Fed rate cut hopes fade as oil prices surge after US-Iran conflict

Fed rate cut hopes fade as oil prices surge after US-Iran conflict


Expectations of an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve weakened sharply after oil prices surged in the wake of US-Israeli air strikes on Iran.
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Expectations that the Federal
Reserve would resume interest rate cuts before September ​eroded
further on Tuesday, as rising oil prices from ‌the U.S.-Israeli
air war against Iran heightened ​concern that inflation pressures
would keep the ⁠central bank in a hawkish posture.

Interest rate futures and Treasury securities saw fierce
selling for a second ‌straight day after the launch of air
strikes against Tehran over the ‌weekend that killed the
country’s long-time leader. ‌With ⁠the crucial Strait of Hormuz
closed to ⁠traffic and the flow of 20% of the world’s crude oil
effectively shut off for an indeterminate time, ​U.S. oil prices
have surged ‌by more than 13% since Friday.

While the U.S. economy is far less sensitive to oil than it
was during the 1970s ‌oil price shocks, it nevertheless poses ​a
risk to headline inflation through higher energy prices. Indeed,
retail gasoline prices jumped ⁠10 cents a gallon in the last 24
hours, according to AAA, with prospects high ‌for more increases
in the near term.

The rate futures selloff knocked down to around 35% the
prospects for a Fed rate cut in June when Kevin Warsh –
President Donald Trump’s nominee to succeed Fed Chair Jerome
Powell – would ‌lead a policy-setting meeting for the first time.
Moreover, ​traders currently see only a 55% chance of a cut by
July, down ⁠from more than 70% in recent days.

The perceived ⁠chance of further easing beyond an initial cut
is dropping as well, with ‌rate traders pricing in only about a
56% chance of a second rate cut ​by December.

Published on March 3, 2026



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Geopolitical shock rattles crypto markets; extended uncertainty clouds Bitcoin’s recovery path

Geopolitical shock rattles crypto markets; extended uncertainty clouds Bitcoin’s recovery path


Escalating tensions in the West Asia have rattled global crypto markets, triggering sharp swings in Bitcoin and other major digital assets as investors dumped risk. 

Sathvik Vishwanath, the co-founder & CEO, Unocoin, noted that as of early March, the intensifying conflict in the West Asia is driving elevated volatility across the global cryptocurrency market rather than stability. Following reports of direct military action involving Iran in late February/early March, major digital assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced immediate sharp declines, with Bitcoin dipping toward the $63,000 area before staging partial rebounds. 

“These swings underscore crypto’s behavior as a high-risk, risk-sensitive asset rather than a traditional safe haven. Rapid de-risking triggered substantial leveraged liquidations, estimated in the hundreds of millions of dollars, intensifying short-term price turbulence. Correlation with broader ‘risk-on’ markets has become more pronounced: crypto has tended to move with equities sentiment, while traditional safe havens like gold reached all-time highs amid the geopolitical shock,” he observed. 

Looking ahead, prolonged uncertainty, especially any threat to strategic chokepoints like the Strait of Hormuz that underpin global energy flows could sustain downward pressure on risk assets including crypto. 

At the same time, structural factors such as institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and the market’s 24/7 liquidity framework have supported rapid recoveries from interim drawdowns. Analysts broadly agree that further volatility is likely to persist until there is meaningful de-escalation of the conflict.

Meanwhile, Nischal Shetty, Founder, WazirX, added that after a $300 million leverage flush, Bitcoin’s weakening sentiment improved marginally, even as equities slid on geopolitical tensions. The support levels are intact and the price reaching $68,000 levels, makes the near-term outlook neutral, inclining towards consolidation. 

However, the short term gain which was sustained only by liquidation of over leveraged positions might not sustain, and Bitcoin might follow the equities way, with more investors allocating capital to risk off assets or limiting exposure to trades

“The current increase of around 4% in the last 24 hours indicates that the market speculations of Fed infusing liquidity to tackle war based economic impact, also have chances of boosting Bitcoin prices. Investors are treading cautiously but are also swept by the majority sentiment,” he said.

Riya Sehgal, Research Analyst, Delta Exchange, argued that despite geopolitical tensions in the West Asia, investors remain composed, as seen in the $1 billion inflows into crypto investment products last week, led by Bitcoin and Ethereum. This signals renewed institutional interest amid broader risk aversion.

She observed that Bitcoin is consolidating between $63,500 and $70,000, forming higher lows on the 4-hour chart, a structure that often precedes a breakout. A sustained move above the $70,000–$71,000 zone could potentially open the path toward $75,000, while a breakdown below $63,500 may expose the $60,000–$58,000 support cluster.

Published on March 3, 2026



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Infosys, Intel deepen collaboration to enhance AI capabilities for enterprises

Infosys, Intel deepen collaboration to enhance AI capabilities for enterprises


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Infosys and Intel have announced an expanded collaboration aimed at helping enterprises transition from AI pilots to large-scale implementations.

The partnership will leverage Intel’s high-performance computing platforms and Infosys’s Topaz Fabric to create a unified ecosystem for enterprise AI deployment.

The initiative focuses on optimising performance, ensuring security, and driving measurable outcomes across various industries.

Together, Infosys and Intel are co-innovating on the design, development, optimisation, and benchmarking of AI workloads across Intel Xeon processors, Intel Gaudi AI accelerators, and Intel AI PCs, it said.

Salil Parekh, Chief Executive Officer, Infosys, said, “By bringing together Intel’s compute leadership and the capabilities of Infosys Topaz, we are enabling enterprises to unlock AI value at scale – securely, cost-effectively, and with clear business impact.”

“Together, we are delivering performance-optimized, energy-efficient, and open AI solutions that clients can deploy wherever their workloads reside – from data centers to the cloud to the edge,” Lip-Bu Tan, Chief Executive Officer, Intel, said.

(This article was generated using AI)

Published on March 3, 2026



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ईरान तनाव से क्रूड ऑयल की बढ़ी कीमतों का नहीं असर! भारत के पास 40 से 45 दिनों तक तेल का भंडार

ईरान तनाव से क्रूड ऑयल की बढ़ी कीमतों का नहीं असर! भारत के पास 40 से 45 दिनों तक तेल का भंडार


Iran War: मिडिल ईस्ट में बढ़ते तनाव और Strait of Hormuz के ट्रांजिट मार्ग में संभावित व्यवधान के कारण कच्चे तेल की आपूर्ति को लेकर चिंता बढ़ गई है. यदि इस समुद्री मार्ग से सप्लाई बाधित होती है, तो वैश्विक ऊर्जा बाजार में बड़ी हलचल देखी जा सकती है. ऐसे में सवाल उठ रहा है कि इसका भारत पर क्या असर होगा? समाचार एजेंसी भाषा के अनुसार, भारत के पास अपनी जरूरतों को पूरा करने के लिए लगभग 40–45 दिनों का कच्चे तेल का भंडार उपलब्ध है. ऊर्जा बाजार विश्लेषण फर्म Kpler के आकलन के मुताबिक, भारत के पास करीब 10 करोड़ बैरल वाणिज्यिक कच्चे तेल का स्टॉक मौजूद है. इसमें रिफाइनरियों के भंडार, भूमिगत रणनीतिक पेट्रोलियम रिजर्व (एसपीआर) और भारत की ओर आ रहे जहाजों में लदा तेल शामिल है.

भारत के पास पर्याप्त भंडार

भारत अपनी कुल जरूरत का लगभग 88 प्रतिशत कच्चा तेल आयात करता है. कुल आयात का आधे से अधिक हिस्सा पश्चिम एशिया से आता है, जिसका बड़ा भाग होर्मुज जलडमरूमध्य से होकर गुजरता है. भारत प्रतिदिन औसतन लगभग 50 लाख बैरल कच्चा तेल आयात करता है, जिसमें से करीब 25 लाख बैरल प्रतिदिन इसी मार्ग से आता है. केप्लर के प्रमुख शोध विश्लेषक सुमित रितोलिया का कहना है कि यदि पश्चिम एशिया से तेल आपूर्ति अस्थायी रूप से रुकती है, तो तत्काल असर आपूर्ति तंत्र और कीमतों पर पड़ेगा.

हालांकि रिफाइनरियां सामान्यतः वाणिज्यिक भंडार बनाए रखती हैं और पहले से रवाना हो चुके तेलवाहक जहाजों के पहुंचने से अल्पकालिक राहत मिल सकती है. लेकिन यदि व्यवधान लंबा चलता है, तो आयात लागत, ढुलाई खर्च और वैकल्पिक स्रोतों से खरीद के कारण दबाव बढ़ेगा. वैश्विक तेल मानक ब्रेंट क्रूड की कीमत 80 डॉलर प्रति बैरल के पार पहुंच चुकी है, जो ईरान संकट से पहले के स्तर से लगभग 10 प्रतिशत अधिक है.

क्यों महत्वपूर्ण स्ट्रैट ऑफ हॉर्मूज?

भारत ने पिछले वित्त वर्ष में कच्चे तेल के आयात पर 137 अरब डॉलर खर्च किए थे. चालू वित्त वर्ष की अप्रैल से जनवरी अवधि में ही 20.63 करोड़ टन कच्चे तेल के आयात पर 100.4 अरब डॉलर खर्च हो चुके हैं. होर्मुज जलडमरूमध्य लगभग 33 किलोमीटर चौड़ा समुद्री मार्ग है, जो फारस की खाड़ी को अरब सागर से जोड़ता है. दुनिया के समुद्री मार्ग से होने वाले कच्चे तेल निर्यात का लगभग एक-तिहाई और वैश्विक गैस आपूर्ति का करीब 20 प्रतिशत इसी रास्ते से गुजरता है.

विश्लेषकों का मानना है कि जरूरत पड़ने पर भारत पश्चिम अफ्रीका, लैटिन अमेरिका, अमेरिका और रूस से अतिरिक्त आपूर्ति लेकर कमी की भरपाई कर सकता है. विशेषज्ञों के अनुसार, फिलहाल सबसे बड़ा जोखिम भौतिक कमी से अधिक कीमतों में उतार-चढ़ाव और आयात बिल में बढ़ोतरी का है. हालांकि यदि व्यवधान गंभीर और लंबे समय तक बना रहता है, तो इससे भारत के तेल आयात बिल में उल्लेखनीय वृद्धि और व्यापक आर्थिक दबाव पैदा हो सकता है.

ये भी पढ़ें: चार दिन की ईरान जंग में भारत को कितना हुआ नुकसान, क्यों बिना लड़े चुका रहे भारी कीमत?

ये भी पढ़ें: ईरान तनाव से कच्चे तेल में उछाल के बीच सरकार ने एनर्जी कंपनियों को दिए ये बड़े निर्देश



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Global steel production drops 6.5% in Jan 2026

Global steel production drops 6.5% in Jan 2026


Global steel production recorded a dip of 6.5 per cent at 147.3 million tonnes (mt) in January 2026 compared with the year-ago period.

According to the World Steel Organisation, top producer China’s output went south by 13.9 per cent to 75.3 mt where as India’s production reached 15.1 mt—an increase of 10.5 per cent.

The US saw its numbers go up by 3.3 per cent to 7.1 mt in the period under consideration. South Korea’ also recorded an increase in its production at 5.6 mt, up 5 per cent. Türkiye’s output soared by 5.8 per cent at 3.4 mt and Germany production boomed 15 per cent at 3.1 mt. Iran produced 2.6 mt of steel, up 15.1 per cent.

Meanwhile, Japan’s numbers went down by 0.5 at 6.8 mt. Russia and Brazil suffered a similar fate with production plummeting into 5.5 mt, down 7.4 per cent and 2.7 mt, down 1.4 per cent, respectively.

Africa output surges

Region wise, Africa’s steel production surged by 5.8 per cent to 2 mt in January 2026 while the output of Asia and Oceania plunged to 107.6 mt, a dip of 8.6 per cent. The EU (27) also saw its figures drop by 2.3 per cent at 10.3 mt.

The output of Europe(Other) increased to 3.7 mt, up 4.4 per cent. The West Asia region’s production went north by 12.6 per cent at 4.8 mt.

North America’s numbers slipped by 0.6 per cent at 9.2 mt while the production of Russia and other CIS + Ukraine saw an increase by 8.6 per cent at 6.5 mt. South America recorded a drop of 1.2 per cent in its output at 3.4 mt.

Published on March 3, 2026



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Infosys, Intel deepen collaboration to enhance AI capabilities for enterprises

Infosys, Intel deepen collaboration to enhance AI capabilities for enterprises


Infosys Logo
| Photo Credit:
Hand-out

Infosys and Intel have announced an expanded collaboration aimed at helping enterprises transition from AI pilots to large-scale implementations.

The partnership will leverage Intel’s high-performance computing platforms and Infosys’s Topaz Fabric to create a unified ecosystem for enterprise AI deployment.

The initiative focuses on optimising performance, ensuring security, and driving measurable outcomes across various industries.

Together, Infosys and Intel are co-innovating on the design, development, optimisation, and benchmarking of AI workloads across Intel Xeon processors, Intel Gaudi AI accelerators, and Intel AI PCs, it said.

Salil Parekh, Chief Executive Officer, Infosys, said, “By bringing together Intel’s compute leadership and the capabilities of Infosys Topaz, we are enabling enterprises to unlock AI value at scale – securely, cost-effectively, and with clear business impact.”

“Together, we are delivering performance-optimized, energy-efficient, and open AI solutions that clients can deploy wherever their workloads reside – from data centers to the cloud to the edge,” Lip-Bu Tan, Chief Executive Officer, Intel, said.

(This article was generated using AI)

Published on March 3, 2026



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