Here's why Nuvama thinks Mphasis will benefit most from Fed rate cut

Here's why Nuvama thinks Mphasis will benefit most from Fed rate cut


Illustration: Binay Sinha


Nuvama bets on Mphasis: Information technology (IT) solutions company Mphasis is set to outperform its peers, according to domestic brokerage Nuvama, which has upgraded the IT giant to a ‘Buy’ rating from ‘Hold.’ The brokerage has set a target price of Rs 3,500 per share, reflecting a potential upside of 16.3 per cent. The upgrade comes on the back of improved growth visibility for the company.


“We see Mphasis at an inflection point – where the factors that led to its underperformance over the last two years – are now likely to reverse, leading to outperformance. We are upgrading FY25E/26E EPS by 2 per cent/4 per cent and target valuation to 30x Sep-26 PE (from 27x) – on better growth visibility; upgrade to ‘Buy’ with a target price of Rs 3,500,” analysts at Nuvama said in a note.


On the bourses, Mphasis has rallied 26.7 per cent in the last three months, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts in the US and early signs of recovery in the US-BFS sector.


Financially, Mphasis reported a consolidated net profit of Rs 404 crore for the June quarter, marking a 2.1 per cent increase year-over-year and a 2.9 per cent rise sequentially (Q-o-Q). The company’s revenue from operations grew 4.6 per cent annually to Rs 3,422 crore. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, revenue was up 0.2 per cent, with constant currency revenue increasing 0.1 per cent Q-o-Q and 3.1 per cent Y-o-Y.


Meanwhile, here are key reasons behind Nuvama’s upgrade:


Favourable macroeconomic conditions 

 


Mphasis has witnessed lacklustre growth in recent years, with a 7.8 per cent growth decline in FY23 and a 6.3 er cent drop in FY24. This trend, analysts believe, is expected to reverse as the macroeconomic environment becomes more favourable. 


The high interest rates that negatively impacted its BFS (47 per cent of revenue) and mortgage (~6 per cent of revenue) segments are set to change, boosting growth prospects, analysts added.


Impact of interest rate cuts


Interest rate cuts in the US are anticipated to rejuvenate tech spending by US corporates, which had been stalled for nearly two years. As Mphasis’s mortgage business is highly sensitive to interest rate changes, it is expected to recover sharply. 


Additionally, Mphasis’s major client, a BFS corporation, has announced record tech spending for CY24, further boosting growth prospects for the company.


“A reversal of these factors – interest rates and BFS spending – shall boost growth for Mphasis ahead of peers,” Nuvama said in a note.


Strong core business and Gen-AI initiatives


Despite recent underperformance, analysts noted Mphasis’s core business remains robust. The company has successfully diversified its revenue base, reducing dependency on the DXC channel, which now contributes only 3 per cent to the top line, down from 28 per cent in FY19. Mphasis is also making major strides in the Gen-AI domain, with platforms like NeoZetaTM and NeoCruxTM designed to modernise legacy systems and enhance the software development lifecycle, analysts said.

First Published: Aug 22 2024 | 9:23 AM IST



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Stock Market LIVE: Global cues to drive Indian markets higher, as Fed minutes indicate one rate cut

Stock Market LIVE: Global cues to drive Indian markets higher, as Fed minutes indicate one rate cut



Stock Market LIVE Updates on Thursday, August 22, 2024: The Indian benchmark indices–BSE Sensex and Nifty–are expected to open on a positive note, with the Nifty 50 futures trading 85 points higher, on the back of positive cues flowing from the global markets.




Overnight, the US market closed up following the release of the minutes of the latest US Federal Relserve meeting held on July 30 and 31. 




The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.14 per cent, to 40,890.49, the S&P 500 gained 0.42 per cent, to 5,620.85 and the Nasdaq Composite, opens new tab added 0.57 per cent, to 17,918.99.




Asian stocks edged higher ahead of key events from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan that will help define the global rates trajectory.




The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.2% as benchmarks in Japan, Australia and South Korea rose. That came after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indexes advanced on further signs the Fed will cut interest rates.


Minutes from the latest Fed policy meeting showed several officials acknowledged a plausible case for cutting rates, before the central bank voted to keep them steady. Chair Jerome Powell will have a chance to offer investors further clarity when he speaks in the Jackson Hole economic symposium on Friday.


Stocks to watch




Zomato


The food delivery platform is expected to acquire payments platform Paytm’s entertainment ticketing business for Rs 2,048 crore. As part of the deal, 280 employees from Paytm will move to Zomato.




Alkem Laboratories


A promoter of the pharmaceutical company is likely to offload a 0.7 per cent stake in the company through block deals, according to reports. The floor price is likely to be set at Rs 5,616 per share.




BEML


The PSU has signed a strategic Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the Directorate of Marine Engineering of the Indian Navy to develop advanced marine applications for defense. That apart, the company has also singed an MoU with SMH Rail, Malaysia’s largest rolling stock manufacturer, to meet global demand for rail and metro solutions.




Paras Defence and Space Technologies


The Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT) has granted an industrial license to the company to manufacture several defence related items, including infrared or thermal imaging equipment, electro-optics systems, sub-systems and platform of radar systems, among other surveillance systems in Navi Mumbai, Maharashtra.



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Franklin Templeton India makes a debt fund comeback: Should you invest in its ultra short duration NFO?

Franklin Templeton India makes a debt fund comeback: Should you invest in its ultra short duration NFO?


For the better part of the decade leading up to 2020, most of Franklin Templeton’s debt funds were chart toppers across categories. Of course, in April 2020, all the good news faded with the forced winding up of six bond schemes – one of them being the top-deck performer ultra short bond fund.

The fund house has come out with a new ultra short duration scheme that is open for subscription till August 28.

A multiplicity of factors – moderating inflation (except for food articles), falling yields, likelihood of interest rate cuts over the next few quarters in the US and elsewhere, and a strong leash on domestic fiscal deficit – point to greater preference for long duration and gilt funds. However, with low credit risk and still reasonably attractive short-term yields, ultra short-term and money market funds are also finding favour.

With a new fixed income team headed by veteran Rahul Goswami, here’s what investors must know before considering the Franklin India Ultra Short Duration fund before considering exposure.

What’s the NFO about?

The new fund will invest in debt securities such that the portfolio’s Macaulay duration – a measure of bond price sensitivity to interest rate changes – is between three and six months.

Franklin India Ultra Short Duration fund will invest in bank bonds, treasury bills, corporate bonds, commercial papers and certificates of deposits among a few other instruments.

These are usually reasonably safe investments with almost no credit risk.

The RBI has been on pause mode since February 2023 and interest rates have mostly peaked out. Even as the US Federal Reserve considers rate cuts in the coming months, domestic g-sec yields have been coming down steadily over the past six months to a year due to a host of factors mentioned earlier and also due to the inclusion of Indian bonds in global indices.

Falling interest rate and yield scenarios favour long duration and gilt funds with longer term maturities as bond prices rally. Indeed, these categories of funds have given high single to double-digit returns in the last one year.

However, the shorter end of the curve though not as attractive as earlier still offers reasonable yields.

Data from Refinitiv and CCIL (compiled by Kotak MF) indicate that 3-month CPs and CDs are available with yields of 7.23 per cent and 7.35 per cent respectively as of August 20. One-year CPs and CDs carry yields of 7.62 per cent and 7.6 per cent respectively. These yields are still higher than those prevalent a year back.

In the ultra short duration space, yield to maturity of funds ranges from 7.2 per cent to 7.8 per cent, according to Valueresearch data.

What should investors do?

In the long run, quality ultra short duration funds have tended to beat inflation reasonably. But with indexation benefits gone and taxation pushed to slab rates for all debt funds, beating inflation on a post-tax basis may be challenging.

 This category of funds can be useful as intermediary vehicles for systematic transfer plans to equity mutual funds. Such funds can also be used for parking a portion of your emergency funds along with money market schemes and bank/NBFC deposits.

On a rolling one-year basis from January 2013 to August 2024, the mean returns from the best of ultra short duration funds ha been in the 7-8 per cent range.

The ultra short term/ultra short duration funds from the houses of Nippon India, UTI and ICICI Prudential are among the best in the category and must be among your preferred choices.

With a new team in place, Franklin India Ultra Short Duration fund can still be considered for small lump-sums by investors willing to take modest risks.





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Baroda BNP Paribas MF starts dividend yield fund for steady returns

Baroda BNP Paribas MF starts dividend yield fund for steady returns



Baroda BNP Paribas MF starts dividend yield fund


Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund on Wedn­esday announced the launch of its dividend yield fund, which will predominantly invest in dividend yielding stocks. “The fund aims to invest in companies with predictable and stable cash flows, led by managements that prioritise rewarding shareholders with regular dividends. The investment approach is to invest in growth companies that are also rew­arding investors through regular dividends and buyback,” the fund house said.




 


General Atlantic exits PNB Housing Finance

Private equity firm General Atlantic has exited PNB Housing Finance, selling its entire 5.13 per cent stake in the company on Wednesday. The sale of 13.3 million shares at Rs 802.5 apiece generated Rs 1,069 crore. The buyers included prominent investors such as the Government of Singapore, Aditya Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund, HSBC Mutual Fund, and the Monetary Authority of Singapore. Shares of PNB Housing rose 10.23 per cent to end at ₹893.5 in secondary market trading. 

 


Cyient divests 14.5% stake in subsidiary firm 


IT firm Cyient on Wednesday divested 14.5 per cent stake in subsidiary Cyient DLM to mobilise Rs 880 crore. It sold 11.5 million shares at Rs 764.4 apiece. Shares of Cyient DLM closed at Rs 776, down 1.6 per cent. Among the buyers were Aditya Birla Sun Life MF, Nippon India MF, and HDFC MF. Following the stake sale, Cyient’s stake has reduced to 52.16 per cent.  




 


HZL dividend sweetens deal for OFS investors


Hindustan Zinc Ltd (HZL) has sweete­ned its offer for sale (OFS) to investors by declaring an int­erim dividend of Rs 19 per share. The dividend — am­ounting to a yield almost 4 per cent over the OFS price — was announced on Tue­sday, a day after the OFS inc­luded. The integrated zinc and silver manufacturer has set the ex-date of August 28 for dividend payout. This is HZL’s second interim dividend and the first payout of Rs 10 in May.       

First Published: Aug 22 2024 | 12:01 AM IST



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Interarch Building Products IPO gets subscribed to 93.46 times on last day

Interarch Building Products IPO gets subscribed to 93.46 times on last day


The price range for the offer is fixed at Rs 850-900 per share.


The initial public offer of construction solutions provider Interarch Building Products got subscribed a whopping 93.46 times on the last day of subscription on Wednesday.


The Rs 600-crore initial share sale received bids for 43,87,96,464 shares against 46,91,585 shares on offer, as per NSE data.


The portion for Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs) received 205.41 times subscription while the quota for Non-Institutional Investors fetched 128.42 times subscription. The Retail Individual Investors (RIIs) part got subscribed 19.11 times.


The initial public offer (IPO) has a fresh issue of up to Rs 200 crore and an offer for sale of up to 44,47,630 equity shares.


The price range for the offer is fixed at Rs 850-900 per share.


The IPO of Interarch Building Products was fully subscribed on the first day of subscription on Monday.


The initial share sale will conclude on August 21.


Proceeds from the fresh issue will be used for capital expenditures, system upgrades and general corporate purposes.


Interarch Building Products is one of the leading turnkey pre-engineered steel construction solution providers in India with integrated facilities for design and engineering, manufacturing and on-site project management capabilities for the installation and erection of pre-engineered steel buildings.


Ambit Pvt Ltd and Axis Capital are book-running lead managers to the offer.


The equity shares are proposed to be listed on BSE and NSE.

(Only the headline and picture of this report may have been reworked by the Business Standard staff; the rest of the content is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Aug 21 2024 | 10:18 PM IST



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Sebi proposes changes to regulations regarding debenture trustees

Sebi proposes changes to regulations regarding debenture trustees


At present, there are restrictions on appointment of an entity as a DT in case of a certain level of pecuniary relationship with the issuer.


Markets regulator Sebi on Wednesday proposed certain changes to regulations related to debenture trustees.


A consultation paper has been issued to provide clarity on the term ‘pecuniary relationship’ of Debenture Trustee (DT) with the issuer under the existing norms and stakeholders can submit their comments till September 11.


At present, there are restrictions on appointment of an entity as a DT in case of a certain level of pecuniary relationship with the issuer.


The curbs will be applicable if the entity’s pecuniary relationship with the issuer amounts to 2 per cent or more of its gross turnover or total income or Rs 50 lakh or such higher amount as may be prescribed, whichever is lower.


The gross income will be calculated for the two immediately preceding financial years or during the current financial year.


Against this backdrop, some DTs have sought clarity on whether the remuneration being drawn by DTs from the issuer is included or excluded from the purview of ‘pecuniary relationship’ at the time of ascertaining eligibility.


A working group set up by Sebi suggested that remuneration payable to DTs should not be considered while assessing the pecuniary relationship of the DT with the issuer.


In the consultation paper, the regulator has proposed to exclude pecuniary relationship from computation of remuneration payable to DTs is appropriate and adequate.


There is also the proposal for “disclosure of remuneration/revenue received in respect of debenture trusteeship services as a percentage of the total remuneration/ revenue received by DT from the said issuer in respect of all services (including services other than the debenture trusteeship services)”.

(Only the headline and picture of this report may have been reworked by the Business Standard staff; the rest of the content is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Aug 21 2024 | 8:53 PM IST



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