Mutual fund equity buying slows in April as fund managers turn cautious

Mutual fund equity buying slows in April as fund managers turn cautious



Mutual funds (MFs) appear to have adopted a measured approach to equity markets in April, even as they continued to receive strong inflows.

 

MFs purchased equities worth about ₹ 26,000 crore in April (till April 28), a sharp moderation from the record ₹ 1 trillion deployed in March, according to data from the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi).

 


This moderation came despite net inflows into active equity schemes remaining broadly steady.

 


Industry watchers said the sharp drop in net purchases by fund managers was not on account of weaker inflows, but rather a tactical call amid a sharp market rebound and intermittent buying by overseas investors.

 
 


According to two senior MF officials aware of the industry’s aggregate estimates, net inflows are likely to exceed ₹ 35,000 crore in April, compared with ₹ 40,450 crore mobilised in March.

 


The shift in MF investment behaviour coincided with a sharp reversal in market performance. Benchmark indices — the Nifty 50 and the BSE Sensex — ended April with strong gains after a steep 11 per cent decline in March amid rising US–Iran tensions. The Nifty 50 rose 8.3 per cent during the month, while the Sensex gained nearly 7 per cent.

 


According to experts, lingering uncertainty around geopolitical tensions, along with the onset of the earnings season, may have prompted fund managers to adopt a cautious stance.

 


“The extension of the Middle East conflict could have led to greater degree of caution among fund managers. In addition, the onset of the earnings season may have resulted in a ‘wait and watch’ approach by fund managers to assess which sectors and stocks show greater or lesser crude impact on the fourth quarter earnings and on the guidance for the financial year 2026–2027 (this quarter is crucial to arrive at a one-year forward price-to-earnings estimate for the market). They could have also raised cash for future deployment as earnings season progresses,” said Sunil Subramaniam, market expert and founder of Sense and Simplicity.

 


While equity fund managers are mandated to remain largely invested, they retain the flexibility to hold some cash in anticipation of better buying opportunities. Many managers had already deployed part of their cash during the sharp correction in March. As a result, the aggregate cash holding of equity schemes fell to a 21-month low of 4.7 per cent in March, according to a report by BNP Paribas.

 


Beyond changes in cash levels and flows into active equity schemes, MF equity deployment is also influenced by flows into passive and hybrid schemes. In particular, shifts in the equity allocation of hybrid funds can have a meaningful impact on overall market deployment by mutual funds.

 



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Derivatives volumes fall after STT hike; cash segment rebounds in April

Derivatives volumes fall after STT hike; cash segment rebounds in April



Trading activity in April reflected a sharp divergence, with cash market turnover rising 7 per cent, supported by a strong rebound in equities, while the hike in the securities transaction tax (STT) led to a 6 per cent decline in derivatives turnover.

 


From April 1, the STT on futures was increased to 0.05 per cent from 0.02 per cent, while for options, it went up to 0.15 per cent from 0.1 per cent.

 


The average daily turnover (ADTV) for the cash segment rose to a near two-year high of ₹1.44 trillion during the month, tracking a broad-based rally in equities. Benchmark indices staged their strongest monthly recovery in over a year, with the Sensex gaining 6.9 per cent and the Nifty advancing 7.5 per cent — their best performance since December 2023. This follows a steep correction in March, when the indices had declined over 11 per cent, marking their worst fall since the pandemic-led sell-off of March 2020.

 
 


The rally was even more pronounced in the broader markets. The Nifty Midcap 100 climbed 13.6 per cent — its best showing since November 2020 — while the Nifty Smallcap 100 surged 18.4 per cent, the highest since May 2014.

 


“Cash segment has more of a floating investor base, while derivative trading is more the domain of seasoned investors. The rise in cash volumes is largely due to better market performance. Both the benchmark and broader indices posted their best gains in many months in April, following the March slump. These gains likely persuaded more investors to return to cash markets to take fresh bets or cut losses,” said Satish Menon, executive director at Geojit Financial Services.

 


The ADTV segment stood at ₹486 trillion, down nearly 18 per cent compared to January level of ₹592 trillion. Brokers attributed the weakness in derivatives to elevated volatility, changes in taxation, and tighter regulations.

 


“In derivatives, it is the impact of STT going up. The impact of the STT hike will be more on algo traders. And the impact of RBI’s capital exposure norms, though deferred by three months, is being felt in derivative trading. Brokers earlier took bank guarantees and provided leverage to traders in proprietary trading. Now, the funds available to distribute will decrease, and the cost will increase. The liquidity for traders will go down,” said Prakarsh Gagdani, founder of Soaring Peaks Capital.

 


Amid the softness in derivatives volumes, BSE continued to expand its market share in the segment. The exchange’s notional market share crossed the 50 per cent mark for the first time during the month.

 

On a notional basis, BSE’s average daily turnover (ADTV) in derivatives stood at ₹269 trillion, compared with ₹217 trillion on the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE). In terms of premium turnover, BSE’s market share was about 31 per cent.

 


“For traders, the underlying can be anything; what they need is volatility, depth, and volume. It’s not just BSE; even MCX turnover is picking up. The frequency of weekly expiries has decreased, and people now have fewer opportunities to trade. That’s the reason you see volumes shifting to BSE,” said Gagdani.

 


The decline in investor participation is also visible in exchange data. The NSE’s active client base shrank by 3.5 million to 45.2 million in FY26, indicating a pullback from smaller traders who had been key drivers of derivatives volumes in recent years. Also, the number of derivatives contracts traded has come off sharply following the market regulator’s move to tighten the derivatives trading rules, which includes limiting weekly expiries to just two days.

 


Market participants said that while cash volumes could remain supported if the rally sustains, a meaningful revival in derivatives activity would require both lower volatility and a return of retail risk appetite.

 


“For derivative trading, the current quarter will be challenging due to regulatory changes. Cash markets will be driven by geopolitical changes, earnings, and how the monsoon pans out. Maybe things will start picking up from the third quarter,” said Gagdani.

 



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FPIs pull out ₹60,847 crore in April; 2026 outflows hit ₹1.92 trillion

FPIs pull out ₹60,847 crore in April; 2026 outflows hit ₹1.92 trillion



Foreign investors continued their relentless sell-off in Indian equities, pulling out ₹60,847 crore ($6.5 billion) in April primarily due to escalating geopolitical tensions and global macroeconomic uncertainties that dampened risk appetite.


With the latest withdrawal, total outflows by Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) have surged to ₹1.92 trillion in the first four months of 2026, significantly exceeding the ₹1.66 trillion outflow recorded in the entire calendar year 2025, according to NSDL data.


FPIs remained net sellers in all months of 2026 except February. They withdrew ₹35,962 crore in January, followed by an infusion of ₹22,615 crore in February, the highest monthly inflow in 17 months.

 


However, the trend reversed sharply in March, with a record outflow of ₹1.17 trillion, and continued into April, with withdrawals of ₹60,847 crore, the data showed.


Market participants attributed the sustained selling pressure to a mix of global macroeconomic headwinds and heightened geopolitical risks.


Himanshu Srivastava, Principal Manager Research at Morningstar Investment Research India, said April began with heavy selling as escalating tensions in the West Asia pushed crude oil prices higher, reviving concerns around global inflation.


This, in turn, led to reduced expectations of near-term rate cuts and kept global bond yields elevated, weighing on investor sentiment towards emerging markets, including India.


Vaqar Javed Khan, Senior Analyst Fundamental at Angel One, described April’s outflow as a “textbook risk-off reaction” to escalating US-Iran tensions.


He added that crude oil prices crossing $100 per barrel, the rupee weakening towards ₹92 against the US dollar, and the resurgence of inflation and current account deficit concerns have made India’s relatively high Nifty valuation of around 21 times price-to-earnings appear expensive amid global uncertainty.


Khan said that if the Iran ceasefire holds and WTI crude falls below $90 per barrel, flows could stabilise with selective FPI inflows, supported by strong domestic institutional investor (DII) buying of around ₹1.7 trillion year-to-date and an expected Nifty earnings growth of 16 per cent CAGR between FY26 and FY28.


However, he cautioned that while domestic flows may provide a cushion, developments such as tensions around the Strait of Hormuz or a spike in US 10-year bond yields above 4.5 per cent could trigger renewed selling pressure.



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SEC clears Nasdaq plan for benchmark index-linked prediction market options

SEC clears Nasdaq plan for benchmark index-linked prediction market options



The US Securities and Exchange Commission on Thursday approved a proposal by Nasdaq’s options trading venue to list and trade a new class of stock market prediction instruments tied to a major index, according to a regulatory order.

 


Several firms are increasingly seeking to enter the prediction markets space, which allows users to bet on the outcomes of real-world events as it gains legitimacy and opens new revenue streams and market insights.

 


The New York-based exchange operator’s products are cash-settled contracts that pay a fixed amount at expiration depending on whether the index finishes above or below a set level.

 
 


The SEC said the binary options — a type of contract that offers a payout based on the outcome of a yes-or-no bet — would have a “fixed, all-or-nothing exercise settlement amount” of $100 if they expire in the money.

 


Nasdaq MRX, an electronic US options exchange operated by Nasdaq, will initially list options linked to the Nasdaq-100 and the Nasdaq-100 Micro index.

 


The Nasdaq-100 tracks 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the exchange, including Apple, Nvidia and Intel. The micro index represents one-hundredth of the full value of the Nasdaq-100.

 


The commission granted accelerated approval to Nasdaq’s request, submitted in March, saying the proposal was “consistent with the requirements of the act” and did not raise new regulatory concerns.

 


“We welcome the SEC’s approval of Nasdaq MRX’s proposal to list and trade Outcome-Related Options (OROs) tied to the Nasdaq-100 Index,” a Nasdaq spokesperson said.

 


Its peer, Cboe Global Markets, is also targeting a second-quarter launch for similar “all-or-none” contracts focused on financial and economic events, subject to regulatory approvals.



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Oil prices rise over  as Iran conflict stalemate keeps Hormuz shut

Oil prices rise over $1 as Iran conflict stalemate keeps Hormuz shut



Oil rose on Friday as efforts to resolve the Iran conflict have hit an impasse, ​with Tehran still blocking the Strait of Hormuz ​and the US Navy blocking exports of Iranian crude.


Brent crude futures ‌for July rose $1.19, or 1.08 per cent, to $111.59 a barrel by 0149 GMT, while West Texas Intermediate futures were up 39 cents, or 0.37 per cent, to $105.46.


Both benchmarks have posted gains across four straight months, with Brent’s June contract, which expired on Thursday, hitting $126.41 a barrel, the highest since March 2022.


Oil prices have been on the rise since the end of February when the US and Israel attacked Iran, resulting in the closure of the Strait of Hormuz ‌and the disruption of shipments of around one-fifth of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas supply. Brent saw a 50 per cent rise in March alone.

 


A ceasefire has been in place since April 8, but on Thursday evening, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei said it was not reasonable to expect quick results from US talks, according ​to the official IRNA news agency.


“Expecting to reach a result in a short time, ‌regardless of who the mediator is, in my opinion, is not very realistic,” he was quoted as saying.


Earlier in the ​day, ‌a senior official of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards had threatened “long and painful strikes” on ‌US positions if Washington renewed attacks on Iran, pushing oil prices to intraday peaks before retreating.


US President Donald Trump was scheduled to ‌receive ​a briefing on ​Thursday on plans for a series of fresh military strikes on Iran to compel it to negotiate an end to ‌the conflict, a ​US official told Reuters. 



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Gold price climbs ₹10 to ₹1,50,670; silver down ₹100, trading at ₹2,49,900

Gold price climbs ₹10 to ₹1,50,670; silver down ₹100, trading at ₹2,49,900



Gold Price Today: The price of 24-carat gold rose ₹10 in early trade on Friday, with ten grams of the precious metal trading at ₹1,50,670, according to the GoodReturns website. However, the price of silver declined by ₹100, with one kilogram of the precious metal selling at ₹2,49,900. 

 


The price of 22-carat gold increased by ₹10, with ten grams of the yellow metal selling at ₹1,38,110. 

 


The price of ten grams of 24-carat gold stood at ₹1,50,670 in Mumbai, Kolkata, Hyderabad and ₹1,53,830 in Chennai.

 


In Delhi, the price of ten grams of 24-carat gold stood at ₹1,50,820.

 


  

In Mumbai, the price of ten grams of 22-carat gold was ₹1,38,110, the same as in Kolkata, Bengaluru, Hyderabad, and ₹1,41,010 in Chennai. 


                  


In Delhi, the price of ten grams of 22-carat gold stood at ₹1,38,260. 


   


The price of one kilogram of silver in Delhi, Kolkata, and Mumbai stood at ₹2,49,900. 

 


The price of one kilogram of silver in Chennai stood at ₹2,70,100. 

 


US gold held steady on Friday, but was on course for a weekly decline as higher oil prices fuelled inflation worries and clouded the interest rate outlook.

 


Spot gold was unchanged at $4,622.41 per ounce, as of 0046 GMT, after rising more than 2 per cent in the previous session.

 


Spot silver rose 0.8 per cent to $74.34 per ounce, platinum gained 0.1 per cent to $1,987.55, and palladium was up 0.3 per cent at $1,528.39.

 


(with inputs from Reuters)  

             



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