Cotton prices gain as demand increases on weakening rupee

Cotton prices gain as demand increases on weakening rupee


Cotton prices in India have increased further on demand from spinning mills and the trade. Domestic prices are tracking the upward movement in the global price trend, even as the weakening of the rupee against the dollar is making imports expensive.

On Friday, Cotton Corporation of India (CCI), currently the largest stock holder in the country, increased the natural fibre’s prices by Rs 300 per candy (356 kgs). Including today’s revision, CCI’s price list has improved by Rs 1,900 a candy since the beginning of this month.

CCI chairman-cum-managing director Lalit Gupta told businessline that the upward revision in prices was following the global price trend. There is a good demand for cotton and yarn. “We have been able to sell 39 lakh bales of 170 kg each in March itself out of the total procurement of 1.05 crore bales, which indicates a good demand,” he said.

ICE futures up 14%

Cotton Futures on the ICE market have gained by over 14 per cent since early March and are hovering above 69 cents per pound for May 2026 delivery and above 71 cents for July delivery.

“The way rupee is depreciating and ICE Futures are going up, cotton price for good quality is likely to up in the coming days,” said Atul Ganatra, former president of Cotton Association of India (CAI) the apex trade body.

Ramanju Das Boob, a sourcing agent in Raichur said the demand is going up as strong dollar and rising global prices are making the imports expensive. “There is a good demand for cotton from not only the mills, but also the multinational trading firms as they are finding the Indian prices attractive at current levels as rupee weakens further against the dollar,” he said.

In the recent weeks, the demand for the Indian cotton yarn has also gone up from countries such as China, Bangaldesh and Vietnam amidst the disruption in the global supply chain due to the ongoing war.

Published on March 27, 2026



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High input costs and supply squeeze: The new threat to India’s 2026 kharif income

High input costs and supply squeeze: The new threat to India’s 2026 kharif income


India has produced 24.23 lt of fertilizers —13.55 lt of urea, 7.62 lt DAP/NPK and 3.06 lt SSP, during March 1-24
| Photo Credit:
PTI

India’s Kharif fertilizer supply faces a reality check as the US-Israel-Iran war enters its fourth week. Despite official assurances, a shortage of natural gas and logistics bottlenecks are hitting urea production. With shipping routes diverted and no ceasefire on the horizon, the government’s ‘adequate stock’ claim is being tested by the reality of a global energy and supply chain rupture.

Fertilizer Minister J P Nadda on Friday told Parliament that India has adequate reserves to provide fertilizers to farmers and there is no need to panic.

“I want to assure the citizens of the country that the government has taken steps to ensure fertilizer is available to farmers whenever required. We have sufficient reserves in place. There is no need to panic,” Nadda said.

As on March 23, India has 53.08 lakh tonnes (lt) of urea stock, 21.80 lt of di ammonium phosphate (DAP), 7.98 lt of muriate of potash (MOP) and 48.38 lt of complex (in combination of N, P, K, S nutrients). The fertilizer industry is keenly watching how the stock position will be this year amid threat to domestic production. The stock position as on April 1, 2025 was 55.96 lt of urea, 9.15 lt DAP, 8.83 lt MOP and 34.04 lt complex fertilizer.

In the last kharif season, the requirement of urea was estimated at 185.4 lt whereas the sales rose by 4 per cent to 193.2 lt. The demand for different fertilizers during kharif 2026 is yet to be estimated.

India’s production

The government also said India has produced 24.23 lt of fertilizers — 13.55 lt of urea, 7.62 lt DAP/NPK and 3.06 lt SSP, during March 1-24, notwithstanding the gas supply crunch amid the West Asia crisis. To further augment supplies to the urea plants, an additional 7.31 MMSCMD of natural gas has been procured through bidding process for March 18-31, that is expected to increase gas availability to 80 per cent of their past six-month average consumption, from current 65 per cent supply.

According to Anand Chandra, co-founder and executive director of Arya.ag, when fertilizer prices move globally, the first real impact is felt at the farmgate. For smallholders, even a 10–15 per cent increase in input costs can influence cropping decisions and directly affect income outcomes, he said adding this often translates into tighter input usage, changes in crop planning, and increased pressure on working capital during the season.

Government officials said since key fertilizers’ retail prices are capped in India, there may not be an impact, provided States able to check black marketing when supplies are strained. However, there are a number of non-subsidised fertilizers used by progressive farmers, mainly into commercial cultivation, and those can be affected from global price rise, the officials said adding any increase in diesel or power costs, if happened, for farmers will be an additional burden. The government has not yet raised the prices of diesel and petrol.

Chandra also said in the current environment, any increase in crude prices or supply shortfalls is likely to raise transportation costs, which then flows through the agri value chain. “This can soften demand in certain commodities or delay price transmission, further tightening realisations for farmers, “ he said adding higher input costs and uncertain demand conditions can significantly strain farmer incomes in a single season.

He suggested access to storage, timely finance, and reliable market linkages should be focussed in helping farmers manage this volatility and make more informed selling decisions.

Published on March 27, 2026



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Retail yet to fully arrive, leverage demand won’t fade: Dinesh Thakkar, Chairman, Angel One

Retail yet to fully arrive, leverage demand won’t fade: Dinesh Thakkar, Chairman, Angel One


Retail participation in India remains at a very early stage, with shallow investment depth despite a rise in investor accounts, says Dinesh Thakkar, Chairman, founder and CEO of Angel One, pointing to a long runway for deeper market participation. In an interaction with businessline, he said regulatory tightening in derivatives is part of a broader cycle and that “trading is a zero-sum game,” with technology expected to play a key role in moving investors towards long-term wealth creation

How do you see retail participation evolving in India?

Retail participation in India is still at a very early stage, both in terms of the number of investors and the depth of investment. There is potential for 30–40 crore new investors to enter the market over time, but even among those who have already entered, participation remains shallow.

The opportunity is not just about bringing more people into the market, but about enabling deeper participation. The real question is how we position ourselves for the next 10–20 years and move investors from being first-time participants to becoming knowledgeable, long-term investors.

Over the last decade, mutual fund AUM has grown from about ₹11 lakh crore to ₹82 lakh crore. Retail ownership of market capitalisation is now around 19 per cent, higher than FII ownership. That reflects a clear shift towards long-term investing.

Where do you see the biggest opportunity for technology and AI to deepen participation?

Despite equities delivering 14–15 per cent CAGR over the long run, a large part of India is still not investing in equities. The issue is not just affordability — it is trust, awareness and behaviour.

Household equity exposure in India is around 7–8 per cent, compared with about 60 per cent in developed markets like the US. That gap represents the real opportunity. Getting people into the market is one challenge; getting them to allocate meaningfully over time is another.

Technology and AI can help bridge this by improving awareness, building trust and guiding behaviour.

How do you see the recent tightening in derivatives impacting retail?

Trading is a zero-sum game — some people will win and some will lose, and typically those who are newer to the market are more vulnerable.

Policy decisions should be based on long-term investor outcomes, not short-term participation cycles. You have to look at the investor’s overall balance sheet over 5–10 years, not just one product or one phase.

Regulation has always stepped in when excesses build up. The market has moved from badla to futures, then options and now weekly expiries. Whenever speculation becomes excessive, regulation responds. That is part of keeping the market healthy.

How do you see the surge in options trading among retail investors?

A large part of this activity is driven by younger participants taking directional bets. These are not sophisticated investors running hedging strategies. They are looking for leverage, and options are the most accessible regulated product.

Earlier, leverage was more available in the cash market through intraday trading. As that reduced, activity shifted to options. This shows that the segment is fundamentally seeking leverage.

If the market offers a properly designed alternative, such as a leveraged ETF, some of this activity could migrate there. The demand for leverage itself is unlikely to disappear. A customer often starts as a trader and gradually evolves into a long-term investor. SIP inflows have grown from about ₹3,000 crore in 2015 to over ₹30,000 crore now, and that growth has been consistent.

If you shut the gateway product entirely, some investors may not take the next step. Even if they begin with trading, many will, over time, shift towards mutual funds and cash market investing. That is the journey the industry should support.

What role does your platform play in this transition?

Our platform is built to understand the customer by tracking risk appetite, earning patterns and behaviour, and using those insights to support better allocation decisions.

Our role is not just to enable transactions, but to improve investor outcomes over time. Once trust is established, we can guide customers towards the right products and help their journey evolve.

We are building capabilities across wealth and long-term investment solutions so that customers can move beyond smaller investments as they mature. We also see strong demand in this segment, with Ionic Wealth crossing $1 billion in AUM.

AI is a key part of this strategy. By matching solutions to an individual’s profile, tracking behaviour and offering timely guidance, the platform can help investors become more informed and move towards long-term wealth creation.

Do you see tighter regulations having an impact on the broking industry?

Tightening is necessary and is healthy for long-term growth. The industry has adapted to regulatory changes across cycles. Retail participation is still underpenetrated, and investment depth remains low. As long as this underpenetration exists, the growth runway remains strong. What matters is ensuring minimal scope for manipulation and timely regulatory action. That is what builds trust. India also needs a healthy derivatives market. For foreign investment to remain strong, there has to be sufficient participation on both sides. Regulators understand this and have strong surveillance systems. Over time, such interventions strengthen the market.

What is your outlook on markets and FPI participation?

Current market levels offer a reasonable entry point, and volatility should be seen as an opportunity. Geopolitical events create short-term uncertainty, but the broader economy and corporate earnings remain resilient. Over the coming quarters, earnings growth should improve and reflect in stock prices.

Foreign investors may move in and out tactically, but they cannot remain structurally underweight on India for long. Over the past couple of years, flows have fluctuated, but India’s long-term growth story remains strong.



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Geopolitical tensions drive volatile gold prices, hitting jewellery demand

Geopolitical tensions drive volatile gold prices, hitting jewellery demand


Gold prices plunged by ₹3,263 or 2 per cent to ₹142,942 per 10 gram on Friday
| Photo Credit:
REUTERS

A surge in geopolitical tensions in West Asia has jolted India’s gold market, triggering sharp price swings and dampening both domestic buying and export demand at a critical juncture for the jewellery trade.

Gold prices, which had rallied for most of the month, have turned sharply volatile amid global uncertainty, while a weakening rupee and mounting logistical disruptions threaten to further squeeze imports. The combined impact is weighing on sentiment across the value chain, from retailers to exporters, as consumers turn cautious in the face of sudden price corrections.

Gold prices plunged by ₹3,263 or 2 per cent to ₹142,942 per 10 gram on Friday against ₹146,205 in line with the global trend, according to the Indian Bullion Jewellers and Association of India data. In fact, gold prices have declined by ₹24,529 per 10 gram or 15 per cent in March due to uncertainty kicked off by the US attack on Iran.

Similarly, silver prices have fallen to ₹221,647 per kg against ₹234,814 on Thursday. It has dipped by ₹68,201 from ₹289,848 per kg on March 2.

Short-term uncertainty

Avinash Gupta, Vice Chairman, the All India Gem And Jewellery Domestic Council said the ongoing West Asia conflict and the resulting volatility in global gold prices have created short-term uncertainty in jewellery demand.

However, Indian consumers continue to view gold and jewellery as a safe and trusted asset, especially during times of geopolitical tension, he added.

While retail sentiment has been cautious, the long term fundamentals of the industry remain strong, and we expect demand to stabilise as markets adjust to the new price levels, said Gupta.

Interestingly, gold has lost its safe haven status amid the raging West Asia war and dipped along with other assets including equity markets. The destruction of oil producing assets in West Asia has forced investors move their bets from gold to crude oil.

The war has made it difficult to export bullion from Dubai where the flight operations have come to a standstill. This apart, the rupee depreciation has made the cost of imports more costlier.

Anindya Banerjee, Head of Commodity and Currency Research, Kotak Securities said the rupee has depreciated to all-time low near 94.80 with Brent crude moving back to $110 a barrel and exerting renewed pressure on the rupee.

The currency is also facing headwinds from persistent FPI selling in both debt and equity, with outflows crossing $13 billion this month and potentially matching the pace seen in March 2020, he said.

The rupee depreciation will hold gold prices elevated compared to the global markets and this will further depress demand in domestic markets.

Published on March 27, 2026



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UP govt scraps ₹25,000 crore Puch AI MoU over financial, disclosure gaps

UP govt scraps ₹25,000 crore Puch AI MoU over financial, disclosure gaps


(file photo)Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath
| Photo Credit:
ANI

The Uttar Pradesh government has cancelled its proposed ₹25,000 crore MoU with Puch AI after due diligence flagged concerns over the start-up’s financial capacity and lack of credible backing.

In a post on X on Thursday, Invest UP said the agreement, signed on March 23, was reviewed as per State protocols, but the company failed to furnish the required details within the specified timelines. Following checks revealed insufficient net worth and weak financial linkages relative to the scale of the proposed project, prompting the government to terminate the MoU in the interest of transparency and probity.

The agreement, announced on Monday by Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath, included the development of AI parks, data centre infrastructure, AI Commons, and an AI university in the State. However, it quickly drew scrutiny from industry observers, who questioned the execution capability of the less-than-a-year-old start-up, which lacks detailed public financial disclosures. Media reports indicate the company posted revenue of about ₹42.9 lakh as of March 31, 2025.

Amid the concerns, the Chief Minister eventually clarified that the MoU—signed via Invest UP—was non-binding and exploratory in nature, with any further approvals contingent on detailed evaluation. He added that proposals failing to meet the required criteria would be terminated.

Founded in 2025, Puch AI offers a voice-first AI assistant, including a WhatsApp-based interface focused on Indic languages and regional accents. The platform provides features such as image and video generation, voice assistance, fact-checking, and multilingual support.

Published on March 27, 2026



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SEBI clears six IPOs, one withdrawn

SEBI clears six IPOs, one withdrawn


SEBI has cleared six initial public offerings including those of Vishvaraj Environment, Prasol Chemicals, SAEL Industries, NoPaperForms Solutions, Symbiotec Pharmalab and Shah Investor’s Home, while Jindal Supreme (India) withdrew its proposed IPO.

Vishvaraj Environment, a leading developer of water utility and wastewater management projects, plans to raise ₹2,250 crore through the proposed IPO.

The company’s initial public offering comprises a fresh equity issuance of ₹1,250 crore and an offer for sale (OFS) of ₹1,000 crore by the promoter selling shareholder, Premier Financial Services.

The company plans to use proceeds to repay loans of ₹545 crore and fund capex for three projects of ₹415 crore, besides general corporate purposes.

JM Financial, Axis Capital and DAM Capital Advisors are the book-running lead managers to the issue.

Symbiotec Pharmalab will raise ₹2,180 crore through its IPO comprising fresh issue of equity shares worth up to ₹150 crore and an offer for sale of up to ₹2,030 crore by existing promoters and investors. The funds will be used for debt repayment and general corporate purposes.

Prasol Chemicals plans to raise ₹500 crore through IPO. The company will issue fresh equity shares of ₹80 crore and an offer for sale of up to ₹420 crore by existing shareholders.

Info Edge-backed NoPaperForms Solutions will raise ₹500 crore to ₹600 crore through fresh equity issuance and offer for sale. The SaaS platform provider filed its draft papers for the IPO last November.

The Shah Investor’s Home IPO consists of a fresh issue of 54 lakh equity shares. The company provides a comprehensive suite of services including mutual fund distribution, margin funding, and stock lending and borrowing.

Published on March 27, 2026



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