technology Business Incubator Society (TBIS) at BITS Pilani Hyderabad, the start-up incubator T-Hub, and WE HUB, has launched a ₹12.66 crore Challenge Fund to promote rural entrepreneurship.

The initiative, which is backed by the Union Ministry of Rural Development, will support over 300 women and young entrepreneurs through targeted institutional support. It will help shortlisted entrepreneurs build capacity and scale their ventures.

Entrepreneurs operating in manufacturing, food processing, agri-allied enterprises, services, handicrafts and emerging sectors can submit their applications from March 8, 2026, marking International Women’s Day. 

The programme will be implemented across all 33 districts of Telangana in phases through SERP’s district and block-level institutional network.

Backed by the National Rural Livelihoods Mission (NRLM) Incubator Programme, the Challenge Fund will extend structured enterprise diagnostics, customised growth roadmaps and sector-specific mentoring.

In Telangana, more than 65 lakh women are organised into 4.35 lakh Self-Help Groups. By integrating this historically underserved cohort into formal credit, mentorship and market frameworks, the Fund expands the State’s pipeline of growth-oriented enterprises, according to Divya Devarajan, Chief Executive Officer of SERP.

Published on March 3, 2026



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Fed rate cut hopes fade as oil prices surge after US-Iran conflict

Fed rate cut hopes fade as oil prices surge after US-Iran conflict


Expectations of an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve weakened sharply after oil prices surged in the wake of US-Israeli air strikes on Iran.
| Photo Credit:
iStockphoto

Expectations that the Federal
Reserve would resume interest rate cuts before September ​eroded
further on Tuesday, as rising oil prices from ‌the U.S.-Israeli
air war against Iran heightened ​concern that inflation pressures
would keep the ⁠central bank in a hawkish posture.

Interest rate futures and Treasury securities saw fierce
selling for a second ‌straight day after the launch of air
strikes against Tehran over the ‌weekend that killed the
country’s long-time leader. ‌With ⁠the crucial Strait of Hormuz
closed to ⁠traffic and the flow of 20% of the world’s crude oil
effectively shut off for an indeterminate time, ​U.S. oil prices
have surged ‌by more than 13% since Friday.

While the U.S. economy is far less sensitive to oil than it
was during the 1970s ‌oil price shocks, it nevertheless poses ​a
risk to headline inflation through higher energy prices. Indeed,
retail gasoline prices jumped ⁠10 cents a gallon in the last 24
hours, according to AAA, with prospects high ‌for more increases
in the near term.

The rate futures selloff knocked down to around 35% the
prospects for a Fed rate cut in June when Kevin Warsh –
President Donald Trump’s nominee to succeed Fed Chair Jerome
Powell – would ‌lead a policy-setting meeting for the first time.
Moreover, ​traders currently see only a 55% chance of a cut by
July, down ⁠from more than 70% in recent days.

The perceived ⁠chance of further easing beyond an initial cut
is dropping as well, with ‌rate traders pricing in only about a
56% chance of a second rate cut ​by December.

Published on March 3, 2026



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