Crude oil futures gain as markets anticipate Fed rate cut

Crude oil futures gain as markets anticipate Fed rate cut


Crude oil futures traded higher on Monday morning as markets hoped that the US Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates at its meeting this week.

At 9.57 am on Monday, February Brent oil futures were at $63.86, up by 0.17 per cent, and January crude oil futures on WTI (West Texas Intermediate) were at $60.23, up by 0.25 per cent. December crude oil futures were trading at ₹5,435 on Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) during the initial hour of trading on Monday against the previous close of ₹5,427, up by 0.15 per cent, and January futures were trading at ₹5,433 against the previous close of ₹5,421, up by 0.22 per cent.

A majority of market players expressed hopes that US Federal Reserve would reduce the interest rate by 25 basis points during its meeting scheduled on December 9 and 10. A reduction in interest rates is likely to provide a boost to the US economic activities. This, in turn, will help boost demand for commodities such as crude oil. US is one of the major consumers of crude oil.

Meanwhile, talks between US and Russia to end Ukraine war failed to reach an agreement last week. A fruitful outcome from the meeting would have helped lift US sanctions on Russian oil, helping increase supplies to the global markets.

Added to this, Ukraine continued to attack Russian oil infrastructure last week. This also helped support crude oil prices. Russia is one of the major producers of crude oil in the world market.

December natural gas futures were trading at ₹467.80 on MCX during the initial hour of trading on Monday against the previous close of ₹488, down by 4.14 per cent.

On the National Commodities and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX), December cottonseed oilcake contracts were trading at ₹3,009 in the initial hour of trading on Monday against the previous close of ₹2,960, up by 1.66 per cent.

December dhaniya futures were trading at ₹10,684 on NCDEX in the initial hour of trading on Monday against the previous close of ₹10,814, down by 1.20 per cent.

Published on December 8, 2025



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Market to see flat opening amid weak global cues

Market to see flat opening amid weak global cues


Domestic markets are likely to open on flat note on Monday amid FPI selling and weak global market sentiment. Weakening of rupee is adding pressure to the stock markets. After RBI’s rate cut, the focus has now shifted to US Fed’s meet outcome which is scheduled to be out on December 10. It is widely expected that the Federal Reserve will cut its interest rates in the last meeting of this year. However, the focus will be on the post meet announcements by the Fed Chair Jerome Powell. 

Gift Nifty at 26,325 indicates a flattish opening for market. Asian stocks are mostly negative in early deal on Monday.

Key events to watch this week include: India’s CPI print on December 12, following October’s record-low inflation reading of 0.25 per cent, along with data on loan growth, deposit growth, and forex reserves. 

‘Balanced approach’

Ajit Mishra- SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd. said:  Investors should maintain a balanced approach with a preference for large caps and sectors poised to benefit from the rate cut—particularly financials, autos, and domestic cyclicals. Export-oriented and IT names may continue to find support from the weaker rupee. “Caution is advisable in rupee-sensitive and import-heavy pockets until currency volatility stabilizes. Traders can continue with a “buy on dips” around the key supports, with strategy focused on stock-specific opportunities while keeping position sizes moderate ahead of the key FOMC meeting,” he added.

Emkay Global Research, in its strategy report, noted that the RBI’s 25 bps repo rate cut and ₹1.45 lakh crore (0.55 per cent of NDTL) liquidity infusion triggered a 6–10 bps rally in short-end bonds. This addresses stress in long-term bonds and domestic liquidity, making it a positive for equities. “We remain constructive on Indian equities; the best way to play this is through NBFCs, small & mid-sized banks, and autos,” the report said.

FPI selling

Meanwhile, the unabated selling by foreign portfolio investors is causing anxious moments for analysts and experts. 

VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist, Geojit Investments, said December has begun with sustained selling by FIIs on all days of the first week. In the first week ending on 5th December, FIIs have sold equity for ₹10,401 crore in the cash market. This sell figure has been completely eclipsed by the sustained strong buying by DIIs who bought equity for ₹19,783 crore during this period. The fundamental reasons behind the FII selling and DII buying are different. FIIs are selling now primarily because of the sharp depreciation of the rupee by around 5 percent this year, he said.

“It is normal for FIIs to sell and take the money out during times of currency depreciation. On the other hand, DIIs have been investing systematically assisted by continuous fund flows, and recently they have been buoyed up by the robust GDP growth numbers and expectations of uptick in corporate earnings, going forward,” he added.

The 25 bps rate cut by the RBI and the proposed huge liquidity infusion have further improved sentiments in favour of the bulls. The decision to give further monetary stimulus to the economy even when the economy is firing on all cylinders reflects a courageous pro-growth central bank.

With pro-growth fiscal and monetary policies, growth regaining momentum and indications of accelerating earnings growth, DIIs will continue to buy. But the trends suggest that at higher levels FIIs will again sell since they feel that valuations are on the higher side and they can sell and invest the money in cheaper markets. In this tug of war between FIIs and DIIs, there will be days of sharp movements in the markets, in response to news and events. For instance, if there is a fair trade deal between India and the US, that can buoy up the sentiments in both equity and currency markets, he opined.

Cues fromF&O trading

However, trading in derivative segment signals a neutral view with positive bias said analysts.

The derivatives setup reflects a constructive shift in market sentiment, with put writers aggressively adding positions across at-the-money (ATM) and near-term strikes, said Dhupesh Dhameja, Derivatives Research Analyst, SAMCO Securities.

Conversely, call writers have unwound partial exposure and migrated to higher strikes, indicating expectations of continued buy-on-dips behaviour, he added.

The Put-Call Ratio (PCR) rebounded to 1.19 from 0.80, signalling a sharp rise in bullish positioning and renewed optimism, with put writers regaining dominance at lower levels, he further said.

Published on December 8, 2025



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Indian arms of MNCs find place in the sun

Indian arms of MNCs find place in the sun


ITC accounts for over a fourth of its parent BAT Plc’s revenue; Hindustan Unilever contributes 10-11 per cent to Unilever’s annual turnover; Whirlpool of India around 5 per cent to Whirlpool Corp, and Colgate India accounts for 4-5 per cent of its parent’s global revenue.

At the same time, many Indian arms of consumer multinational corporations command higher valuations compared to their parents. The Indian subsidiaries’ PEs are at a significant premium to that of their parents ranging from 2 to 4 times. Also compared to their revenue contributions, the markets caps of the Indian companies as a percentage to that of their parents are higher. Recently-listed consumer electronics giant LG Corp’s India arm has a higher market capitalisation compared to its parent.

India as a market is finding prominent mention in commentaries by global companies in their earnings calls.

“Over the past decade, India has become the third largest contributor to consumer products (CP) growth among emerging markets – and it has significant headroom for expansion,” Bain and Company said in a report, just a few month ago.

It noted that Indian affiliates of CP multinational corporations (MNCs) have delivered superior shareholder returns and strategic value to their parent in terms of innovation and shared services talent.

A quick glance at the accompanying chart shows that stock performance of the Indian subsidiaries – a good metric for shareholder returns – have outpaced that of their principals over a 10-year period.

The appreciation in stock price has also prompted many of the global MNCs to take some money off the table to pursue their objectives such as paying down debt.

Stake sales

Just over a week ago, Whirlpool Corporation sold 11 per cent stake in its Indian arm for ₹1,490 crore to reduce debt. Earlier, in February 2024, it had sold a 24 per cent stake for ₹4,039 crore. A couple of days ago, BAT sold its stake in ITC Hotels (a part of ITC) for ₹3,800 crore; earlier, it had sold stake in ITC to generate funds for its share buyback programme.

The growth in India has been propelled by three factors – a youthful and growing working-age population; consistent real income increases, and swift urbanisation that is formalising consumption patterns, says Hiten Mistry, Sector Lead – Consumer, Equirus Capital.

With real disposable income per capita rising at around 6 per cent, India is projected to experience the highest per capita income growth among the leading CP market in the next five years, “providing significant opportunities for premiumisation and deeper category penetration. India is expected to maintain a growth rate that is considerably faster than that of most developed markets, even as the exceptionally high rebound rates following COVID-19 begin to stabilise,” explains Mistry.

In mature markets like the US and UK, demand has reached saturation and the MNCs are also not innovating. “The lagging performance of MNCs in their home countries is closely tied to the growth rates there and the overall performance. Reduced innovation has also played in tapering growth. For example, in tech or pharmaceuticals truly innovative moves continue to witness robust growth and valuations in their home countries,” says Divy Malik, Partner, McKinsey & Company.

The home markets for the MNCs exhibit flat to low single-digit volume growth, an ageing population and high levels of category penetration with very little scope for topline growth, notes Equirus’ Mistry.

“The growth in these markets is increasingly driven by a mix of product offerings and pricing strategies, and even significant innovations tend to result in shifts in market share rather than true market expansion. Consequently, the overall growth rates appear weaker when compared to rapidly growing profit pools such as India or other emerging economies,” he says.

This situation is primarily a structural issue of demand saturation, with innovation aimed at maintaining profitability rather than fostering substantial volume growth. In contrast, India continues to present opportunities for both increased penetration and premiumisation, says Mistry.

India was once a difficult market for consumer multinationals to crack. Though MNCs operated in India and even listed here, navigating the regulatory maze and controls imposed posed restrictions to growth, resulting in underperformance and lower-than-expected growth. The low single-digit economic growth, low per capita incomes were impediments.

Opening up of economy

However, progressive liberalisation, reforms, opening up of the economy and increasingly investor-friendly policies have made it easier for global companies to operate in India.

Liberalisation in foreign direct investment regulations for single brand retail and multi-brand trading, along with reforms aimed at improving the ease of doing business, the implementation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST), and the digitisation of compliance processes, have facilitated the expansion of multinational corporations’ operations in India.

Additionally, the introduction of simplified tax structures, expedited approval processes, and enhanced infrastructure and minimised obstacles in establishing manufacturing, distribution, and direct-to-consumer channels, has enabled global consumer product companies to adapt their products, pricing strategies, and supply chains more effectively to the local market.

The growing consumer class with big aspirations is the primary engine of growth for consumer-focused companies. India is a dynamic market, brimming with exciting opportunities. Over the past five years, India’s volume growth contribution outpaced its volume share by 2–8 times across several categories, said Bain & Company.

It adds that India is showing disproportionate contribution to volume growth among emerging markets. India’s share of global incremental growth, which ranged between 5 and 10 per cent across categories such as consumer appliances, apparel and footwear, hot beverages and snacks during 2019-24, has risen two to over eight times in 2024.

The emergence of digital channels like quick commerce and e-commerce has played a big role in accelerating the growth narrative of CP MNCs in India. Q-comm platforms account for around 35 per cent of FMCG e-commerce sales and for several large FMCG companies it is about 60 per cent of online revenues.

“While regulations for MNCs are easing in India, with regulatory barriers reducing, there is still some way to go when compared to leading business-friendly countries like Singapore,” cautioned Malik.

Disproportionate returns

Indian subsidiaries have also delivered disproportionate returns, as much as 2-6 times of their global parents. “Their success in India is driven by outsized contributions to revenue growth compared to their parent companies,” said Bain & Company.

“Valuations of Indian MNCs can be as high as 2-3x versus their parent companies. Overall, their valuations are in line with their Indian peers, which reflects the strong growth expectations investors have for the Indian players, points out McKinsey’s Malik.

Recently-listed consumer electronics giant LG Corp’s India arm has a higher market capitalisation compared to its parent.

Despite the rapid growth in the consumer sector, India is still largely an underpenetrated market in many markets with even urban markets yet to reach saturation in all categories.

Relatively new entrants such as French sports retailer Decathlon and Japanese health and hygiene company Unicharm have seen rapid growth in their businesses in India. Global consumer brands like Lotto, Lush, Footlocker, Lululemon, and Angara are making a beeline for India.

With India’s digitally native middle class set to constitute around half the population by 2030, higher per capita incomes and disposable income are attractive propositions for MNCs.

Published on December 8, 2025



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How Sunil Munjal is ‘Heroing’ arts, culture and education

How Sunil Munjal is ‘Heroing’ arts, culture and education


The wide grin of the security guard at the Hero Enterprise office in Okhla brightens the cold smoggy evening. Indoors, through a corridor lined with eye-catching murals and paintings, you are smilingly ushered into a lounge where you can at once spot a Souza and Paresh Maity. Here, as I wait for the firm’s Chairman Sunil Munjal, two beaming attendants arrive with a tempting array of snacks – cakes, mathris, dry fruit, mixtures, cookies, and biscottis. One of them, Hari, says, he has been with the group since 1997 and the other younger one, Kamal, since 2004. 

Interior of Hero Enterprise office, Okhla

When the industrialist and art patron arrives, I comment on his smiling staff, and he says attrition is one of the lowest in the company. He says he was delayed as he was held up at the printing press awaiting the first copies of ‘Table For Four’, a new book that he has co-authored with Doon School friends Ajay Shriram, Nitan Kapoor and the late Deepak Nirula. 

A consummate storyteller, Munjal who had earlier written a business book on Hero Group founders’ enthralling journey from the bylanes of Kamalia in Pakistan to Ludhiana has now turned his pen to food tales. To be launched on 15 December in Goa at the Serendipity Arts Festival – the expansive cultural platform set up by Munjal – Table for Four features reviews of Delhi’s restaurants and also recipes and conversations with chefs.

Munjal, you learn, is a vegetarian by choice. “If you ask any global expert on environment and sustainability what is the one thing that you as an individual can do to impact the planet positively, the single answer will be ‘turn vegetarian’”, he says. Ask him which restaurant he would have met for Table Talk if not this meeting at his office, and without hesitation he picks Indian Accent

Soft power

At the Serendipity Arts Festival, another exciting announcement this year will be on Brij Incubator – which supports early-stage cultural and craft-led start-ups. This is our third incubator, says Munjal, after the Munjal BCU Centre of Innovation and Entrepreneurship (MBCIE) in Ludhiana and one at the BML Munjal University campus in Gurgaon. “This (Brij) is an incubator and accelerator, which unlike the others that are focused on health tech and edtech and fintech, is purely focused on arts and culture, which is almost civilisational to us,” says Munjal, who is a big advocate of building up India’s soft power.

A note of passion in his voice, he says, “In the days when India had 26 per cent of world trade and 23 per cent of world GDP, what do you think we were exporting?”

Spices, you venture. “Spices, of course, but textiles, woodwork, crafts,” says Munjal. “So, we are trying to encourage the artisan families who, through the generations, are still making some of the old things to contemporise their skill so that they are globally viable.”  

The big idea behind Brij which will have a campus of its own in Delhi’s Vasant Kunj, says Munjal, is to boost the rural economy through enterprises focused on traditional village-based arts and crafts, giving it an alternate commercial option other than agriculture. “Our idea is to find hundreds of them, maybe thousands of them, artisans across the country,” he says. 

There are just a few days to go before the 10th edition of the Serendipity Arts Festival, and Munjal is charged up as he describes how the event has gotten really big this year. There will be over 250 projects put together by 35 curators at SAF and the event will bring together musicians, artists, dancers, performers, chefs, designers and storytellers in an explosion of creativity. While Munjal is reluctant to talk about investments, the Serendipity Arts Foundation that he has set up has given rich patronage to all forms of arts. “Culture builds empathy in an increasingly divided world,” says Munjal.

Since Munjal was also chairman of the Doon School Board of Governors till fairly recently, you can’t resist asking him if boarding schools are losing their relevance. “The best schools are still the boarding schools,” he insists. “You get a much more holistic training, education, and skilling plus learn life skills and ethos.. school taught me many things about life, about how to value people as people for themselves, and making relationships based on human values,” he says. 

A new road

Since stepping down from the Hero Group, where he was the joint managing director of HeroMotocorp, in 2016, Munjal has been focused on Hero Enterprise as well as all the foundations of the Group. What had prompted the 2016 recalibration in the storied two wheeler group? “It was actually the second restructuring – there was one in my father’s generation and then this one in mine,” says Munjal, adding, “It was a conscious decision and amicably done as we felt it could provide more entrepreneurial energy. Otherwise, what happens is over a period of time, as the companies grow, and the number of members in the family grow, everyone doesn’t get an opportunity to play an active role. And too often, in many large business families, many individuals become either lazy or unproductive, which is a shame.”

Says Munjal, “I came away with some of the smaller companies, the insurance distribution, etc. Also, we did not restructure our foundations, which were all together and they all fell into my lap, too.” 

The foundations do a lot of quiet work. “As a family, anywhere we set up a company, a factory, we try and work in multiple areas like education, health, gender issues, clean drinking water, and now arts and culture,” says Munjal, describing how there are 30,000 kids studying in the Group’s schools right now across different geographies. 

On the business front, within Hero Enterprise, is Hero Insurance Broking that Munjal’s daughter Shefali runs. “She actually set it up and she chairs it,” he says. “Then there is a real estate business, Hero Realty, which has been low key, but we are hoping to build up in the next three to five years. We’re now ramping it up quite significantly, but only sticking to North India,” says Munjal. There is a steel cold rolling business and an active investment office too. “We invest in areas like financial services, in health, in consumer-facing businesses that use technology, and also in the very high end of manufacturing, technology and sustainability,” says Munjal.

Impact investing

Urging me to have some more masala tea, which he says his staff makes really well, the industrialist shares his philosophy on investment.  “We see a lot about valuations being the measure of success of a start-up. I don’t think it’s the only measure and for us the impact that these companies make on society is a much more important thing,” he says, adding, “One of the criteria for us is to look at founders with great deal of integrity and good governance and businesses which will have a positive, outsized positive impact on society.”

Munjal, who founded the BM Munjal University in 2014, takes a very keen interest in education, having had board roles in several institutions including ISB and IIM-A and playing an active part in consultations with government, especially on the new education policy. “We have been actually recommending to the government for a while to create a GST type of council, taking all education ministers and secretaries of states together, and have the education minister of India share that, and figure out a way to implement both K-12 and higher education in right earnest, because it is a fantastic policy,” he says.

Ask him how the BM Munjal University is fostering innovation, and the industrialist mentions that a new Nvidia lab, perhaps the first of its kind in India, is coming up on the campus. Tentatively planned to be launched in either January or February 2026, the lab will be powered by an advanced NVIDIA DGX H200 system with 8×141 GB GPUs. It will be at the cutting edge of specialised research in AI. 

From cycles to education to arts and AI, could there be an industrialist with a more diverse set of interests than Munjal? – you wonder as you take leave.

Published on December 8, 2025



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EMI का बोझ हुआ हल्का! RBI की रेपो रेट कटौती के बाद बैंकों ने सस्ते किए लोन, जानें किस बैंक ने क

EMI का बोझ हुआ हल्का! RBI की रेपो रेट कटौती के बाद बैंकों ने सस्ते किए लोन, जानें किस बैंक ने क


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Key points generated by AI, verified by newsroom

Loan Interest Rate: भारतीय रिजर्व बैंक (आरबीआई) की रेपो रेट में 25 बेसिस प्वाइंट कटौती की घोषणा का असर अब दिखने लगा है. आरबीआई ने रेपो रेट को 5.25 प्रतिशत करने का फैसला लिया था. बहुत से बैंकों ने अपनी ब्याज दरों को कम कर दिया है.

जिसका सीधा असर ग्राहकों पर होगा. अब उन्हें लोन के लिए पहले से कम ब्याज चुकाना होगा. यानी लोन इंटरेस्ट रेट और ईएमआई दोनों ही कम हो जाएंगे. लोगों पर अब ईएमआई का बोझ कम होगा. आइए जानते हैं, विभिन्न बैंकों ने अपने ब्याज दरों को कितना कम किया है…..

पंजाब नेशनल बैंक 

देश की प्रसिद्ध सरकारी क्षेत्र की बैंक PNB ने अपने ब्याज दरों में कटौती कर दी है.  बैंक ने अपने रेपो लिंक्ड लेंडिंग रेट (RLLR) में 0.25 फीसदी की कटौती करने का फैसला लिया है. जिसके बाद बैंक का RLLR 8.35 प्रतिशत से घटकर 8.10 प्रतिशत हो गया है.

इसका सीधा असर यह होगा कि, PNB ग्राहकों के लिए लोन लेने की लागत थोड़ी कम हो जाएगी. हालांकि बैंक ने MCLR में कोई बदलाव नहीं किया है. नई दरें 6 दिसंबर से प्रभावी हो चुकी हैं.

बैंक ऑफ बड़ौदा 

रेपो रेट में हुए बदलाव के बाद बैंक ऑफ बड़ौदा ने भी अपने ब्याज दरों में कटौती की घोषणा कर दी है. बैंक ने अपना बड़ौदा रेपो लिंक्ड लेंडिंग रेट (BRLLR) में 25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की कटौती की है. जिससे बैंक का BRLLR  8.15 प्रतिशत से कम होकर 7.90 प्रतिशत हो गया है.

इंडियन बैंक

इंडियन बैंक की ओर से अपने ब्याज दरों में कटौती का ऐलान किया गया है. बैंक ने अपने रेपो लिंक्ड बेंचमार्क लेंडिंग रेट (RBLR) को 8.2 प्रतिशत से कम करके 7.95 फीसदी करने का फैसला लिया है. जिससे बाद से ग्राहकों को लोन के लिए कम ब्याज दर चुकाना होगा. नई दरें 6 दिसंबर से प्रभावी है. 

बैंक ऑफ इंडिया 

बैंक ऑफ इंडिया ने भी ग्राहकों को राहत देते हुए अपने रेपो बेस्ड लेंडिंग (RBLR) में 0.25 फीसदी की कमी करने का फैसला लिया है. इस फैसले से नई RBLR दर 8.1 फीसदी हो गई है.  बैंक में नई ब्याज दरें 5 दिसंबर से लागू कर दी गई हैं.

यह भी पढ़ें: निवेश करने से पहले जान लें मंथली बनाम लंपसम SIP का रिटर्न गेम, वरना हो सकता है भारी नुकसान

 



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Naming spree in Hyderabad: A Trump Avenue, Google Street and Microsoft Road

Naming spree in Hyderabad: A Trump Avenue, Google Street and Microsoft Road


 Telangana Chief Minister A Revanth Reddy
| Photo Credit:
SPECIAL ARRANGEMENT

The Telangana government is on a naming spree. The State capital will soon have a Donald Trump Road, a Donald Trump Avenue (US Consulate General office), a Ratan Tata Road, Google Street, a Wipro Junction and a Microsoft Road.

“We have decided to name several landmarks after people like Ratan Tata and US President Donald Trump,” a Chief Minister’s Office statement said.

“The government has decided to name the upcoming greenfield radial road connecting the Nehru Outer Ring Road at Raviryal with the proposed Radial Ring Road (RRR) after Padma Bhushan Ratan Tata, with the interchange at Raviryal already named the ‘Tata Interchange’,” it said.

The road along the United States Consulate General in Hyderabad will be called ‘Donald Trump Avenue’. “We will write to the Union Ministry of External Affairs and the US Embassy, informing them about our proposal,” it said.

Earlier this year, Chief Minister A Revanth Reddy, while addressing the annual US-India Strategic Partnership Forum (USISPF) conclave in New Delhi, had proposed naming important roads in Hyderabad after leading global corporations.

The road along Google’s upcoming campus in the Financial District will be named Google Street, “recognising the global impact and contribution of Google Maps”.

Similarly, a road in the vicinity will be called Microsoft Road, and the junction nearby will be named Wipro Junction.

The State government is also considering dedicating some more roads in honour of distinguished individuals and corporations.

Published on December 7, 2025



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